In a message written on Thu, Aug 09, 2007 at 04:21:37PM +0000, [EMAIL 
PROTECTED] wrote:
> (1) there are technology factors we can't predict, e.g.,
>         moore's law effects on hardware development

Some of that is predictable though.  I'm sitting here looking at a
heavily peered exchange point router with a rather large FIB.  It
has in it a Pentium III 700Mhz processor.  Per Wikipedia
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pentium_III) it appears they were
released in late 1999 to early 2000.  This box is solidly two,
perhaps three, and maybe even 4 doublings behind things that are
already available at your local best buy off the shelf.

Heck, this chip is slower than the original Xbox chip, a $400
obsolete game console.

-- 
       Leo Bicknell - [EMAIL PROTECTED] - CCIE 3440
        PGP keys at http://www.ufp.org/~bicknell/
Read TMBG List - [EMAIL PROTECTED], www.tmbg.org

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