> On Mar 23, 2022, at 1:33 PM, John Curran <jcur...@istaff.org> wrote:
> 
> <chuckle>   Yes, indeed - although there was a fairly large contingent that 
> felt IPng would just suddenly take off at depletion of the IPv4 free pool if 
> vendors pushed it, and that it?s success was assured even if IPng had no 
> benefit over IPv4 with regard to feature parity (IPv6 AH/EH vis-a-vis IPv4 
> IPsec, etc.) 
> 
> The reality was that such sudden & rapid deployment occuring at IPv4 runout 
> was unlikely even if we delivered a working protocol with "a straightforward 
> transition plan from the current IPv4? ? and it was even more remote without 
> a clear, in-hand working transition strategy.   When combined the near 
> inevitable arrival of IPv4 NAT, it made for a particularly poor prognosis for 
> IPng (when compared to IPv4 & NAT.) 
> 
> In 1994, during the IPng process, I penned a warning in this regard 
> <https://www.rfc-editor.org/rfc/rfc1669.txt 
> <https://www.rfc-editor.org/rfc/rfc1669.txt>> - 
>   No internetworking vendor (whether host, router, or service vendor)
>   can afford to deploy and support products and services which are not
>   desired in the marketplace.  Given the potential proliferation of
>   network address translation devices, it is not clear that IPng will
>   secure sufficient following to attain market viability.  In the past,
>   we have seen internetworking protocols fail in the marketplace
>   despite vendor deployment and IPng cannot succeed if it is not
>   deployed by organizations.  As currently envisioned, IPng may not be
>   ambitious enough in the delivery of new capabilities to compete
>   against IPv4 and the inevitable arrival of network address
>   translation devices.  In order to meet the requirement for "viability
>   in the marketplace', IPng needs to deliver clearly improved
>   functionality over IPv4 while offering some form transparent access
>   between the IPv4 and IPng communities once IPv4 address depletion has
>   occurred.
> About two decades later, at the time of the IPv4 central free pool runout 
> (Feb 2011), we had neither ?clearly improved functionality? nor a 
> straightforward transition plan for "transparent access between the IPv4 and 
> IPng communities? ? I do hope I was wrong about the outlook for IPng under 
> such conditions, but we?ll need to wait for another few decades to know for 
> sure one way or the other.
> 
> Best wishes,
> /John
> 

I was going to post a link to your RFC but you beat me to it, lol.  Not much I 
can add here, except to suggest that people ponder the implications of the 
tussle paper <https://david.choffnes.com/classes/cs4700fa14/papers/tussle.pdf> 
I posted a link to a few days ago.

—gregbo

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