>>>________________________________________
>>>From: Rich Kulawiec [...@gsp.org]
>>>Sent: Sunday, March 21, 2010 8:43 PM
>>>To: nanog@nanog.org
>>>Subject: Re: NSP-SEC
>>>
>>>There is, by the way, no relief from this due to events like the
>>>recent bust of the Mariposa botnet (13M systems);

The public numbers advertised were 13M _IPs_ connecting to a sinkhole over more 
than a month's time.  When I've had visibility into other large botnets 
(srizbi, rustock, mega-d), I was consistently seeing a 10 to 1 
IPs-to-unique-bots count over a time period of a week.  Happy to make the raw 
pcap data available to anyone who is curious.  The UCSB guys showed similar 
results in their excellent Torpig paper.  
http://www.cs.ucsb.edu/~seclab/projects/torpig/torpig.pdf

My unscientific finger-in-the-wind would put it at well under 1M when you are 
talking a month and a half of monitoring IP connections.

Regards,

Alex Lanstein

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