On 02/01/16 15:35, Tomas Podermanski wrote:
Hi,
according to Google's statistics
(https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html) on 31st December
2015 the IPv6 penetration reached 10% for the very first time. Just a
little reminder. On 20th Nov 2012 the number was 1%. In December we also
celebrated the 20th anniversary of IPv6 standardization - RFC 1883.
I'm wondering when we reach another significant milestone - 50% :-)
Tomas
Given the recent doubling growth, and assuming this trend is following a
logistic function, then, rounding the numbers a bit for neatness, I get:
Jan 2016: 10%
Jan 2017: 20%
Jan 2018: 33%
Jan 2019: 50%
Jan 2020: 67%
Jan 2021: 80%
Jan 2022: 90%
with IPv4 traffic then halving year by year from then on, and IPv4
switch-off (ie. traffic < 1%) around 2027.
Neil