David Conrad wrote:
Joe,
On Feb 19, 2008, at 4:28 AM, Joe Maimon wrote:
When IANA free pool exhaustion happens or even appears to be imminent,
one can expect push for allocation policies to be changed drastically
towards the miserly.
No.
...
The RIR bureaucracy is a ponderous ship that turns very slowly and has
multiple captains who do not necessarily agree on the direction to
turn. IPv4 allocation policy revisions aren't going to save us.
A collaborative bottom-up consensus-based policy determination framework
is a ponderous ship that turns ... [etc]. The problem is not
necessarily in the machine room that implements these address allocation
policies but in the process of determining policies that all interested
parties can live with. It takes time. Probably more time than you have left.
So even if there are a flurry of last minute policy proposals to salvage
the situation it may well be a case of too little too late.
The question is how ARIN will deal with the market after the IPv4
free pool exhausts.
I would suggest that the real question is "How will industry deal with
the situation when the current supply streams for IPv4 vaporize?"
And the secondary question is "Will the industry's reaction to this
shift in the supply of addresses destroy the integrity and utility of
the entire IPv4 space?"
What I'm gettting at is that if there is no mechanism in whatever
industry does for address supply after the unallocated pool exhausts to
preserve the essential attribute of the address system, namely
uniqueness of use, and we start to see competing claims to be able to
use addresses without any agreed framework of resolution, then what
happens to the Internet? Do we all just originate whatever addresses we
feel like on the day in to the routing system?
Yep. And the question is: as an ISP or other address consuming
organization, what will you do when the cost of obtaining IPv4 addresses
skyrockets? So far, as far as I can tell, the answer to that question
(in most cases) has been putting hands over ears and saying "La la la"
loudly. See
<http://www.networkworld.com/news/2008/020608-ipv4-address-depletion.html>.
indeed.
Geoff
