Europe is reeling from the unsurprising message of JD Vance’s speech in Munich 
last week that (news flash) Trump meant it all along. And we must take him 
"literally not just seriously". It really is and has always been America 1st. 
NATO's article 5 and protecting Europe are no longer on the menu.

The old ideological basis of fighting communism has long gone and the Trumpian 
regime has moved swiftly to dispense with established commitments and 
alliances. Some have seen it as a return to the great power carve up of Yalta, 
but that makes little sense when there can be no trust. As any new treaty will 
have to rely on an erratic protagonist happy to throw previous long-standing 
allies under any available bus.

So from the perspective of what serves the interests of the MAGA mind virus, is 
there any downside to this “shock and awe” program? Right now, it must look 
like it’s all upside. In that Europe (who has only itself to blame) has been 
shaken out of its delusional slumber. And is struggling to adapt to the 
realisation that the old order’s bi-polar logic no longer applies. As we are 
fracturing into multiple competing states the old left vs right dichotomy 
appears to have been superseded by autocratic technocracy vs autocratic 
populism, with the latter currently in the driving seat.

So once again is there a downside from a Trumpian perspective to this campaign 
and if so what does it look like? Maybe we should start with its potential 
impact on hi-tech global manufacturing’s continued dependence on complex supply 
chains? Where will the great unravelling of this hubristic maelstrom appear?

David Garcia


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