Shd have been rate earths AREN’T really rare. 

> On Sep 1, 2025, at 5:36 PM, Keith Sanborn via nettime-l 
> <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> Dear Petter,
> 
> They don’t go into it in a lot of detail, but they do point to Indonesia as a 
> model of technology transfer from China and point to the emerging consensus 
> in REE rich countries that they need to process the material themselves. 
> Several examples are listed, among them Chile and Brazil. That seems to be 
> the key point, though Rare Earths are really rare, processing facilities and 
> technology for them is. And as you point out, that’s overwhelmingly in China. 
> Another issue, however, is that current methods of processing them are 
> extremely dirty and have lead to wide-spread pollution in China. Without an 
> improvement in that technology, it would be inviting additional eco-disaster, 
> something to which Brazil for example is no stranger.
> 
> Keith
> 
>> On Sep 1, 2025, at 6:04 AM, Petter Ericson via nettime-l 
>> <[email protected]> wrote:
>> 
>> It's a great article and podcast, but one thing that I think might be 
>> relevant
>> that they don't go too much into is the role of Rare Earth Elements/Minerals
>> (REE), and their role in high-tech electronics in general, and the position 
>> of
>> China in particular in their production.
>> 
>> Briefly, while you can certainly build an electric generator and basic
>> semiconductors using elements and with processes that are widely available, 
>> for
>> high-power and high-efficiency electrical components, there is a need for 
>> REE,
>> and while REE are widely spread in the earth's crust (despite the name) the 
>> actual
>> _mining_ and especially _processing_ of REE is highly concentrated in China.
>> 
>> This does place China in a more central position in purely material terms 
>> than
>> maybe is implied by the article, in addition to their massive economic and
>> logistic importance. It is definitely a very different position compared to 
>> the
>> petro-state however: Instead of having a paradigm where the raw mining of the
>> energy-carrying medium itself (oil) is quite geographically limited, with its
>> production and refinement even moreso (a massive part of global shipping is
>> either crude oil going to refineries or refined products going back to where
>> the crude oil was mined), the electric paradigm is one step removed: the
>> centralised control and vulnerable supply chain is not on the _energy itself_
>> but on the _energy producing and energy using components_.
>> 
>> In order to survive an oil blockade, you need to stock up on massive amounts 
>> of
>> refined products that are used and gone quite quickly, but an REE or solar
>> panel blockade would have a much slower and potentially more complex 
>> progression.
>> 
>> These are just some thoughts I had reading and listening to these excellent 
>> works.
>> 
>> /P
>> 
>>> On 01 september, 2025 - Felix Stalder via nettime-l wrote:
>>> 
>>> 
>>> This is one of the best articles on geopolitics that I've read in a long
>>> time, not the least because it puts BRICS at the center, rather than the US.
>>> 
>>> https://www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/brics-in-2025/
>>> 
>>> The basic argument is that the competition between China and the US is now
>>> also a competition between two techno-political paradigms, one based on
>>> (green) electricity and one based on fossil fuels, with China being the
>>> largest producer of green energy (by far), while the US as become the
>>> largest exporter of fossil fuels.
>>> 
>>> And these are really two paradigms from which very different industrial
>>> policies, geopolitics, eco-politics, and even cultures (think
>>> petromasculinity) flow.
>>> 
>>> There is now a fierce geopolitical competition between these two paradigms,
>>> and the US has relatively little to offer, so it has to revert to brute
>>> force to keep other countries in line. This works best with allies (think
>>> Europe promising to buy LNG and scrapping tariffs on US monster cars). Also
>>> domestically, the US uses brute-force to keep fossil fuels competitive,
>>> cancelling almost finished green energy installations and gutting the EPA to
>>> offload more of the costs to public.
>>> 
>>> On the other hand, the China model (and cheap Chinese exports), allow
>>> countries like Pakistan to leap-frog in terms of energy production,
>>> installing 17GW of solar capacity in 2024 in a largely bottom-up process (as
>>> a comparison, Germany installed about 20GW).
>>> 
>>> As they write:
>>> 
>>> "China’s package of automation, digitalization, and electrification offers
>>> firms and nations not just carbon-reduction but also—more
>>> persuasively—productivity, efficiency, and energy sovereignty. The material
>>> basis of the global production, consumption and information systems are
>>> being remade. One doesn’t have to be a Marxist to think that will imply a
>>> radical transformation in global politics."
>>> 
>>> They summarize this shift as "Diversify, dedollarize, decarbonize".
>>> 
>>> And, interestingly, AI plays an important, but somewhat subordinate role, as
>>> part of a new industrial infrastructure, which underpins the electrification
>>> and digitization in all its aspects. No AGI necessary.
>>> 
>>> The article even contains an update of Carlotta Perez famous chart on
>>> techno-economic paradigms, with the IT/software paradigm in decline.
>>> 
>>> 
>>> 
>>> I came across this article via Paris Marx's Tech Won't Save US podcasts,
>>> where the two authors. Kate Mackenzie and Tim Sahay, were interviewed.
>>> 
>>> https://techwontsave.us/episode/291_how_chinas_renewable_push_upends_geopolitics_w_kate_mackenzie__tim_sahay
>>> 
>>> --
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>> 
>> --
>> Petter Ericson ([email protected])
>> --
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> 
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