Dancing Alone

By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN

Published: May 13, 2004

 
Columnist Page: Thomas L. Friedman
  
   
 Iraq 
 
 
It is time to ask this question: Do we have any chance of succeeding at
regime change in Iraq without regime change here at home?

"Hey, Friedman, why are you bringing politics into this all of a sudden?
You're the guy who always said that producing a decent outcome in Iraq was
of such overriding importance to the country that it had to be kept above
politics."

Yes, that's true. I still believe that. My mistake was thinking that the
Bush team believed it, too. I thought the administration would have to do
the right things in Iraq � from prewar planning and putting in enough troops
to dismissing the secretary of defense for incompetence � because surely
this was the most important thing for the president and the country. But I
was wrong. There is something even more important to the Bush crowd than
getting Iraq right, and that's getting re-elected and staying loyal to the
conservative base to do so. It has always been more important for the Bush
folks to defeat liberals at home than Baathists abroad. That's why they
spent more time studying U.S. polls than Iraqi history. That is why, I'll
bet, Karl Rove has had more sway over this war than Assistant Secretary of
State for Near Eastern Affairs Bill Burns. Mr. Burns knew only what would
play in the Middle East. Mr. Rove knew what would play in the Middle West.

I admit, I'm a little slow. Because I tried to think about something as
deadly serious as Iraq, and the post- 9/11 world, in a nonpartisan fashion �
as Joe Biden, John McCain and Dick Lugar did � I assumed the Bush officials
were doing the same. I was wrong. They were always so slow to change course
because confronting their mistakes didn't just involve confronting reality,
but their own politics.

Why, in the face of rampant looting in the war's aftermath, which dug us
into such a deep and costly hole, wouldn't Mr. Rumsfeld put more troops into
Iraq? Politics. First of all, Rummy wanted to crush once and for all the
Powell doctrine, which says you fight a war like this only with overwhelming
force. I know this is hard to believe, but the Pentagon crew hated Colin
Powell, and wanted to see him humiliated 10 times more than Saddam. Second,
Rummy wanted to prove to all those U.S. generals whose Army he was intent on
downsizing that a small, mobile, high-tech force was all you needed today to
take over a country. Third, the White House always knew this was a war of
choice � its choice � so it made sure that average Americans never had to
pay any price or bear any burden. Thus, it couldn't call up too many
reservists, let alone have a draft. Yes, there was a contradiction between
the Bush war on taxes and the Bush war on terrorism. But it was resolved:
the Bush team decided to lower taxes rather than raise troop levels. 

Why, in the face of the Abu Ghraib travesty, wouldn't the administration
make some uniquely American gesture? Because these folks have no clue how to
export hope. They would never think of saying, "Let's close this prison
immediately and reopen it in a month as the Abu Ghraib Technical College for
Computer Training � with all the equipment donated by Dell, H.P. and
Microsoft." Why didn't the administration ever use 9/11 as a spur to launch
a Manhattan project for energy independence and conservation, so we could
break out of our addiction to crude oil, slowly disengage from this region
and speak truth to fundamentalist regimes, such as Saudi Arabia? (Addicts
never tell the truth to their pushers.) Because that might have required a
gas tax or a confrontation with the administration's oil moneymen. Why did
the administration always � rightly � bash Yasir Arafat, but never lift a
finger or utter a word to stop Ariel Sharon's massive building of illegal
settlements in the West Bank? Because while that might have earned America
credibility in the Middle East, it might have cost the Bush campaign Jewish
votes in Florida.

And, of course, why did the president praise Mr. Rumsfeld rather than fire
him? Because Karl Rove says to hold the conservative base, you must always
appear to be strong, decisive and loyal. It is more important that the
president appear to be true to his team than that America appear to be true
to its principles. (Here's the new Rummy Defense: "I am accountable. But the
little guys were responsible. I was just giving orders.")

Add it all up, and you see how we got so off track in Iraq, why we are
dancing alone in the world � and why our president, who has a strong moral
vision, has no moral influence. 


<http://www.nytimes.com/2004/05/13/opinion/13FRIE.html>



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