http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/leading-articles/leading-article-europe
s-pivotal-role-in-averting-a-new-round-of-balkan-bloodshed-786119.html

INDEPENDENT (UK)

LEADER

Saturday, 23 February 2008

Europe's pivotal role in averting a
new round of Balkan bloodshed

The strict limitations on Kosovan independence and
guarantees for the rights of the Serb population
within the country appear to have done little to
appease the anger of the Belgrade government. Serbia
has ruled out military action in response to the
declaration of independence, but its leaders are
clearly determined to do nothing to calm domestic
passions over the breakaway of what many Serbs regard
as their cultural heartland.

Serbia's minister for Kosovo declared the assault on
the border posts "in accordance with general
government policies". In his view, the destruction was
"not nice but legitimate". Meanwhile, at Thursday's
rally the Serbian Prime Minister Vojislav Kostunica
declared "as long as we live, Kosovo is Serbia". These
are words designed to whip up anger, not assuage it.

It is true that yesterday Mr Kostunica condemned the
"brutal violence" at the US embassy, but other
politicians were slow to do so. And it has been noted
that there appeared to be no police protecting the
embassy district, despite the fact that it was an
obvious target. It has been remarked upon too that
riot police made only a belated intervention.

The Kosovan Prime Minister, Hashim Thaci, has compared
the mood in Belgrade to that of a decade ago, when
Slobodan Milosevic ordered the persecution of ethnic
Albanian separatists in Kosovo. While such scenes are
not about to be repeated, the violent partition of the
Serbian majority districts of Kosovo from the ethnic
Albanian areas is a real possibility unless the
Serbian government gets a grip.

Can such a disastrous outcome be avoided? That largely
depends on whether the carrot of European Union
membership proves more alluring to the Serbs than the
desire to scupper Kosovan independence. In some
respects this avenue to stability is unpromising. A
preliminary membership deal with the EU was reached
last year, but collapsed because of Serbia's continued
failure to co-operate fully with the United Nations
war crimes tribunal for offences committed during the
break-up of the former Yugoslavia. The EU was ready to
sign an interim trade agreement with Belgrade earlier
this month, but Mr Kostunica blocked the move over
European plans to support the fledgling Kosovan state
with a 2,000-strong policing mission. Since the
declaration of independence, diplomatic relations have
deteriorated even further, with Serbia withdrawing its
ambassador to Britain and other European nations that
have recognised Kosovo.

But there is hope. The Serbian Foreign minister, Vuk
Jeremic, was careful to make it clear this week that
Belgrade's argument is with individual EU countries,
not the EU as a whole. And the Serbs rejected the
hard-line presidential candidate, Tomislav Nikolic,
earlier this month in favour of the pro-EU Boris
Tadic. A deal can still be done between Serbia and the
EU. Indeed, if Kosovo's birth is not to be drenched in
violence, it will have to be.

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