http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/1016/42/371888.htm


Moscow Times
October 23, 2008


Obama's Change Must Start With His Advisers
By Edward Lozansky
 

Twelve days before the U.S. presidential election, all
indicators are pointing to a victory by Senator Barack
Obama. There is always a chance for last-minute
surprises, but miracles are rare things. 

I think the main reason for Senator John McCain's
likely defeat is that too many influential groups
within his own Republican Party never regarded him as
the best choice available. 

I am not talking only about neocons. Even moderates,
such as the widely admired former Secretary of State
Colin Powell, have turned away from McCain. Powell
said he was dismayed by the tenor of McCain's campaign
and not thrilled by his choice of Governor Sarah
Palin, and it is easy to understand him on these
points.

If Obama wins the election, his presidency will be
most welcome in Europe and the rest of the world and
will definitely help improve relations with U.S.
allies and Washington's image in general. 

But when it comes to U.S.–Russian relations, one
should not expect any drastic changes for the better
unless Obama overhauls his foreign policy team. 

The current lineup comprising official and
self-proclaimed advisers on Russia is as bad as
McCain's and in some cases even worse, starting with
former U.S. National Security Adviser Zbigniew
Brzezinski and former U.S. Ambassador to the United
Nations Richard Holbrooke.

Obama's running mate, Senator Joseph Biden, is not
much better on Russia than Palin. 

Besides lobbying in the middle of a huge financial
crisis for $1 billion for his good friend President
Mikheil Saakashvili of Georgia, Biden is known for
blocking the lifting of the Jackson-Vanik amendment
unless Moscow guarantees large purchases of U.S.
chicken. 

This outdated obstacle to trade engenders resentment
in Russia, blocks its admission to the World Trade
Organization, and harms U.S.-Russian economic and
diplomatic ties.

Before making any long-term projections, we will have
to see who Obama's choices will be for secretary of
state and national security adviser. 
....
Making up such lists is quite an enjoyable occupation,
but somehow I am not too sanguine about Obama's future
selections. 

As for the present, he is clearly surrounded by people
who may yet make the Kremlin feel nostalgic for the
good old days of the Bush administration.

Edward Lozansky is president of the American
University in Moscow. 

 

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