When they were Yugoslavs, Slovenes had access to the whole Adriatic coast, 
the Danube, neded no visas for other Yugo "republics".

... 

 

 

 http://www.balkaninsight.com/en/main/comment/28544/

 

High Noon in Slovenia – A Referendum and the Future of Balkan Enlargement

 

Balkan Insight  | 04 June 2010 | By Kristof Bender and Gerald Knaus  

On Sunday, Slovenia’s citizens will cast their votes in a referendum on a 
question of apparently modest global significance: Are you in favour of a law 
ratifying an arbitration agreement between Slovenia and Croatia over a minor 
territorial dispute? 

As a matter of fact, in casting their votes Slovenian citizens will be 
answering a much more fundamental question – one that will have huge 
implications for Slovenia’s future foreign policy, and perhaps for the future 
of EU enlargement in the Balkans.

Slovenian citizens will be deciding whether Slovenia will remain a supporter of 
the Europeanisation of the Western Balkans, or will join the ranks of EU 
countries that hope that the promise of a European future for the region can be 
deferred indefinitely.

These are difficult days for South East Europe. Unemployment is rising in the 
wake of financial turmoil in the EU. Frustration over the EU’s endless delaying 
tactics is poisoning the political climate. The EU gathering this week in 
Sarajevo turned out to be a disappointing flop. 

The German and French foreign ministers did not even turn up, with senior EU 
officials admitting off the record that ‘Berlin has decided that enlargement is 
over’.

As always, the EU is quick to blame the region for its own problems. But this 
is beginning to ring hollow. At present, the EU has no credible policy towards 
the Balkans. 

>From Greek intransigence over Macedonia’s name to European divisions on 
>everything from Kosovo’s status to the future of the international mission in 
>Bosnia to whether Serbia is cooperating with the Hague Tribunal, EU policy is 
>in disarray.

In this situation, it is critical that those who believe in a European future 
for the Balkans make their voices heard. Since joining the EU in 2004, Slovenia 
has been a steadfast ally to the region. During its EU presidency, Slovenia 
worked hard for a more liberal visa regime. Sunday’s referendum, however, could 
bring this to an abrupt end.

A ‘no’ vote would leave Croatia in no-man’s land, and the rest of the region 
even further from its destination. It would play directly into the hands of 
European enlargement sceptics.

What is this issue that might tempt Slovenians to turn against their friends 
and neighbours? The bone of contention is 13 square kilometres of largely 
uninhabited 2 land, and a wedge of territorial water in and near Piran Bay. The 
sea is Slovenia’s main concern.

Slovenia has been insisting that it must have ‘territorial contact’ with 
international waters in the Adriatic, to ensure the viability of its port of 
Koper and its national fishing industry.

To external observers, the Slovenian position is difficult to understand. Any 
ship using the port of Koper, or indeed the Italian port of Trieste, must pass 
through Croatian, Slovenian and Italian waters. This is no big deal, as under 
international law, all ships enjoy a right of innocent passage through the 
territorial waters of other states. As for fishing, even the option to 
discriminate against Slovenia would disappear once Croatia becomes a EU member.

Last November, the Slovenian prime minister Borut Pahor and his Croatian 
counterpart, Jadranka Kosor, agreed to an EU proposal to submit their dispute 
to a binding arbitration. This was a pragmatic way of resolving an issue that 
at the end of the day was important above all in its potential to derail 
Croatia’s accession process. It was a reassuring assertion of states(wo)manship 
by the two governments.

After Pahor successfully pushed the deal through parliament in April, Sunday’s 
referendum is the final obstacle to putting this matter finally to bed.

Yet the leading Slovenian opposition party, the SDS of former prime minister 
Janez Jansa, has called on Slovenia to reject the deal, which Jansa describes 
as ‘capitulation’ and evidence of a ‘servile mentality’.

This is blatant populism. It was Jansa himself who, in 2007, reached an 
agreement with then Croatian prime minister Ivo Sanader to submit the matter to 
an international tribunal. Nonetheless, recent opinion polls suggest that 
Jansa’s campaign is having an impact. What once appeared to be a comfortable 
majority in favour of compromise has now shrunk, and the result could go both 
ways.

If Slovenians vote ‘no’ on Sunday, it will be a godsend to opponents of EU 
enlargement, playing to every Balkan stereotype. If even Slovenia and Croatia, 
two traditional allies with no history of conflict, cannot resolve their 
disagreements, what hope is there for the rest of the region?

Why would Europe want yet more fractious members in its already troubled ranks? 
For many people in the Balkans, the prosperous, democratic nation of Slovenia 
has served as a beacon of hope. 

A ‘yes’ vote on Sunday would ensure that Slovenia retains its influence, within 
the EU and the Balkan region, as a champion of a European future for the 
region. It would truly be a step towards the day when the Northern Adriatic 
would become at last a place without borders.

All is now in the hands of the Slovenian electorate. It is truly high noon in 
Slovenia.

This article was originally published by the  <http://www.esiweb.org/> European 
Stability Initiative. For more information  
<http://www.esiweb.org/enlargement/?cat=15#%231> click here. 

 

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