Scaremongering, or legitimate things to worry about?  Lots of the "Talkback" 
comments are that ZDNet is over the top these days, but it seems to me he's got 
some legitimate points.

------- Included Stuff Follows ------- 
Why RAID 5 stops working in 2009 | Storage Bits | ZDNet.com

  Disks fail
    While disks are incredibly reliable devices, they do fail. Our best data - 
    from CMU and Google - finds that over 3% of drives fail each year in the 
    first three years of drive life, and then failure rates start rising fast.

    With 7 brand new disks, you have ~20% chance of seeing a disk failure each 
    year. Factor in the rising failure rate with age and over 4 years you are 
    almost certain to see a disk failure during the life of those disks.

    But you´re protected by RAID 5, right? Not in 2009.

  Reads fail
    SATA drives are commonly specified with an unrecoverable read error rate 
    (URE) of 10^14. Which means that once every 100,000,000,000,000 bits, the 
    disk will very politely tell you that, so sorry, but I really, truly can´t 
    read that sector back to you.

    One hundred trillion bits is about 12 terabytes. Sound like a lot? Not in 
    2009.

  Disk capacities double
    Disk drive capacities double every 18-24 months. We have 1 TB drives now, 
    and in 2009 we´ll have 2 TB drives.

    With a 7 drive RAID 5 disk failure, you´ll have 6 remaining 2 TB drives. 
    As the RAID controller is busily reading through those 6 disks to 
    reconstruct the data from the failed drive, it is almost certain it will 
    see an URE.

    So the read fails. And when that happens, you are one unhappy camper. The 
    message "we can´t read this RAID volume" travels up the chain of command 
    until an error message is presented on the screen. 12 TB of your carefully 
    protected - you thought! - data is gone. Oh, you didn´t back it up to 
    tape? Bummer!

--------- Included Stuff Ends ---------
More here with links: http://blogs.zdnet.com/storage/?p=162


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Angus Scott-Fleming
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