The problem seems to be wanting the HTM to have some kind of
"meta-standard". An anomaly that regularly occurs (is periodic) - isn't. So
by definition, the HTM does exactly as it is supposed to by learning
"patterns" which at one point are anomalous (as is every input at first).
So conceptually I don't see the problem? Just thinking out loud...

Cheers,
David

On Thu, Oct 15, 2015 at 10:21 AM, Alex Lavin <ala...@numenta.com> wrote:

> Hi Cas,
> In your scenario, where you're concerned an HTM model will learn to
> recognize a "common" anomaly as normal, a good idea then would be to turn
> off learning. It is likely by this point the model has been exposed to a
> large history of data, and thus has sufficiently learned temporal patterns
> to reliably detect anomalies, both the common ones and others. And as Mark
> recommended, it would be good to have a second model that continues to
> learn.
>
> To illustrate what I mean, I've done this in the Hot Gym anomaly example
> [1]. Running as is (with learning always on), two anomalies are detected:
> at "2010-10-23 10:00:00" and "2010-11-13 08:00:00". By adding `if i ==
> 2000: model.disableLearning()` before the model runs [2], I turn off
> learning for all of the incoming data instances 2000+. This results in 38
> additional anomalies detected. But with i == 3000, the model still flags
> only the original two anomalies. So as I described above, disabling
> learning can be useful, but this example shows this would only be a
> reliable solution if the model has had sufficient time to learn from the
> data.
>
> Additionally, take a look at these plots [3, 4]. The first represents the
> model with learning always on, and the second with learning turned off at
> record 3000. Notice the difference in the anomaly log-likelihood values
> (bottom plots) after 3000.
>
> [1]
> https://github.com/numenta/nupic/tree/master/examples/opf/clients/hotgym/anomaly
> [2]
> https://github.com/numenta/nupic/blob/master/examples/opf/clients/hotgym/anomaly/hotgym_anomaly.py#L68
> [3] https://plot.ly/~alavin/3236/hot-gym-anomalies/
> [4] https://plot.ly/~alavin/3238/hot-gym-anomalies/
>
> Cheers,
> Alex
>



-- 
*With kind regards,*

David Ray
Java Solutions Architect

*Cortical.io <http://cortical.io/>*
Sponsor of:  HTM.java <https://github.com/numenta/htm.java>

d....@cortical.io
http://cortical.io

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