Thank you for the update Arthur. What is the "default" NuPIC model you are 
using? For anomaly detection we recommend using this set params [1]. You can 
pull these params directly into your model with the 
getScalarMetricWithTimeOfDayAnomalyParams() [2], as we've done for the detector 
in NAB [3].

Are you using anomaly score or anomaly likelihood to flag the anomalies? What  
values does the model output at the first and second outages? If a NuPIC model 
encounters the same anomalies repeatedly, it will learn these to be normal and 
stop detecting them.

What is the granularity of the data? Yes it would help to see the code and/or 
the data.

Also, if you're able to share the labeled anomaly data, you should check out 
the NAB Competition: numenta.org/nab<http://numenta.org/nab/>. You can win a 
bunch of money for the data!

[1] 
https://github.com/numenta/nupic/blob/master/src/nupic/frameworks/opf/common_models/anomaly_params_random_encoder/best_single_metric_anomaly_params.json
[2] 
https://github.com/numenta/nupic/blob/master/src/nupic/frameworks/opf/common_models/cluster_params.py#L29
[3] 
https://github.com/numenta/NAB/blob/master/nab/detectors/numenta/numenta_detector.py#L73-L78

Cheers,
Alex

--
Alexander Lavin
Software Engineer
Numenta

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