I hope this report is not too much out of place here. I've discussed the Block 
Island winter counts with many New York birders over the years, and I hope that 
the idea behind them might be of interest to people here as well. For those 
unfamiliar with these counts, we have been bracketing the CBC with counts on 
Veterans Day in mid November (after most nocturnal-migrant landbirds have 
completed the bulk of their regular southbound migration) and Presidents Day in 
mid-late February (after the worst of the winter but before north-bound 
migration begins for most nocturnal-migrant landbirds). We chose Block Island 
for a number of reasons. It lacks a number of resident species that are common 
on the mainland, making detection of migrants/dispersants much easier; and its 
isolation means that sedentary species like Carolina Wren will not be arriving 
or departing throughout the winter, so changes in numbers from Nov to Dec to 
Feb reflect only detection and mortality. With this independent control for 
detection rates, we have been interested in measuring post-migratory movements 
by more mobile species, as well as charting mortality through late winter.

If you have a CBC module that you enjoy and that is relatively rich in thicket 
birds, consider working it again now and noting carefully how many Song 
Sparrows, Cardinals, and other species are present, relative to what you saw in 
December.
________________________________________
From: Shaibal Mitra
Sent: Tuesday, March 1, 2016 7:55 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: 21st Block Island Presidents Day Count

Nine observers conducted the 21st annual Block Island Presidents Day Count on 
15 Feb 2016. Pre-dawn temperatures were near 0 F at Pt. Judith and about 10 F 
at Block Island, but warmed to 24 F by the time most of us left on the 2:30 
ferry. Winds were calm, however, and conditions were actually very good for 
detecting birds (apart from deep snow drifts along the edges of open areas).

The species total of 76 was close to average. Among several notable species 
recorded, none was extremely rare or surprising. The highlights were:
2 Wilson's Snipe (both found by Doug "Snipe-dog" Wilson)
1 Thick-billed Murre (mid-crossing, a.m. ferry)
1 Snowy Owl
1 Yellow-bellied Sapsucker (historically very rare on BI in winter)
1 Eastern Phoebe
and a count-week Common Raven

The motivation for this project, and much of whatever interest it might 
inspire, centers on carefully selected sets of numbers of common species--not 
only across years, but also across winter seasons, from a mid-November VDC, to 
the CBC, to this winter wrap-up. We've already verified the long-suspected (but 
much debated) process whereby many species of landbirds make major 
post-migratory movements between mid November and mid December:

 https://sora.unm.edu/sites/default/files/journals/nab/v055n04/p00499-p00503.pdf

--and the extent to which many supposedly "half-hardy" species survive through 
February, even during severe winters:

https://sora.unm.edu/sites/default/files/journals/nab/v055n01/p00007-p00012.pdf

If ever there was a year in which the hard-weather "bounce" of half-hardies 
might be expected to occur between Dec and Feb, rather than during the now 
well-documented period Nov to Dec, this winter (2015-2016) was that winter: 
unprecedentedly mild conditions extended through year's end, and the winter's 
snow and cold was unusually concentrated between the CBC and PDC. In other 
words, we almost expected to see an increase in the numbers of Gray Catbirds, 
Eastern Towhees, etc., between the CBC and the PDC this year. I haven't had a 
chance yet to fully correct for effort and wind speed, but the raw data (e.g., 
14 GRCA in Feb, vs. 4 in Dec) actually seem to support the amazing idea that 
nocturnal-migrant passerines are capable of escaping poor conditions over long 
distances as late as January and February! (Why not?--ducks do it.)

With this year's PDC, we completed our 20th full winter season, and I 
calculated a trend index comparing the first decade to the second. I also 
independently scored high and low counts, in traditional CBC fashion. 
Interestingly, among ten species whose numbers were high this year, nine show 
increasing trends over the course of the past 20 years. Similarly, among 14 
species whose counts this year were low, 11 show decreasing trends over the 
past 20 years (the other four species showed no major historical trend).

This year's PDC results are copied below, and a detailed table summarizing the 
historical trends is available on request.

Shai Mitra
Bay Shore, NY

Canada Goose 129
Mute Swan 5
Gadwall 34; high count & increasing trend
American Wigeon 5
American Black Duck 108
Mallard 329
Green-winged Teal 2
Ring-necked Duck 53; high count & increasing trend
Greater Scaup 10
Lesser Scaup 1
Common Eider 941; high count & increasing trend
Surf Scoter 84
White-winged Scoter 1380
Black Scoter 755
Scoter Species 350
Long-tailed Duck 91; high count & increasing trend
Bufflehead 84
Common Goldeneye 140
Hooded Merganser 9
Red-breasted Merganser 105; low count & decreasing trend
Ring-necked Pheasant 3; low count & decreasing trend
Red-throated Loon 6
Common Loon 106
Pied-billed Grebe 1
Horned Grebe 52
Red-necked Grebe 2
Northern Gannet 1; low count & decreasing trend
Great Cormorant 50
Northern Harrier 7
Cooper's Hawk 4
Virginia Rail 1
Black-bellied Plover 6
Sanderling 48
Purple Sandpiper 4
Wilson's Snipe 2; unusual species
Bonaparte's Gull 2
Ring-billed Gull 11
Herring Gull 175; low count
Great Black-backed Gull 91; low count & decreasing trend
Common Murre 2
Thick-billed Murre 1; unusual species
Razorbill 6
Black Guillemot 1
Rock Pigeon 14
Mourning Dove 99
Snowy Owl 1; unusual species
Red-bellied Woodpecker 3; high count & increasing trend
Yellow-bellied Sapsucker 1; unusual species
Downy Woodpecker 22; high count & increasing trend
Northern Flicker 7; low count & decreasing trend
Eastern Phoebe 1; unusual species
Blue Jay 32
American Crow 110; low count
Fish Crow 10
Black-capped Chickadee 135
Carolina Wren 23; low count
Ruby-crowned Kinglet 1
Hermit Thrush 5
American Robin 184
Gray Catbird 14
Northern Mockingbird 5; low count & decreasing trend
Brown Thrasher 2
European Starling 182; low count & decreasing trend
Myrtle Warbler 70; low count & decreasing trend
Eastern Towhee 3; low count & decreasing trend
American Tree Sparrow 2; low count & decreasing trend
Field Sparrow 5; high count & increasing trend
Fox Sparrow 2
Song Sparrow 199
Swamp Sparrow 3
White-throated Sparrow 136
Slate-colored Junco 21
Northern Cardinal 151; high count
Red-winged Blackbird 15
House Finch 49
American Goldfinch 2; low count & decreasing trend
House Sparrow 312; high count & increasing trend

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