Ini bandar sontoloyo asal ngomong, coba dia berani guyur 900 kite Obers
borong, kayak kite anak kecil saja mau dibohongin dengan analisa petak
umpet, ha.ha.ha udeh nggak jaman boong-boongan kayak anak kecil, ML emang
paling bisa pakei tukang riset Tuyul.weleh.weleh.weleh

 

BT

 

  _____  

From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com]
On Behalf Of Rei
Sent: Monday, February 16, 2009 1:09 PM
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] ANTM (TP Rp900) - Merrill Lynch: Potential
difficulties offset attractive price

 

Sht....let it be...if they give us 900, we would be very happy!!!

On Mon, Feb 16, 2009 at 1:07 PM, SyIFA Fund <syifa.f...@yahoo.
<mailto:syifa.f...@yahoo.com> com> wrote:


Ohh...ML just CAUTIOUS like usual. Underground mining is difficult?come
on...ML analyst should go to Aceh and Kalimantan and should see that
underground mining is no longer difficult...just hire the Australian to do
that.
And IF you guys carefully read this ML analyst report, you can see too many
conflicts in her writing. That make me CAUTIOUS also..hehe...PEACE.



Regards,


SF FM
Where you can trust your fund

--- On Mon, 2/16/09, simon bolenang <simon_bolenang@
<mailto:simon_bolen...@yahoo.com> yahoo.com> wrote:

From: simon bolenang <simon_bolenang@ <mailto:simon_bolen...@yahoo.com>
yahoo.com>
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] ANTM (TP Rp900) - Merrill Lynch: Potential
difficulties offset attractive price
To: "obrolan-bandar yahoogroups" <obrolan-bandar@
<mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com> yahoogroups.com>, "saham
yahoogroups" <sa...@yahoogroups. <mailto:sa...@yahoogroups.com> com>
Date: Monday, February 16, 2009, 5:46 AM


 


 

Muted reaction to recent gold asset acquisition

ANTM has signed a Heads of Agreement to transfer ownership of PT Cibaliung

Sumber Daya (CSD) from Arc Exploration to ANTM. ANTM will settle Arc's

US$8mn debt to ANZ. The move should effectively make ANTM the sole owner of

the undeveloped Cibaliung gold mine, in which CSD has a 95% stake. While we

think the price is attractive, our reaction is muted given past project
delays and

mining difficulty. Mining is by underground cut-and-fill stoping with
decline access.

Cibaliung mining not straightforward, in our view

True, ANTM might get Cibaliung for a cheap price: US$8mn for a 95% stake in

Cibaliung, which has 412,000 oz reserves (US$20.4/oz) . And we understand
Arc

has spent a substantial amount to develop the mine. However, considering
project

commissioning has been delayed for around two years on capex overrun, some

financing difficulty and some development phase delays, we are now at the
"wait

and see" stage. ANTM is targeting to spend an additional US$35-40mn to bring
it

into operation in 2H10.

ANTM still largely a nickel company after the acquisition

We view Cibaliung more as a replacement for ANTM's Pongkor gold mine rather

than a significant addition. As of December 2007, Pongkor gold reserve was

742,750 oz, which we estimate can last for another 3-4 years based on
historical

peak production. By 2011 we expect ANTM to still be largely a nickel
producer,

with nickel contributing about 70% of total revenue.

Our stance: still cautious near term

We have yet to see a rebound in nickel price with LME inventory still
creeping up

and the global economy yet to recover. We await FY08 results to get fuller
details,

and indicators to what lies ahead. ANTM has warned of a potential derivative
loss,

which we believe could negatively impact its cash position. As of Sep 2008,
its net

cash was ~US$260mn.

 

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