baca kolom rosihan anwar di kompas hari ini. On 5/9/09, Vic <victor_speran...@yahoo.com> wrote: > Kalla's last hurrah > > JAKARTA, May 9 — It is easy to be persuaded that everything that has gone on > in the deeply-divided Golkar party over the past few months may have been an > elaborate charade, designed to railroad Indonesian Vice-President Jusuf > Kalla and perhaps to earn some leverage in the process. > > Short of an unforeseen dive in President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono's > fortunes, Kalla's partnership with former General Wiranto of the People's > Conscience Party (Hanura) as running mate is looking very much like an > honourable exit — or what one member calls "a final solution". > > But however badly he does in the July 9 presidential election, one thing is > for sure: Golkar will almost certainly be back in the embrace of Yudhoyono's > majority Democratic Party by year's end, if not a good deal sooner. > > Golkar won't get the vice-presidency this time, but Yudhoyono will ensure it > has enough Cabinet seats to guarantee at least a large measure of its > loyalty in the new 560-seat House of Representatives. > > Yudhoyono's choice of a semi-independent running mate, such as Central Bank > governor Boerdiono or State Secretary Hatta Radjasa, would take a lot of the > usual party horse-trading out of play. These two certainly appear to be the > front runners ahead of the scheduled announcement on Monday, but nothing is > certain. As one minister said: "SBY just loves to make us all speculate > until the very end." > > As a minority leader in 2004, Yudhoyono found himself an unwitting hostage > to Golkar's will. This time around, he is dealing from a position of > strength — and is being urged to put his stamp on the new administration > from the get-go. > > If boldness becomes the President's new-found friend, that may mean more > technocrats and non-party people in key posts to push the government's > unfinished reform agenda and secure the President's 10-year legacy. > > This is, after all, a presidential system. While Yudhoyono must work with > Parliament, his ministers say that the number of seats in Parliament does > not really count when money takes precedence over party discipline. > > The numbers game everyone loves to follow is simply that — a game. It will > remain so until the main political parties understand what they stand for > and lawmakers represent the constituents who elect them. > > Kalla's fate was sealed early last month when Yudhoyono's Democratic team > asked Golkar to suggest two other nominees, in addition to Kalla, as the > President's running mate. > > It now seems clear that in turning his back on the Golkar chairman, the > President was also taking care to send a message to former leader Akbar > Tandjung and other Kalla rivals that he still valued Golkar in a new > coalition. > > Ministerial sources say that while Yudhoyono and Kalla are not the bitter > rivals media reports have always suggested, the President was particularly > irritated over Kalla's remark in early 2006 that he was being treated like a > spare tyre. > > For some analysts, the impulsive Sulawesi businessman had in fact become a > fifth wheel who had more power than any vice-president before him and was > often not slow in using it — admittedly, sometimes to the good. > > The Vice-President must have realised months ago that with his support in > Golkar dwindling and the polls forecasting the party's worst-ever showing in > the April 9 legislative elections, he was living on borrowed time. > > But he was still encouraged to get out and run. Even so, party sources say > that while he was given a full mandate to explore the possibility of putting > together a coalition to run for the presidency, he was asked to report back > to the party before making a decision. > > The fact that he chose Wiranto without doing that earned him a rebuke from > the party's district chapters, many of whom are Tandjung loyalists. A > majority of the 33 provincial chapters now want to go back to the Democrats. > > It all seems rather cruel, frankly. But then Tandjung, for one, remembers > how he was undermined by Kalla years ago when he unwisely sought to take > Golkar into a coalition with Megawati Sukarnoputri's Indonesian Democratic > Party-Struggle. > > Meanwhile, with the Vice- President seemingly on the ropes, Chief Welfare > Minister Aburizal Bakrie appears to be the leading contender to assume the > chairmanship of Golkar at the party's convention, which has now been brought > forward from December to August. > > Party sources claim that Kalla advanced the date so he could still use the > power of the vice-presidency to put forward political ally Surya Paloh, head > of the party's advisory council, as his replacement. > > Whether that will work at this point is doubtful. Despite several business > setbacks, Bakrie has been Golkar's leading financier and, according to > insiders, continues to provide 10 billion rupiah (RM3.4 million) a month to > cover the party's administrative expenses. — Straits Times > > >
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