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Q: Cumi-cumi mempunyai delapan kaki atau delapan tangan?


On Wed, May 27, 2009 at 3:18 PM, Vic <victor_speran...@yahoo.com> wrote:

> U.S. Inflation to Approach Zimbabwe Level, Faber Says (Update2)
> By Chen Shiyin and Bernard Lo
>
> May 27 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will enter "hyperinflation"
> approaching the levels in Zimbabwe because the Federal Reserve will be
> reluctant to raise interest rates, investor Marc Faber said.
>
> Prices may increase at rates "close to" Zimbabwe's gains, Faber said in an
> interview with Bloomberg Television in Hong Kong. Zimbabwe's inflation rate
> reached 231 million percent in July, the last annual rate published by the
> statistics office.
>
> "I am 100 percent sure that the U.S. will go into hyperinflation," Faber
> said. "The problem with government debt growing so much is that when the
> time will come and the Fed should increase interest rates, they will be very
> reluctant to do so and so inflation will start to accelerate."
>
> Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Charles Plosser said on May
> 21 inflation may rise to 2.5 percent in 2011. That exceeds the central bank
> officials' long-run preferred range of 1.7 percent to 2 percent and
> contrasts with the concerns of some officials and economists that the
> economic slump may provoke a broad decline in prices.
>
> "There are some concerns of a risk from inflation from all the liquidity
> injected into the banking system but it's not an immediate threat right now
> given all the excess capacity in the U.S. economy," said David Cohen, head
> of Asian economic forecasting at Action Economics in Singapore. "I have a
> little more confidence that the Fed has an exit strategy for draining all
> the liquidity at the appropriate time."
>
> Action Economics is predicting inflation of minus 0.4 percent in the U.S.
> this year, with prices increasing by 1.8 percent and 2 percent in 2010 and
> 2011, respectively, Cohen said.
>
> Near Zero
>
> The U.S.'s main interest rate may need to stay near zero for several years
> given the recession's depth and forecasts that unemployment will reach 9
> percent or higher, Glenn Rudebusch, associate director of research at the
> Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, said yesterday.
>
> Members of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee have held the
> federal funds rate, the overnight lending rate between banks, in a range of
> zero to 0.25 percent since December to revive lending and end the worst
> recession in 50 years.
>
> The global economy won't return to the "prosperity" of 2006 and 2007 even
> as it rebounds from a recession, Faber said.
>
> Equities in the U.S. won't fall to new lows, helped by increased money
> supply, he said. Still, global stocks are "rather overbought" and are "not
> cheap," Faber added.
>
> Faber still favors Asian stocks relative to U.S. government bonds and said
> Japanese equities may outperform many other markets over a five-year period.
> "Of all the regions in the world, Asia is still the most attractive by far,"
> he said.
>
> Gloom, Doom
>
> Faber, the publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, said on April 7
> stocks could fall as much as 10 percent before resuming gains. The Standard
> & Poor's 500 Index has since climbed 9 percent.
>
> Faber, who said he's adding to his gold investments, advised buying the
> precious metal at the start of its eight-year rally, when it traded for less
> than $300 an ounce. The metal topped $1,000 last year and traded at $949.85
> an ounce at 12:50 p.m. Hong Kong time. He also told investors to bail out of
> U.S. stocks a week before the so-called Black Monday crash in 1987,
> according to his Web site.
>
> http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=avgZDYM6mTFA&refer=us
>
> http://www.gloomboomdoom.com/portalgbd/homegbd.cfm
>
>
> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, nicholas alvin <nicholas_al...@...>
> wrote:
> >
> > Ini berita ngak bermutu.
> >
> > --- On Wed, 5/27/09, Vic <victor_speran...@...> wrote:
> >
> > From: Vic <victor_speran...@...>
> > Subject: [ob] Hiperinflasi AS Diramal Bakal Mendekati Level Zimbabwe
> > To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
> > Date: Wednesday, May 27, 2009, 3:43 AM
> >
> >
> >
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> >       Hiperinflasi AS Diramal Bakal Mendekati Level Zimbabwe
> >
> >
> >
> > SINGAPURA. Perekonomian Amerika Serikat (AS) diprediksi akan mengalami
> hyperinflasi yang kenaikannya mendekati level inflasi di Zimbabwe. Menurut
> investor Mark Faber, kondisi tersebut disebabkan the Federal Reserve (the
> Fed) enggan untuk menaikkan suku bunga acuannya ke depannya.
> >
> >
> >
> > Dalam wawancara dengan Bloomberg di Hongkong, Faber mengatakan, tingkat
> harga akan mengalami lonjakan mendekati kenaikan di Zimbabwe. Asal tahu
> saja, berdasarkan data statistik Zimbabwe, tingkat inflasi di negara Afrika
> itu mencapai 231 juta% pada Juli lalu.
> >
> >
> >
> > "Saya yakin 100% bahwa AS akan mengalami hiperinflasi. Masalah tentang
> utang pemerintah kian membelit dan jika tiba saatnya, the Fed harus
> menaikkan suku bunga acuan. Tapi the Fed enggan melakukannya, sehingga
> inflasi akan terus menanjak," jelasnya.
> >
> >
> >
> > Faber juga mengatakan, saat ini, kemungkinan perekonomian global kembali
> ke masa-masa kejayaan tahun 2006-2007 sangat kecil. Dia memilih untuk
> melakukan investasi pada saham-saham Asia dibanding obligasi AS. "Dari
> seluruh pasar saham dunia yang ada, Bursa Asia hingga saat ini yang paling
> menarik," jelasnya.
> >
> >
> >
> > Sebelumnya, pada 21 Mei lalu, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
> President Charles Plosser mengatakan, tingkat inflasi di AS kemungkinan naik
> ke level 2,5% di 2011. Angka tersebut melampaui prediksi bank sentral yang
> mematok tingkat inflasi di kisaran 1,7%-2%.
> >
> >
> >
> > Menurut Glenn Rudebusch, Associate Director of Research Federal Reserve
> Bank of San Francisco, tingkat suku bunga AS akan tetap berada di level
> mendekati nol persen untuk beberapa tahun ke depan. Dia juga memprediksi,
> tingkat pengangguran akan mencapai 9% atau bahkan lebih.
> >
>
>
>
>
> ------------------------------------
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