Charting untuk data-data fundamental (unemployment, GDP, inflasi, CPI, dst), kali aja ada yang mau analisa secara TA.
http://www.economagic.com/em-cgi/charter.exe/fedstl/unrate+1950+2008+0+1+0+600+900++0 Regards, DE 2009/5/31 Yuta Tiziano <yuta.tizi...@gmail.com> > > > *Mulai keluar berita jelek untuk minggu depan...* > > http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aSc829RcWzSc&refer=home > > Unemployment Probably Topped 9% in May: U.S. Economy Preview > By Shobhana Chandra > > May 31 (Bloomberg) -- *Unemployment in the U.S. probably surpassed 9 > percent in May for the first time in more than 25 years*, underscoring > forecasts that the economy will be slow to pull out of the worst recession > in half a century, economists said before a report this week. > > The jobless rate > <http://mail.google.com/apps/quote?ticker=USURTOT%3AIND>climbed to 9.2 > percent, > *the highest level since September 1983*, according to the median estimate > in a Bloomberg News survey ahead of the Labor Department’s *June 5*report. > Other data may show manufacturing and service industries shrank at a > slower pace and consumer spending dropped. > > “The economy is decaying at a slower rate and that is the best you can > say,” said Steven > Ricchiuto<http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Steven+Ricchiuto&site=wnews&client=wnews&proxystylesheet=wnews&output=xml_no_dtd&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&filter=p&getfields=wnnis&sort=date:D:S:d1>, > chief economist at Mizuho Securities USA Inc. in New York. “I can’t tell you > we are out of the woods yet.” > > *Economists forecast the jobless rate will head to almost 10 percent by > the end of the year*, depriving Americans of the income needed to propel > spending and stoke a vigorous recovery. Access to credit will likely also be > limited as record defaults and foreclosures make banks reluctant to lend. > > The unemployment rate is predicted to rise from 8.9 percent in April. > Payrolls probably fell by 521,000 this month after declining by 539,000 in > April, the survey also showed. Job losses peaked at 741,000 in January, the > most since 1949. > > The economy has lost 5.7 million jobs since the recession began in December > 2007, the most of any economic slump in the post-World War II era. > > Auto Slump > > Restructuring at automakers including General Motors > Corp.<http://mail.google.com/apps/quote?ticker=GM%3AUS>and Chrysler LLC may > generate more job losses. AutoNation > Inc. <http://mail.google.com/apps/quote?ticker=AN%3AUS>, the largest U.S. > new-vehicle retailer, has said it will close seven showrooms in line with > bankrupt Chrysler’s termination of 789 dealerships. > > Economists project the Labor report will show > manufacturers<http://mail.google.com/apps/quote?ticker=USMMMNCH%3AIND>cut > payrolls by 150,000 in May, after slashing them by 149,000 in April. > > Workforce reductions aren’t limited to the auto industry. American Express > Co. <http://mail.google.com/apps/quote?ticker=AXP%3AUS>, the largest U.S. > credit-card company by purchases, said on May 18 it will cut 4,000 positions > as cardholders squeezed by rising unemployment fail to pay debts. > > “We continue to be very cautious about the economic outlook,” Chief > Executive Officer Kenneth Chenault said in a statement. > > Consumer spending has taken a turn for the worse after improving in the > first quarter. Purchases fell in April for a second month, and incomes > declined for the sixth time in the last seven months, economists project a > Commerce Department report tomorrow will show. > > Short-Lived Gain > > Household purchases rose at a 1.5 percent annual rate from January to > March, less than previously estimated, after plunging at a 4.3 percent > annual rate in the last three months of 2008, revised figures from Commerce > last week showed. > > Gross domestic product shrank at a 5.7 percent pace in the first quarter, > less than the government previously estimated in April, the figures also > showed. Following the 6.3 percent pace of decline in the last three months > of 2008, the drop capped the worst six-month performance in five decades. > > *Also tomorrow, a report may show manufacturing shrank this month at a > slower pace*. The Institute for Supply Management’s factory > index<http://mail.google.com/apps/quote?ticker=NAPMPMI%3AIND>rose to 42 in > May from 40.1 in April, according to the Bloomberg survey > median. Readings below 50 signal contraction. > > Underscoring the improvement at manufacturers, orders placed with factories > probably rose 0.8 percent in April, the second gain this year, economists > predicted ahead of a Commerce Department report June 3. > > Service Industries > > An ISM report the same day may show service industries, which make up > almost 90 percent of the economy, are also stabilizing. The Tempe, > Arizona-based group’s > gauge<http://mail.google.com/apps/quote?ticker=NAPMNMI%3AIND>of non- > manufacturing businesses probably increased to 45 in May from 43.7 > the prior month, according to the Bloomberg survey. > > Stocks have surged and Treasuries have dropped amid reports showing the > worst of the downturn may have passed. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has > gained 36 percent since March 9, when it hit the lowest level in more than > 12 years, closing at 919.14 on May 29. Yields on the benchmark 10-year note > climbed to 3.74 percent last week from 2.86 percent during that period. > > In other reports this week, the National Association of Realtors may report > on June 2 that the number of Americans who signed > contracts<http://mail.google.com/apps/quote?ticker=USPHTMOM%3AIND>to buy > previously owned homes rose in April for the third straight month as > buyers took advantage of lower prices, according to the Bloomberg survey > median. > > Bloomberg Survey > > ================================================================ > Release Period Prior Median > Indicator Date Value Forecast > ================================================================ > Pers Inc MOM% 6/1 April -0.3% -0.2% > Pers Spend MOM% 6/1 April -0.2% -0.2% > Construct Spending MOM% 6/1 April 0.3% -1.5% > ISM Manu Index 6/1 May 40.1 42.0 > ISM Prices Index 6/1 May 32.0 35.0 > Pending Homes MOM% 6/2 April 3.2% 0.5% > ADP Payroll ,000’s 6/3 May -491 -533 > ISM NonManu Index 6/3 May 43.7 45.0 > Factory Orders MOM% 6/3 April -0.9% 0.8% > Productivity QOQ% 6/4 1Q 0.8% 1.2% > Labor Costs QOQ% 6/4 1Q F 3.3% 2.9% > Initial Claims ,000’s 6/4 30-May 623 620 > Cont. Claims ,000’s 6/4 23-May 6788 6855 > Nonfarm Payrolls ,000’s 6/5 May -539 -521 > Unemploy Rate % 6/5 May 8.9% 9.2% > Manu Payrolls ,000’s 6/5 May -149 -150 > Hourly Earnings MOM% 6/5 May 0.1% 0.1% > Hourly Earnings YOY% 6/5 May 3.2% 3.1% > Avg Weekly Hours 6/5 May 33.2 33.2 > Cons. Credit $ Blns 6/5 April -11.1 -6.0 > ================================================================ > > To contact the reporter on this story: Shobhana > Chandra<http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Shobhana+Chandra&site=wnews&client=wnews&proxystylesheet=wnews&output=xml_no_dtd&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&filter=p&getfields=wnnis&sort=date:D:S:d1>in > Washington at > schand...@bloomberg.net > *Last Updated: May 31, 2009 00:00 EDT* > > > >
