*Actually I have the 5th issue, which is the H1N1 strain (swine flu) outbreak that -our analysts estimated- may take **millions **of death toll worldwide, mostly in NA and SA continent This pandemic can severely impact the economy and bring the US down to its knees. * * * *Hopefully they find the cure quickly. Eating high dose of Vitamin C will help your body fit, and always take enough rest and maintain the hygiene. (and accumulate defensive pharma [?], ask JT for entry points)* * * *Note: * *In 1918, H1N1 hit almost half of the world population, causing up to 20 millions of deaths.* * **References:*
1. http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&source=embed&msa=0&msid=109496610648025582911.0004686892fbefe515012 2. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu * * *Elaine** * On Tue, Jul 14, 2009 at 7:09 PM, Rei <highwaysta...@gmail.com> wrote: > > > Ah...this way it's MUCH clearer though it may/may not happen later but > thanks anyway for your insight. That's all that matters! > > > On Tue, Jul 14, 2009 at 7:04 PM, Elaine Sui <elainesu...@gmail.com> wrote: > >> >> >> *Ayy I need to go to my dentist, but okay, here it is:* >> * >> * >> *Bearish for short term, Q309 (may be extended to Q4). Deflation, North >> Korea Crisis, Unfavored Election Result (to the market, obviously), and >> unemployment (>10%). * * >> * >> *What to do: Switch to high quality triple AAA bonds, except TIPS. Avoid >> gold. * >> * >> * >> *Worst case scenario: If all issues above happen at the same time, IDX >> (along with global market) can decline down to minus 1000 (in 2008, IDX >> dropped -1800pts!!), focus on US earnings, and USD vs Renminbi. * >> * >> * >> *Bullish, long term 2012, bullish on all sectors because Indonesia will >> be one of the Asian Tigers. I'm still bullish for long term, but I won't let >> anyone take my profit. Bullish for long term doesn't mean we have to hold >> blindly forever. If fundamentals change, then I must change my strategy >> too. There are declines, the difference between me and JT is he's a short >> term investor...lolz.. [?]* >> * >> * >> *You know, the economic power is shifting, from the western+eurozone to >> Asia, and westerns are basically zionist. If they can't win, then everyone >> must lose.* >> * >> * >> *Anyway, thank you Embah for asking. Hope this is clear enough. Btw, >> Billy is 17, I'm 9 years older.* >> * >> * >> *Elaine* >> * >> * >> >> >> >> 2009/7/14 jsx_consultant <jsx-consult...@centrin.net.id> >> >>> Ini adalah pendapat pribadi embah tentang analisa2 yg pernah >>> dibuat Elaine: >>> - Analisa El umumnya bersifat jangka panjang dan didasarkan >>> analisa fundamental >>> - Analisa El umumnya banyak yang benar dengan berjalannya >>> waktu. >>> - Analisa El sering Contrarian dengan pendapat mayoritas >>> >>> Jadi menurut Embah, pendapat El tentang koreksi harus mendapat >>> perhatian, kalo soal benar atau tidak, biarlah waktu yg >>> menentukan. >>> >>> Karena prediksinya bersifat jangka panjang, bisa saja pada >>> suatu saat nampaknya analisa El salah, tapi pada akhirnya >>> bisa saja analisa El yg benar. >>> >>> Note: >>> - Berapa lamasih timeframe koreksi yg diberikan Elaine ?. >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> ------------------------------------ >>> >>> + + >>> + + + + + >>> Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus >>> kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas. >>> + + + + + >>> + +Yahoo! Groups Links >>> >>> >>> >>> >> > > > >
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