Sekarang bukan DOW saja yang penyakitnya bisa menular. China kentut pun baunya sekarang bisa sampai kemana-mana. Kta bisa baca dalam artikel dibawah ini bagaimana DOW sempat terkapar karena bau kentutnya Shanghai.
Kesimpulan : Watch juga China, jangan DOW dan Nikkei saja. China Coughs and the World Catches a Cold By D.R. Barton, Jr. Yesterday (Tuesday, 2/27/2007) was a truly extraordinary day in the equity markets. Here's how unusual this drop was: it's only the fifth time in 100 years that the DJIA has gone from trading above its 50-day moving average on one day to dropping below the lows of the past 50 days the next. In other words, it was higher than the average price over the prior 50 days, and all of the sudden it wiped out all the gains from those days in just one single day (thanks to Jason Goepfert's excellent work for the statistics). Here's another way to look at yesterday's trading - in one day, the market wiped out almost four months of bull run, dating back to the beginning of last November (in the futures). This was no ordinary move. But even with all of the extremes presented by the market's activity, we have to keep some perspective. The market was only down 3.47% yesterday (for the S&P 500 cash index). And to be considered a "correction" (which is generally considered to be a 10% pullback), we would need to travel another 6% from here, all the way down to 1315.41 to move 10% from the highs. Today's trading (as of 2:00) has given us an inside day (the highs of today are lower and lows of today are higher than yesterday's trading). But we are trading in the bottom third of yesterday's range. While the market could do many things from here, the extreme overbought levels that peaked late last week have only been partially relieved. A very likely scenario is that Tuesday's huge drop was the trigger for a larger-scale pullback. In that scenario, Wednesday's trading has predictably slower trading while the market catches it's breath. A close below yesterday's low (1389.42 on the S&P 500 cash index) should make everyone take notice that this round of selling is not over. But until that time, the bulls can rest a bit easier. Great Trading! D. R. D. R. Barton, Jr. will be teaching our New Professional E-Mini Futures Tactics Workshop, March 3-5, Raleigh NC. He will be joined by ace trader Christopher Castroviejo. To see what D.R. says about Christopher, click <http://www.iitm.com/Weekly_update/Weekly_307_Jan_31_2007.htm#feature> here. A passion for the systematic approach to the markets and lifelong love of teaching and learning have propelled D.R. Barton, Jr. to the top of the investment and trading arena where he is one of the most widely read and followed traders and analysts in the world. He is a regularly featured guest analyst on both Report on Business TV, and WTOP News Radio in Washington, D. C., and has been a guest analyst on Bloomberg Radio. His articles have appeared on SmartMoney.com and Financial Advisor magazine. Ratman Now Everyone Can Trade Believe The Unbelievable,Dream The Impossible, Don't Take No for An Answer http://www.j-club.biz