*In range 690-795. (disclaimer On)

T.o.m*


On Tue, Nov 3, 2009 at 10:38 AM, Ivanka <i4...@yahoo.com> wrote:

>
>
> Please share berapa TP mid 2010 utk bmtr?
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
> On Nov 3, 2009, at 9:37, Tom DS <tom.ds.st...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> *Hi boss..
>
> Yup, my BMTR sejati call is likely to be postponed for longer timeframe.
> But up to now I still put those target price will be reached at least in
> mid 2010.
> I didn't include TPI default on the calculation and some market downwards
> adjustment on end of October which brought down the overall PE multiples.
> Basicly I am using PE & PBV targetting with some sense of EBITDA targetting
> methods.
>
> I have same view on Indonesian equity market, but I have sense for short
> period we will still see BUMI on the way to move down one more time. I only
> want to buy more (after early bought at 2,550) at discount price of 1,900 or
> lower as another entry point. So for the mean time, better to invest in
> other stocks with strong balance sheet and keep paying dividend, also having
> growth such UNTR, ASII, PTBA and PGAS.
>
>
> T.o.m
> *
>
>
> On Mon, Nov 2, 2009 at 10:01 PM, <ruzli...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> Earth calling Mr Tom DS
>>
>> Just wan't to ask, did u have the same view like Mr Bagus ?
>>
>> Note: Your SEJATI Call (BMTR) is not so SEJATI :)
>>
>> Thanks
>> -----Original Message-----
>> From: Bagus Putra Perdana <disclosure....@gmail.com>
>> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 21:53:26
>> To: <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>
>> Subject: Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>>
>> I did buy equities today. Situasinya beda ama 2008 dulu kali yah,
>> ketidakpastian sudah jauh berkurang, profitabilitas perusahaan pada
>> rate terburuk sudah bisa diukur (Q408-Q109) adalah indikasi performa
>> paling jelek, tentu kita bisa buat pro-forma worst scenario dari situ.
>> 1 lg, kita semua experience first hand pasca lehman waktu CDS rate
>> Indonesia sampe dobel digit en Yield Rf (SUN) sampe bisa ke level
>> 17-18 % (we bought a lot Rf didnt we?). Nah CDS indonesia pada
>> historical terbaiknya, Rf skrg susah balik diatas 11 % lg, politik en
>> ekonomi stabil. So why do i bother merah or ijo harian? Even 2-3
>> harian. As long as i bought stocks that yielding FCF matching Rf rate,
>> i dont mind being taken down to a deeper gulfing wave, yg repot justru
>> kalo duit inflow balik en saya bingung naro kas kemane, kemane coba?
>> Deposito cuman segitu, SUN segitu, Obligasi Korporat  AA- plg keren
>> 12.25% skrg, eh ada lewat saham yg FCF yieldnya 10-11%, yg net cash
>> per sharenya 4-5%, yg manajemennya punya track record bagus ya paling
>> turun lg ampe brapa sih?! Masuk lah. Terus terang saya gak bisa time
>> market. Definitely cant, but atleast saya bisa ukur nilai barang under
>> different business & economic scenario. Likelihood kita hit crisis
>> udah kecil bgt, kalo equity dipukul sampe mencerminkan level as if dia
>> kena krisis, would i add or sell my equities?
>>
>> On 11/2/09, conx_2003 <conx_2...@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>> > secara TAL tiap kang ocoy buy, pasti merah dalam
>> >
>> > karena kang ocoy mana mau beli di harga mahal?
>> >
>> > tentu mereka ada segala cara untuk membuat mereka masuk tanpa diketahui
>> >
>> > so be prepared..
>> >
>> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben <beny....@...> wrote:
>> >>
>> >> make sense. cuman kabar CIT 23 jam lalu bikin situasi kurang enak. itu
>> >> aja. thx.
>> >>
>> >> On 11/2/09, putera...@... <putera...@...> wrote:
>> >> > Wuihhhh. Penjelasan yg sangat logis
>> >> > Sent from my BlackBerry®
>> >> > powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
>> >> >
>> >> > -----Original Message-----
>> >> > From: "kang_ocoy_maen_saham" <disclosure....@...>
>> >> > Date: Mon, 02 Nov 2009 07:25:28
>> >> > To: <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>
>> >> > Subject: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>> >> >
>> >> > Why Should? kecuali Premium Risk Investasi di Indonesia naik, dan
>> suku
>> >> > bunga
>> >> > acuan BI naik, dan Yield SUN naik.
>> >> >
>> >> > otherwise No, Big No, every Dip is an entry-point. i keep re-telling
>> >> > this.
>> >> > FCF Yield above Rf, Clean Balance Sheet, Good Management = wicked
>> >> > opportunity.
>> >> >
>> >> > I'm loading equities and selling my Government Bond.
>> >> >
>> >> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben <beny.tan@> wrote:
>> >> >>
>> >> >> punten kang ocoy n EL,
>> >> >>
>> >> >> secara fundamental apa kang ocoy n EL melihat adanya indikator
>> investor
>> >> >> lokal harus revisi target ASAP?
>> >> >>
>> >> >> thx,
>> >> >> beny
>> >> >>
>> >> >> --
>> >> >> DISCLAIMER:
>> >> >> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the currency or accuracy
>> of
>> >> >> the
>> >> >> reported data and/or the performance of the Investments in your
>> >> >> portfolio,
>> >> >> unless performance has exceeded your expectations."
>> >> >>
>> >> >
>> >> >
>> >> >
>> >> >
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> --
>> >> DISCLAIMER:
>> >> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the currency or accuracy of
>> >> the reported data and/or the performance of the Investments in your
>> >> portfolio, unless performance has exceeded your expectations."
>> >>
>> >
>> >
>> >
>>
>>
>> --
>> Each piece, or part, of the whole nature is always an approximation to
>> the complete truth, or the complete truth so far as we know it. In
>> fact, everything we know is only some kind of approximation, because
>> we know that we do not know all the laws as yet. Therefore, things
>> must be learned only to be unlearned again or, more likely, to be
>> corrected.......The test of all knowledge is experiment. Experiment is
>> the sole judge of scientific “truth”. - Richard Feynman
>>
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