2 thumbs up !

On Wed, Dec 9, 2009 at 4:33 PM, billy_budiman92 <billybudima...@gmail.com>wrote:

> Manteb dah CLSA, kombinasi antara support kuat 2,700 dan report CLSA 4,150
> langsung bawa terbang HEXA, hahahhahaaa
>
> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Muhamad Rojak <muhamad.ma...@...>
> wrote:
> >
> > Iya Pak Herman, thanks banget ya atas infonya. Moga2 Pak Herman juga
> > dapet profit gede hari ini, he.. he..
> >
> > 2009/12/9, TimurLaut <i4...@...>:
> > > Pak Herman ini Jenderal juga ya? kaya Jenderal Arto.Banyak ammo
> nya.....
> > >
> > > Jam 11.16.24 tadi HEXA masih 2775.
> > >
> > > Punten, apa lagi ya pak? BMTR boleh nggak Pak?
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > ________________________________
> > > From: M Herman <hermanlat...@...>
> > > To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
> > > Sent: Wed, December 9, 2009 11:16:24 AM
> > > Subject: [ob] Daily CL...HEXA new coverage TP 4150
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > Good morning. There has been talk about big rallies in Jakartatoday as
> 11
> > > public demonstrations are scheduled to mark the International
> > > Anti-Corruption Day.
> > >
> > > Interestingly, despite earlier remarks that today's rallies against
> > > corruption could potentially be hijacked by rogue elements, President
> SBY
> > > welcomes the rally. The President further urged the public to celebrate
> > > today's International Anti-Corruption Day peacefully. Perhaps
> coincidental,
> > > the President cancelled a planned visit to Makassar in South Sulawesito
> open
> > > the 52nd Nusantara Day today.
> > >
> > > Perhaps more interesting is that President SBY confirmed yesterday that
> he
> > > will allow the Anti Corruption Commission (KPK) to continue wiretapping
> > > extraordinary crimes as part of his mission to combat corruption.
> President
> > > SBY also said that he disagreed with any efforts to strip the KPK of
> its
> > > power to prosecute which have come up in the deliberation of the
> pending
> > > corruption court bill.
> > >
> > > The attitudes toward corruption in Indonesiaare changing. KPK has very
> > > strong public support. The press in Indonesiais one of the freest in
> Asia.
> > > Change begins at the margin. Indonesiahas come very far, but
> anticorruption
> > > efforts must continue.
> > >
> > > The estimate on the number of marchers is varied from 40-100k. Some
> even
> > > mentioned 300k (highly unlikely, I think). But one thing is sure to
> happen
> > > today.  We can expect Central and South Jakartato be mired in gridlock.
> > > Jakartans have been told to leave home earlier. Rally schedules and
> plans
> > > are widely distributed. No less than 13k officers would be deployed to
> make
> > > sure that the rallies remain peaceful. Jakartadoes not need extra
> problems
> > > to compound to its massive traffic problems. Average vehicle speed on
> roads
> > > is already so slow at 20km/hour. Can't get any slower…
> > >
> > > Research Today: Hexindo, Excavating returns - Initiate with a BUY -
> Tp4,150
> > >  This is one of my high conviction pick in the small cap space (mkt cap
> > > US$245).  They are second biggest heavy equipment (Hitachi)distributo r
> in
> > > Indonesia trading on on 6.3x 2010CL while churning over 40% ROE with a
> sweet
> > > 5% divy yield.  This compare to 13x 2010CL, 25% ROE for United
> > > Tractors.  Their revenue and operating profit has been growing at 33%
> and
> > > 52% CAGR over the past five years
> > >
> > > Hexa with a more focused business model with considerably higher
> earnings
> > > growth arguably should not be trading at a discount to UT in this part
> of
> > > cycle (a Sellers market here).   Hexa is the dominate player in the
> super
> > > sized excavators with 100%, not typo here, market share in the over 250
> ton
> > > class (Komatsu does not even have a product of this size).  Coal miners
> > > continue to upgrade (even Pama buy them) to these super sized
> excavators for
> > > operating efficiency as their scale up their production.  Bluesky for
> this
> > > stock will be from infrastructure spending accounting for less than 20%
> of
> > > sales compare to over 80% in this segment pre 1997.  BUY!
> > >
> > > Key takeaways:
> > >
> > >     * Demand for heavy equipment is set to accelerate over the coming
> years as
> > > demand for power, particularly coal-fired, is booming. Chinaand
> Indiathermal
> > > coal demand may expand by 700m tonnes in just five years, equal to
> current
> > > global seaborne thermal-coal market
> > >     * The company sells 23% of its unit to mining sector, mostly coal
> companies
> > > and contractors, while revenue from mining unit contributing to 67% of
> > > total.
> > >     * Note that the company sold 54 large and giant equipments in
> Jan-Aug vs.
> > > 28 units in 2008 and has further secured almost US$190m worth of
> contracts
> > > to deliver another 64 units of equipments in 2010 order book period
> > >     * The company has successfully de-leveraged its balance sheet after
> seeing
> > > its net gearing peaked at 144% as of Dec06, with net gearing as of
> Sep09
> > > stood at 33%. With its strong cash flow generation, we expect Hexindo
> to be
> > > in a net cash position in 2011.
> > >     * Stock trades at 6.3x 2010 PER and 4.3x 2010 EV/Ebitda, still
> below its
> > > five years average historical valuations.  Meanwhile, balance sheet and
> > > return are better than they were over the past five years
> > > DELTA DUNIA (DOID IJ) Conference call details
> > > Conference Call with Delta Dunia Makmur management team
> > >
> > > Date:              Thursday,10 December 2009
> > > Speakers:      Patrick Walujo (Vice President Director), Thomas Husted
> > > (CFO), Budikwanto Kuesar (Managing director BUMA)
> > > Time:              8am - London
> > > 4pm – Singapore/Hong Kong/Kuala Lumpur/Manila/ Shanghai/ Taipei
> > > 3pm – Jakarta/Bangkok
> > >
> > > Delta Dunia management team would discuss the latest progress post
> > > acquisition of Bukit Makmur (Buma), Indonesia's second-largest
> coal-mining
> > > contractor. With a proven track record, long-term relationships with
> > > customers  and low cost base, Buma, in our view,  could benefit from
> the
> > > growing demand for thermal coal  from both domestic and regional
> markets.
> > > Please see attachment for calling details.
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> >
>
>
>
>
> ------------------------------------
>
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