Tiap ada mitos beginian mestinya kl nggak muncul bisa kejadian tp kalau udah muncul gini biasanya malah kebalikan kejadiannya.
On 9/2/07, Dean Earwicker <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > Moengkin maksoednya Pak Oentoeng adalah ini: > > > > http://www.cnbc.com/id/20424014 > > > > Regards, > > DE > > > > *For Investors, September Is the Cruelest Month* > > Stock investors are bracing for a bad September -- knowing it has a > well-deserved reputation for being the worst month of the year. Since 1929, > stocks have declined an average 1.2% in September, compared with an average > gain of 0.59% during all months of the year. "There's been a frequency of > negative numbers," says Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at Standard > & Poor's. "September is the only month in which it falls more than it > rises." > > Why is September so bad? Part of the reason is a seasonal slowdown of > money flowing into the market, so there's less new money to push up prices. > In addition, Stovall says *some mutual funds "have October as fiscal > year-end, and may be selling losing positions from mid-September until > mid-October."* > > *Average Monthly Performance of the Dow (1896-2007):* > > > > *MONTH* > > *% POSITIVE* > > *% NEGATIVE* > > *AVG % RETURN* > > Dec > > *71.6* > > 28.4 > > 1.4 > > Jan > > *64.9* > > 34.2 > > 1.1 > > Aug > > *63.6* > > 36.4 > > 1.2 > > Nov > > *61.5* > > 38.5 > > 1.1 > > Jul > > *60.7* > > 39.3 > > 1.3 > > Mar > > *60.4* > > 39.6 > > 0.7 > > Oct > > *59.1* > > 40.9 > > 0.3 > > Apr > > *55.9* > > 44.1 > > 1.1 > > May > > *51.4* > > 48.7 > > 0.1 > > Feb > > *50.5* > > 49.5 > > -0.2 > > Jun > > *50.0* > > 50.0 > > 0.4 > > *Sep* > > *40.9*** > > *59.1* > > *-1.2* > > *Tense This Year* > > This September is likely to be particularly volatile on Wall Street. A > wave of mortgage defaults has sparked a worldwide credit crunch, forcing the > Federal Reserve to reassure nervous financial markets with a discount-rate > cut and additional liquidity. > > On Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben > Bernanke<http://www.cnbc.com/id/20528520/site/14081545/>said the central bank > is ready to step in again to shelter the economy from > turmoil in financial markets. But he said the Fed won't bail out investors > who made mistakes. > > That left many investors wondering if the Fed will cut the federal funds > rate at its Sept. 18 meeting, as many hope. But there's also concern that if > the central bank is forced to cut rates, it means the housing and credit > crunch are worsening and could push the economy into a recession. > > *"If a rate cut happens, it will be because things deteriorate > dramatically,"* says Michael Panzner, a Wall Street trader and author of > the book Financial Armageddon <http://www.financialarmageddon.com/>. "The > Fed is managing in text book fashion and doesn't want to go back to the > Greenspan days of quick rate cuts and that will weigh on perspective." > > There's also a worry about a slowdown in consumer spending, the main > driver of the U.S. economy. Although Americans are continuing to spend, > many retailers are forecasting a weak back-to-school and holiday shopping > season. > > *Due for Down Month* > > "We're due for another down month--fundamentals bear that out," says > Panzner. "Earnings are always a cyclical phenomenon and that will dovetail > well with what we'll see on the ground with back to school sales." "The > refocus again will be on the consumer next month, which will lead to more > questions about recession," Panzner adds. "We're going into September with > wariness over where the next shoe is going to drop." > > There is one positive note among the gloom: stocks have actually gone up > the past three Septembers. Last year alone, the S&P 500 rose more than 2% > during the month after the Fed stopped raising interest rates. Stovall says > more investors also have become aware that Septembers are traditionally bad > and have panicked less. > > *"A pessimist would say it's time to bail out of the market," he says. > "But the person who sees the glass as half full would reason that stocks go > up over the **long **haul."* > > > > > > > > > > *From:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > ps.com] *On Behalf Of *Jin Kazama > *Sent:* Sunday, September 02, 2007 1:56 PM > *To:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com > *Subject:* Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: [saham] WATCHOUT > > > > "BUlan depan tepatnya dimulai minggu depan kalau KENA LAGI...dijamin > SEMPOYONGAN atau SEMAPUT..." > > > > wah maksudnya sempoyongan atau semaput ini apa pak oentoeng ? hehehe.... > > saya lagi nunggu banyak yg sempoyongan dan semaput serta jatuh > berdarah2.....spy bisa minum darah > > yg kececeran di jalanan....kekekeke...........tapi kalo pentungan > BOZZ patah, seperti kata pak JA, > > ya banyak yg pesta sabu2 di jalanan....semua pada high....and fly...... > > > > ----- Original Message ----- > > *From:* oentoeng_qq <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > > *To:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com > > *Sent:* Friday, August 31, 2007 5:56 PM > > *Subject:* [obrolan-bandar] Re: [saham] WATCHOUT > > > > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "oentoeng_qq" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > wrote: > > BUlan depan tepatnya dimulai minggu depan kalau KENA LAGI...dijamin > SEMPOYONGAN atau SEMAPUT... > Hari ini saya punya rencana MEMBERSIHKAN yg belum bersih KEMARIN. > > Hari ini BARANG saya BENAR2 HABIS.... > Kemarin masih nahan karena harga BELON COCOK. > Kalau hari ini cocok nggak cocok saya LEPAS, karena sudah NGANTRI jadi > PENONTON buat hari SENIN. Atau trading gorengan aje deh kalau ada > FEELING, siapa tahu ada REJEKI karena kebagian pegang DADU. > > > Good Luck! > > > > > Internal Virus Database is out-of-date. > Checked by AVG Free Edition. > Version: 7.5.472 / Virus Database: 269.8.6/828 - Release Date: 6/1/2007 > 11:22 AM > > >
