IMHO, FED kemungkina besar turun tipis, but gak ngaruh ke DJI Yg jelas DJI dinaikin dulu sebelum FED di umumkan JCI melempemmmmm
On 9/13/07, Karno <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > Kalo sampe selasa DJ jeblok abis, baru pasti turun. > > ----- Original Message ----- > *From:* HS <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > *To:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com > *Sent:* Thursday, September 13, 2007 6:05 PM > *Subject:* RE: [obrolan-bandar] FED akan turun !!! Taruhan aja yuk..? > > > Saya setuju kalo fed nggak turun akan bgs utk jangka > panjang. kalo fed turun akan bgs dlm jangka pendek dan > jelek utk jangka panjang. > > Perkiraan saya sendiri fed akan naik atau minimal > tetap karena walau kep ini tdk populis, fed kan pasti > pikir panjang utk negaranya, bkn utk jangka pendek, > kec kalo ditunggangi sec politis utk meningkatkan > citra pemerintah skrg dan menghancurkan presiden > berikutnya. > > --- Eka Suwandana <[EMAIL PROTECTED] <esuwandan%40yahoo.com>> wrote: > > > Sepertinya the fed fund rate tetap! Saya lagi > > taruhan > > sama teman. Saya pikir pertama market DJ akan turun > > dulu karena kecewa. Utk IHSG juga sama cuma kalo > > turun > > IHSG saya langsung beli cicil. > > > > Kalo baca artikel jeremy siegel justru kalo the fed > > nggak turun akan bagus utk saham jangka panjang. > > > > > > > > --- HS <[EMAIL PROTECTED] <handokosatria%40yahoo.com>> wrote: > > > > > > > > kita taruhan aja yuk, siapa aja yg pegang NAIK, > > > siapa > > > yg TURUN, siapa yg TETAP? > > > > > > > > > > > > --- JsxTrader <[EMAIL PROTECTED] <eming%40cbn.net.id>> wrote: > > > > > > > Yang bagus mungkin ngga naik ngga turun kali > > Pak. > > > > kira2 ada ngga opsi > > > > lain selain naikin atau turunin fed rate? > > > > > > > > -----Original Message----- > > > > From: James Arifin > > [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] <james.arifin%40gmail.com>] > > > > > > > Sent: 12 September 2007 11:35 > > > > To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com<obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com> > > > > Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] FED akan turun !!! > > > > > > > > nggak ada rumus mana yg bagus dong kl gitu, naik > > > > salah turun salah. > > > > > > > > Kalau FED naik maka inflasi turun, defisit > > > > perdagangan mungkin mengecil > > > > tp CPI akan turun, dilanjut PPP turun trus > > indeks > > > > ikutan bearish lagi > > > > karena laporan keuangan jelek ... menurut saya > > > dari > > > > historical tiap Fed > > > > rate turun indeks bullish lihat aja waktu FED > > > hingga > > > > 1% memangnya US > > > > langsung collapse? Nggak lah, market has its own > > > > movement > > > > > > > > > > > > On 9/12/07, HS <[EMAIL PROTECTED] <handokosatria%40yahoo.com>> > wrote: > > > > > > > > iya, saham akan rally sementara. Tapi > > fundamental > > > > ekonomi AS tdk bgs, kalo fed rate dipaksa turun, > > > > inflasi makin tdk terkendali, defisit > > perdagangan > > > > makin lebar, nilai tukar (khususnya thd Euro dan > > > > Yen) > > > > makin terdepresiasi, defisit anggaran naik, > > > Akhirnya > > > > Fed tarik rem tangan! Trus pasar bearish.. > > > > > > > > --- Eka Suwandana < [EMAIL PROTECTED] <esuwandan%40yahoo.com> > > > > <mailto:esuwandan% <esuwandan%25>40yahoo.com> > > > > > wrote: > > > > > > > > > Fed turun saham rally pak HS! Udah rumus itu. > > > > > > > > > > James Arifin < [EMAIL PROTECTED] <james.arifin%40gmail.com> > > > > <mailto:james.arifin%40gmail.com> > wrote: > > > > > Maksud saya kalau menurut HS Fed rate turun > > maka > > > > US > > > > > ambruk, sekarang kalau Fed rate nggak turun > > juga > > > > > ambruk maka .. what choice is left? No change > > > > isn't > > > > > it > > > > > > > > > > On 9/11/07, Eka Suwandana <[EMAIL PROTECTED]<esuwandan%40yahoo.com> > > > > <mailto:esuwandan% <esuwandan%25>40yahoo.com> > > > > > > wrote: ambruk kayaknya! > > > > > > > > > > James Arifin <[EMAIL PROTECTED] <james.arifin%40gmail.com> > > > > <mailto:james.arifin%40gmail.com> > > > > > wrote: > > > > > terus kl fed rate nggak turun, apa US juga > > akan > > > > > ambruk juga ... heheheh > > > > > > > > > > On 9/11/07, HS <[EMAIL PROTECTED]<handokosatria%40yahoo.com> > > > > <mailto:handokosatria%40yahoo.com> > wrote: > > > > > > > > > > iya naik dulu tapi fatamorgana, abs itu > > amblas.. > > > > > > > > > > --- Eka Suwandana <[EMAIL PROTECTED] <esuwandan%40yahoo.com> > > > > <mailto:esuwandan% <esuwandan%25>40yahoo.com> > > > > > wrote: > > > > > > > > > > > The fed rate turun pastilah saham naik! > > > > > > --- HS <[EMAIL PROTECTED] <handokosatria%40yahoo.com> > > > > <mailto:handokosatria%40yahoo.com> > > > > > wrote: > > > > > > > > > > > > > kalo sampe fed rate turun, cuci gudang aja > > > > > sambil > > > > > > > liatin us ambruk > > > > > > > > > > > > > > --- "Siswantoro, Dodik" < > > [EMAIL PROTECTED] <kidod25%40yahoo.com> > > > > <mailto:kidod25% <kidod25%25>40yahoo.com> > > > > > > wrote: > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Kalau Ben emang basis akademisi, ia akan > > > > > > turunkan > > > > > > > > rate > > > > > > > > tapi emang turun tipis sih: > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 1. Menurut Futures contract > > diestimasikan > > > > jadi > > > > > > > > > > > > 5,15% > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 2. Menurut Based on 30-day Eurodollar > > > > futures > > > > > > > traded > > > > > > > > on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange > > > > > diestimasikan > > > > > > > > jadi > > > > > > > > 5,14% > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Kira2 bisa ga FED cuma turun 10 basis > > > > point?? > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > __________________________________________________________ > > > > > > > > > > > > Got a little couch potato? > > > > > > > > Check out fun summer activities for > > kids. > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > http://search.yahoo.com/search?fr=oni_on_mail > > > > > > > > > > <http://search.yahoo.com/search?fr=oni_on_mail&p=summer+activities+for+k > > > > ids&cs=bz> &p=summer+activities+for+kids&cs=bz > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > __________________________________________________________ > > > > > > > > > > > > Need a vacation? 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