Kalau liat TA, ada tanda2 reversal, dua hari terakhir volume 
meningkat, kemarin waktu index drop cukup dalem, totl tenang2 aja di 
630. Mungkin ada benernya juga BUY on (BAD) news! 


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
>
> Old adagio, SELL on (GOOD) news, BUY on (BAD) news ???
> 
> Just a thought... :D
> 
> Rgds
> 
> 
> On 11/14/07, Mas Anto <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > Total's earnings to decline by 49% this year
> >
> > q      Total Bangun Persada estimates that this year net profit 
to decline
> > by 49% yoy to Rp52bn, caused by cost over-run on three projects, 
error in
> > cost estimation process and a project termination which burden 
the company
> > with additional of Rp26bn expenses.  The new estimates are 50% 
lower than
> > the previous earnings guidance of Rp103bn for FY07.
> > q      Consequently, net margin will shrink to approximately 4% 
in FY07 from
> > average of 6% for the last three years. The company plans to 
reduce its high
> > net margin policy in order to be able to capture sizable project 
and sustain
> > growth.
> > q      Total targets to book revenue and net profit of Rp2tn 
(+54% yoy) and
> > Rp100bn (+92% yoy) in FY08, respectively, translating to a net 
margin of 5%.
> > Such a strong growth outlook is expected to be driven by hefty 
carry over
> > contract to 2008 at the minimum of value of Rp2.2tn.
> > q      Although we view that the revenue target in FY08 is 
achievable,
> > margin pressure risk will remain, as the company will continue 
introducing
> > lower margin policy to capture big projects and inflated project 
cost or
> > default by project owner may occur again in the future.
> > q      The share price has declined by 24.7% since disclosure of 
the weak
> > 3Q07 results, driving down consensus' PER08E to 13.8x.
> >
> >
> > disclaimer:
> > Kecuali kalau memang sedang koleksi.
> > Keputusan akhir ada di tangan Anda.....bla...bla....bla....
> >
> >
>


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