Pak Vincent, Andi & Senior OB... Kalau beda kepentingan maka bisa2 hasil analystnya juga beda. Lihat Analyst Lehman vs Morgan. (yang satu bilang $80 & satunya ke $200) Thanks
The Case For $80 A Barrel Oil 05.09.08, 2:37 PM ET Oil prices may hang above $100 a barrel for the rest of this year but will fall as low as $80 next year as world demand slackens and Saudi Arabia tries to buy influence with the incoming president by pumping more crude oil, an influential Lehman Brothers analyst said in a report issued today. Saudi engineers have been working on several big projects that could boost the nation's output by 1.3 million barrels a day--more than the expected increase in global demand next year--but the secretive nation is "likely to keep its political tool, excess production capacity, close to its chest until it has a new U.S. president to win over," Edward Morse writes. Saudi production is currently a little less than 10 million barrels a day. The Lehman report contrasts sharply with a Goldman Sachs (nyse: GS - news - people ) prediction earlier this week that crude prices could soar as high as $200 a barrel as non-OPEC producers struggle to maintain output, let alone increase it. Crude oil hit a record $126 on the NYMEX Friday, almost double the price of a year ago. Only time will tell who's right, but the analysts at Lehman make a strong case for falling prices as the markets absorb bearish signs such as the Chinese stockpiling oil in advance of the Olympics, and the estimated 28 million barrels Iran is storing in tankers because it can't find a market for the heavy, difficult-to-refine crude. ________________________________________________________ Kunjungi halaman depan Yahoo! Indonesia yang baru! http://id.yahoo.com/