Gak ada yang bisa memprediksi harga minyak, karena laporan produksi dan cadangan negara-negara produsen minyak banyak yang gak transparan dengan alasan politis. laporan konsumsi dari konsumen-konsumen besar juga gak transparan. Akibatnya supply and demand juga jadi gak ada yang tahu data aktualnya.
Majalah BusinessWeek Indonesia edisi kemaren menulis masalah ini, lengkap dengan perbandingan prediksi harga minyak dari berbagai sumber. Range-nya lebar sekali, dari 60-an sampai 150-an. Tepatnya berapa lupa. Selain itu, untuk lebih mendalam, silahkan baca buku "Profit from the Peak" terbitan willey. cari di amazon, beli di gramedia. full with chart and fact on oil peak. kalo di buku ini, true price of oil is $480 se barel. On 6/10/08, Diwya Satwika Paramartha <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > Btw don't forget one more thing my friend... > > China currently is expecting its Olympic in Beijing... Everyone here > in petro business must know what the issue is... > Oil demand from China is increasing as well as its derrivatives > product such plastics, chemicals intermediate products, etc. These > will add the support of bullish oil price. But let's just see 1-2mth > after the event.... > > Welcome again oil $110/bbl.. > > Just my 2cents > > > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, rudd haas <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > Saya justru lebih khawatir dlam beberapa hari ini Oil akan > break new high lagi, jika itu terjadi, yang saya takutkan,mungkin > efeknya lebih dalam dari sekedar subprime mortgage > > > > Hari ini Oil mulai naik lagi, sudah mulai menembus $137.64, bukan > mustahil break $150 lebih cepat dari estimasi nya Morgan. secara > general pasti tidak baik buat capital market > > > > Saya sendiri melihat, Oil price bukan sekedar aksi > spekulasi atau depresiasi USD-EUR, tapi juga supply demand. > Demand tidak akan turun, semenara supply tetap di tahan > oleh OPEC. OPEC juga berfungsi semacam kartel Minyak. Secara > logika memang tidak banyak mamfaatnya buat OPEC naikin > produksi saat ini, kalau mereka yakin beberapa waktu ke > depan bisa jual di harga 150-200/ barrel > > > > > > > > --- On Tue, 6/10/08, Ajo Ramon [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: > > > > From: Ajo Ramon [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Oil Analysis Mon 6/9/08 > > To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com > > Date: Tuesday, June 10, 2008, 7:26 PM > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Melihat chart ini serta volume yang mengikuti, saya semakin yakin > bahwa the end is near buat Oil. > > > > > > ----- Original Message ---- > > From: Saham Oke [EMAIL PROTECTED] com> > > To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com > > Sent: Tuesday, June 10, 2008 5:08:41 PM > > Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Oil Analysis Mon 6/9/08 > > > > > > > > Analysis > > > > Mon 6/9/08 > > > > Conventional Interpretation: Price is above the moving average so > the trend is up. > > > > Additional Analysis: Market trend is UP. > > > > Stochastic - Fast Indicator: > > > > Conventional Interpretation: The stochastic is bullish because the > SlowK line is above SlowD line. > > > > Additional Analysis: The long term trend is UP. The short term > trend is UP. Even though the stochastic is signaling that the market > is overbought, don't be fooled looking for a top here because of > this indicator. The stochastic indicator is only good at picking > tops in a Bear Market (in which we are not). Exit long position only > if some other indicator tells you to. > > > > > > ------------------------------------ > > + + > + + + + + > Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus > kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas. > + + + + + > + +Yahoo! Groups Links > > > >
