Pak Halim terus berdoa nih mengharapakan ekonomi amerika membaik..... Ekonomi amerika yg membaik tetapi overshadow oleh kenaikan harga minyak ?. May be yes, may be yes kata pak Halim... hehehe...
Pak Halim sepertinya pasang taruhan gede ama USD terhadap EURO, Pak Jos pasang taruhan ama Euro terhadap Rupiah. Jelasin ama kita kita dong pak Halim ?. --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, TH <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > fyi > > ---------- Forwarded message ---------- > From: Group Research <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > Date: Thu, Aug 28, 2008 at 3:44 PM > Subject: DBS Economics: US: praying for recession - 28 August 2008 > To: Group Research <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > > > Dear Readers > > * * > > *DBS Economics:** **US: praying for recession*** > > > > Attached please find our latest assessment of the US economy. Key points > include: > > > > · The economy has grown far better than most imagined back in > January, notwithstanding a $55/bbl rise in oil prices that none forecasted. > Recession calls missed by a mile > > · The monthly data flow is looking better, much better. And oil > prices have fallen by $30/bbl. > > · Yet Bernanke thinks the outlook has "weakened". And some NBER > officials (who call recessions) go further than that. Is everyone praying > for recession? No, but a *call* of recession would be different > > · How likely is such a declaration? Not very, comparing today's data > with past recessions. But it would lighten a few loads > > - In any event, the outlook is improving, not worsening. We discuss the > data and why we look for 150bps of rate hikes in 1H09 > > > > Please do not hesitate to contact regarding any portion of this report. > > > > Best Regards > > David Carbon > > Group Research > > DBS Bank Ltd > > Singapore > > Tel: (65) 6878-9548 > > Email: [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > *http://www.dbs.com/research* > > > > > > *Disclaimer:* > > The information herein is published by DBS Bank Ltd (the "Company"). It is > based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but the > Company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as > to its accuracy, completeness, timeliness or correctness for any particular > purpose. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Any > recommendation contained herein does not have regard to the specific > investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any > specific addressee. The information herein is published for the information > of addressees only and is not to be taken in substitution for the exercise > of judgement by addressees, who should obtain separate legal or financial > advice. The Company, or any of its related companies or any individuals > connected with the group accepts no liability for any direct, special, > indirect, consequential, incidental damages or any other loss or damages of > any kind arising from any use of the information herein (including any > error, omission or misstatement herein, negligent or otherwise) or further > communication thereof, even if the Company or any other person has been > advised of the possibility thereof. The information herein is not to be > construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any > securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or to provide > any investment advice or services. The Company and its associates, their > directors, officers and/or employees may have positions or other interests > in, and may effect transactions in securities mentioned herein and may also > perform or seek to perform broking, investment banking and other banking or > financial services for these companies. The information herein is not > intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any > jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to > law or regulation. > > > CONFIDENTIAL NOTE: The information contained in this email is intended only > for the use of the individual or entity named above and may contain > information that is privileged, confidential and exempt from disclosure > under applicable law. If the reader of this message is not the intended > recipient, you are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution or > copying of this communication is strictly prohibited. If you have received > this message in error, please immediately notify the sender and delete the > mail. Thank you. >