Pak Halim terus berdoa nih mengharapakan ekonomi amerika
membaik.....

Ekonomi amerika yg membaik tetapi overshadow oleh kenaikan
harga minyak ?. May be yes, may be yes kata pak Halim... hehehe...

Pak Halim sepertinya pasang taruhan gede ama USD terhadap EURO,
Pak Jos pasang taruhan ama Euro terhadap Rupiah.

Jelasin ama kita kita dong pak Halim ?. 


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, TH <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> fyi
> 
> ---------- Forwarded message ----------
> From: Group Research <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> Date: Thu, Aug 28, 2008 at 3:44 PM
> Subject: DBS Economics: US: praying for recession - 28 August 2008
> To: Group Research <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> 
> 
>  Dear Readers
> 
> * *
> 
> *DBS Economics:**  **US: praying for recession***
> 
> 
> 
> Attached please find our latest assessment of the US economy.  Key 
points
> include:
> 
> 
> 
> ·        The economy has grown far better than most imagined back in
> January, notwithstanding a $55/bbl rise in oil prices that none 
forecasted.
> Recession calls missed by a mile
> 
> ·        The monthly data flow is looking better, much better.  And 
oil
> prices have fallen by $30/bbl.
> 
> ·        Yet Bernanke thinks the outlook has "weakened". And some 
NBER
> officials (who call recessions) go further than that.  Is everyone 
praying
> for recession?  No, but a *call* of recession would be different
> 
> ·        How likely is such a declaration?  Not very, comparing 
today's data
> with past recessions.  But it would lighten a few loads
> 
>    - In any event, the outlook is improving, not worsening.  We 
discuss the
>    data and why we look for 150bps of rate hikes in 1H09
> 
> 
> 
> Please do not hesitate to contact regarding any portion of this 
report.
> 
> 
> 
> Best Regards
> 
> David Carbon
> 
> Group Research
> 
> DBS Bank Ltd
> 
> Singapore
> 
> Tel: (65) 6878-9548
> 
>  Email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> 
> *http://www.dbs.com/research*
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> *Disclaimer:*
> 
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(the "Company").  It is
> based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, 
but the
> Company does not make any representation or warranty, express or 
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