No, I do not have numbers to back it up, that is why my guess is that
3K-RSA is the next step after 2K-RSA.
It also depends on what data you are planning to transport, and in what
kind of organisation you are.

2014-09-09 18:21 GMT+02:00 Viktor Dukhovni <openssl-us...@dukhovni.org>:

> On Tue, Sep 09, 2014 at 05:54:15PM +0200, Jeroen de Neef wrote:
>
> > I think that 3K-RSA is the next step after 2K-RSA, and I am sure that the
> > computational costs of a 4K-RSA certificate is much of an obstruction
> with
> > current hardware and I think that it isn't a problem at all a couple
> years
> > in the future.
>
> Have any numbers to back that up?  The performance ratios are likely
> similar for recent and not so recent CPUs:
>
>                       sign    verify    sign/s verify/s
>     rsa 1024 bits 0.000385s 0.000025s   2599.2  40210.7
>     rsa 2048 bits 0.002494s 0.000078s    401.0  12762.7
>     rsa 4096 bits 0.017500s 0.000284s     57.1   3527.3
>
> On my CPU the sign/s ratios for the two steps are 6.5 and 7.0,
> which are quite significant.  The performance gulf between 1024
> and 4096 is rather wide, while the security gain from 2048 to 4096
> is far from clear.
>
> --
>         Viktor.
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