New China Defense Policy Focuses Threat on Taiwan
By Benjamin Sand, Beijing
VOICE OF AMERICA
27 December 2004

China has threatened to crush Taiwan at any cost if the island declares
independence. The belligerent rhetoric is at the center of a new national
defense policy. 

The new 85-page defense policy was released Monday and it reinforced
Beijing's hard-line stance against Taiwan's independence movement. 

The lengthy white paper highlights a series of regional security concerns,
including the nuclear arms standoff on the Korean peninsula and a more
aggressive Japanese defense policy.  But the focus is on silencing Taiwanese
calls for independence.

The paper describes cross-strait relations as grim and says the Chinese army
has a sacred responsibility to crush Taiwan if it declares independence.
The paper also blasts U.S. policy toward Taiwan, especially its weapons
sales to Taipei.

Professor Arthur Ding follows cross-strait relations for the National
Chengchi University in Taiwan. He says Beijing's tough rhetoric is in part a
reaction to a small group of Chinese hard-liners pushing for a confrontation
with Taipei.

"The Chinese government is doing something proactively to diffuse growing
pressure in Beijing," he said.

He says the new policy shows ultra-nationalists that Beijing will not allow
Taiwan to move further away from mainland China.

The two split politically in 1949 after a civil war, when the defeated
Kuomintang fled to Taiwan.

Beijing considers the island its territory and has repeatedly threatened to
invade if Taipei declares formal independence.

Taiwanese President Chen Shui Bian's political party favors independence
figure and he wants to revise the island's constitution.

Beijing is adopting a new anti-secession law, seen by many in Taiwan as an
attempt to create a legal pretext for an invasion.

Mr. Ding says hard-liners on both sides of the Taiwan Strait appear bent on
a confrontation. In that context, he says Beijing's new defense policy also
may be an attempt to force Washington to rein in Taiwan's pro-independence
movement.

"If the Chinese government, at this stage, proposes the anti-secession law,
the Chinese government has a bargaining chip with the U.S. government and
they can pressure the U.S. government to handle the Taiwan issue," he said.

Under a 1979 treaty the United States is obligated to protect Taiwan in the
event of a Chinese attack. 

But Washington also opposes Taiwanese independence and has called on both
sides to avoid unilateral or aggressive policy changes. 

Beijing's white paper also says the defense budget will rise 11 percent in
the coming year, to nearly $26 billion. While the number of troops will
fall, the extra funds will buy high-technology equipment. That budget,
however, does not include many weapons systems and other military spending.
The United States and other governments estimate China's full defense
spending may be four times as high as the official budget. 



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