<http://www.timesonline.co.uk/printFriendly/0,,1-3-1516755-3,00.html>

The Times of London

 March 09, 2005

 Beijing warns of invasion if Taiwan dares to declare its independence
>From Clifford Coonan in Beijing



CHINA increased regional tensions yesterday when the annual parliament in
Beijing tabled an anti-secessionist Bill that explicitly threatens the
invasion of Taiwan if the island declares independence.

 Any such move by Taiwan will trigger "non-peaceful means and other
necessary measures to protect China's sovereignty and territorial
integrity", Wang Zhaoguo, a senior legislator, told the National People's
Congress.

 The move prompted a furious reaction in Taiwan. "(China) has issued a
blank cheque to its military for the use of force against Taiwan," Chiu
Tai-shan, vice-chairman of the policy-making Mainland Affairs Council, said.

 While the Bill does not specify which actions may provoke a Chinese
invasion, it is seen as a strong display of sabre-rattling. However, Mr
Wang, apparently eager to nurture improving relations with the United
States, emphasised that peaceful reunification was Beijing's goal.

 President Bush has vowed to protect Taiwan against attack and Washington
has watched the passage of the Bill with growing concern.

 In another move, Beijing suggested that Australia review its Anzus
alliance with the US, under which it could agree to support American action
in defence of Taiwan. Alexander Downer, the Australian Foreign Minister,
said that there were no plans to modify the alliance.

 Mr Wang, who sits on the Communist Party's 24-member Politburo, told the
3,000 delegates in the Great Hall of the People: "So long as there is a
glimmer of hope for peaceful reunification, we will exert our utmost to
make it happen rather than give it up. Using non-peaceful means would be
our last resort." In an effort to soothe American concerns, he emphasised
that peaceful reunification remained Beijing's ultimate goal.

 China's Communist Government has always considered invasion an option when
it comes to Taiwan, which is a painful thorn in the side of the surging
"New China". Resolving the Taiwan issue is considered one of the "three
historic tasks of the Communist Party of China and the country".

 The legislation will sail through the largely ceremonial parliament when
voting takes place on Monday, at the end of the ten-day session, which also
will approve a big increase in China's military budget.

 Analysts said that "non-peaceful" was a flexible term that could allow for
sanctions and blockades, rather than invasion, to force the issue.
Diplomats said that there was not a timetable for the law and noted that
Wen Jiabao, the Chinese Prime Minister, had emphasised peaceful means to
resolve the matter during his address last Saturday.

 Beijing has claimed sovereignty over Taiwan since 1949, when the
Nationalists retreated to the island as the Communists swept to power.

 In Taiwan, President Chen Shui-bian has called the legislation the biggest
threat to regional stability. Frank Hsieh, the Prime Minister, said that he
supported revising sensitive parts of the Constitution if China legalises
the attacking of Taiwan and the inclusion of the island as part of the
People's Republic of China.

 Thousands in Taiwan have demonstrated against the Bill. One protester
carried a banner that read "No Anschluss", a reference to the annexation of
Austria by the Nazis in 1938.

 Dialogue between the old enemies stalled in 1999 and Beijing has pushed
Taipei into diplomatic isolation. However, China is Taiwan's largest
trading partner and the island has huge holdings on the mainland, having
invested about �44 billion there in the past ten years. About one million
Taiwanese live in China.

 Arms have proliferated on both sides of the Taiwan Strait in recent years.
Beijing has spent huge amounts of money to fortify the 2.5-million-strong
People's Liberation Army and aim rockets across the 100-mile-wide stretch
of water that divides the rivals.

EARLY WARNING

"Solving the Taiwan question and achieving China's complete reunification
is China's internal affair. We will not submit to any interference by
outside forces"

"We have never forsworn the use of force. No sovereign state can tolerate
secession. Using non-peaceful means to stop secession would be our last
resort"

 "Should the 'Taiwan independence' forces leave us with no other option but
to employ non-peaceful means, such means would be targeted against the
'Taiwan independence' forces rather than our Taiwan compatriots"


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The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
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[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'


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