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Townhall.com

It's the end of the world, and I feel fine
Jonah Goldberg (back to web version) | Send

April 1, 2005

The bad news is that a new United Nations report says the world's coming to
an end.

But, first, some good news: America's doing great!

Seriously, forests are breaking out all over America. New England has more
forests since the Civil War. In 1880, New York State was only 25 percent
forested. Today it is more than 66 percent. In 1850, Vermont was only 35
percent forested. Now it's 76 percent forested and rising. In the South,
more land is covered by forest than at any time in the last century. In
1936 a study found that 80 percent of piedmont Georgia was without trees.
Today nearly 70 percent of the state is forested. In the last decade alone,
America has added more than 10 million acres of forestland.

There are many reasons for America's arboreal comeback. We no longer use
wood as fuel, and we no longer use as much land for farming. Indeed, the
amount of land dedicated to farming in the United States has been steadily
declining even as the agricultural productivity has increased
astronomically. There are also fewer farmers. Only 2.4 percent of America's
labor force is dedicated to agriculture, which means that fewer people live
near where the food grows.

The literal greening of America has added vast new habitats for animals,
many of which were once on the brink of extinction. Across the country, the
coyote has rebounded (obviously, this is a mixed blessing, especially for
roadrunners). The bald eagle is thriving. In Maine there are more moose
than any time in memory. Indeed, throughout New England the populations of
critters of all kinds are exploding. In New Jersey, Connecticut and
elsewhere, the black bear population is rising sharply. The Great Plains
host more buffalo than at any time in more than a century.

And, of course, there's the mountain lion. There are probably now more of
them in the continental United States than at any time since European
settlement. This is bad news for deer, which are also at historic highs,
because the kitties think "they're grrrreat!" In Iowa the big cat was
officially wiped out in 1867, but today the state is hysterical about
cougar sightings. One of the most annoying tics of the media is always to
credit the notion that human-animal encounters are the result of mankind
"intruding" on America's dwindling wild places. This is obviously sometimes
the case. But it is also sometimes the case that America's burgeoning wild
places are intruding on us.

Anyway, there's more good news, of course. According to Gregg Easterbrook,
air pollution is lower than it has been in a generation, drinking water is
safer, and our waterways are cleaner.

America's environmental revival is a rich and complicated story with many
specific exceptions, caveats and, of course, setbacks. But the overarching
theme is pretty simple: The richer you get, the healthier your environment
gets. This is because rich societies can afford to indulge their
environmental interests and movements. Poor countries cannot.

Unsurprisingly, rich countries tend to have a better grasp of economics and
the role of markets, private stewardship and property rights, reasonable
regulations, and so forth. With the exception of some oil-rich states,
they're also almost always democratic and hence have systems that can
successfully assign blame to, and demand restitution from, polluters. In
socialized economies, a "tragedy of the commons" almost always arises. As
Harvard president Lawrence Summers says, nobody's ever washed a rented car.

So let's get back to the bad news, the world is coming to an end. OK, not
quite. But the coverage of the United Nations' new "Millennium Ecosystem
Assessment" report was very close to a doomsday scenario, complete with
references to "running out" of resources and the rest. And let's be fair,
unlike the situation in America and Europe, there are some enormous
environmental problems in the world. Even if you're a global warming
skeptic, there's no disputing that such problems as over-fishing are real.

But fear not. There's some unexpected good news. The United Nations(!)
seems to have some good ideas for how to solve these problems. Tim Worstall
of TechCentralStation.com was the first - and perhaps only - commentator to
notice that the U.N. report entertains the possibility that market
mechanisms - property rights, credits, trade - are solutions to
environmental ills, not causes of it.

If the United Nations is actually serious - fingers crossed! - this would
constitute enormous progress and a sign that the global environmental
community has finally conquered what I call the cultural contradictions of
environmentalism. Broadly speaking, environmentalists want to end poverty,
hunger and disease, but they also want to keep indigenous cultures
unchanged. But you can't have both simultaneously. It is the natural state
of indigenous cultures, after all, to be constantly vulnerable to disease
and hunger, and no man fighting to keep his children alive cares about
"biodiversity."

For decades environmentalists pointed to various calamities and boasted
that they were identifying the problems, which is the first step for
providing a solution. But they were wrong; environmental distress is a
symptom of political and economic corruption. There's reason to hope the
United Nations has finally recognized the real problem, and that's great
news.

Jonah Goldberg is editor-at-large of National Review Online, a Townhall.com
member group.


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The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
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"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'


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