[Excerpt: However, Pakistan has point-blank refused to allow any
external investigation into Khan (who is under house arrest), former
chief of army staff Mirza Aslam Beg and former Pakistani president
Ghulam Ishaq Khan. Instead, Pakistan has passed on details of interviews
with these people to concerned international authorities, including the
IAEA and US authorities......In hurriedly arranged visits, Musharraf has
recently not only signed agreements on anti-terror with former Soviet
Muslim states, he has also handed over several operators arrested in
Pakistan. Several military deals are secretly in the pipeline, including
joint exercises and the sale and purchase of military hardware. Pakistan
has already handed over a map to Central Asian Republic states for a
trade route, of which Gwadar's warm waters will be the centrifugal
point. ....The pace of these developments between the Central Asian
states and Pakistan has been so rapid over the past three months that
the US has been stunned.....A sop of F-16s was dished out to Pakistan,
while at the same time pressure was renewed on exposing its
proliferation mafia, and with a revived possible al-Qaeda link.....Asia
Times Online has learned that Islamabad will continue to defy US
pressure, while attempting to minimize its dependency on the US - even
though the US still needs Pakistan assistance to keep Iran on the hook,
and the Taliban resistance in Afghanistan under constant pressure.]

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/South_Asia/GD14Df01.html

Apr 14, 2005
    
    
Pakistan covers its bets on the US
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

KARACHI - With the US playing a carrot and stick game and Pakistan
playing hide and seek over its nuclear program - past and present - the
two sides are developing a relationship based on mutual interests,
although Pakistan is developing alternative choices.

The US is increasing pressure on Pakistan over its proliferation
history, seeking to establish conclusive evidence that Iran is committed
to a nuclear weapons program, while at the same time offering Islamabad
- a key ally in the "war on terror" - inducements such as F-16s
fighters.

Pressure on Pakistan has risen since the arrest last year of Asher
Karni, a 51-year-old Hungarian-born Israeli and South African
businessman, in the US on charges of violating American export laws. He
was accused of exporting "triggered spark gap" devices. These are used
for medical purposes, but can also, when installed into an enriched
uranium casing, ignite a nuclear explosion.

During interrogation Karni revealed links with an underworld mafia
operating in Pakistan and India. Despite giving details of unlawful
shipments to India, no charges were brought against any Indian, but Asia
Times Online contacts say that his evidence will be used to target
Pakistan.

In the coming days the US is expected to formally ask Pakistan to help
bring a Pakistani businessmen, Humayun Khan, to the US for
investigation. Karni came up with Khan's name in connection with
arranging shipments to Pakistan. Investigations will also be reopened
into Pakistani scientist Bashiruddin Mehmood.

In late 2001, US officials investigating the activities of Osama bin
Laden discovered that the al-Qaeda head had contacted some Pakistani
nuclear experts for assistance in making a small nuclear device. US
officials sought two veteran Pakistani nuclear scientists, in
particular, Bashiruddin Mehmood and Abdul Majid, for interrogation. The
two admitted to working in Afghanistan in recent years, but said they
had only been providing "charitable assistance" to Afghans.

Old wine in new bottles
Since news of Pakistan's nuclear proliferation officially broke last
year with the father of the country's program, Dr Abdul Qadeer Khan,
admitting to proliferation, albeit in a "personal capacity", the US has
laid siege to Pakistan's nuclear program. It has been learned that
before a major non-proliferation treaty (NPT) conference in May, new
pressures will be mounted exclusively on Pakistan to sign the NPT, which
would allow the UN's watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency
(IAEA), to closely inspect Pakistan's nuclear sites. However, Pakistan
has officially refused to sign the NPT.

Up to a point, Pakistan has extended maximum cooperation to
international agencies and provided them with evidence and material
sources to investigate the nuclear underworld. However, Pakistan has
point-blank refused to allow any external investigation into Khan (who
is under house arrest), former chief of army staff Mirza Aslam Beg and
former Pakistani president Ghulam Ishaq Khan. Instead, Pakistan has
passed on details of interviews with these people to concerned
international authorities, including the IAEA and US authorities.

Pakistan's strategic circles are now debating how to deal with demands
for further assistance.

A case in point is Bashiruddin Mehmood. He was linked with the Taliban
government in Afghanistan to develop agro-projects in Afghanistan
through his non-governmental organization, but he was thought to have
assisted al-Qaeda in acquiring nuclear weapons. He was immediately taken
into custody. On US demands, the US Federal Bureau of Investigation kept
Bashiruddin Mehmood at a private location in Pakistan for interrogation.
He was released after no links were found to developing nuclear weapons
for al-Qaeda.

In the meantime, US agencies conducted investigations and inquiries with
al-Qaeda detainees, and recovered documents from Kabul and Jalalabad.
They concluded that al-Qaeda's focus to acquire nuclear material and
weapons was on renegade scientists of Russia and the Central Asian
Republics. Nevertheless, their focus remained on Pakistan, and they
still want to pursue this avenue.

A similar US mindset appeared when Iran's possible nuclear weapons
program came under the spotlight.

Certainly, elements of nuclear cooperation have been traced between
Pakistan and Iran, but indigenous Iranian efforts and non-Pakistani
sources are also involved. Recently, the Institute for Science and
International Security, a Washington-based anti-nuclear proliferation
group, divulged that Iran had established a facility called Kalaye
Electric in 1995. The Persian name, which means "electric goods", was
apparently chosen to mislead people about the real purpose of the site.

A US news agency quoted the institute's deputy director, Corey
Hinderstein, who researched the Iranian site, as saying, "They have been
using the site to research, develop and manufacture gas centrifuges for
uranium enrichment." The centrifuges can also be used for enriching
weapons-grade uranium. Hinderstein categorically mentioned that Iran
also had "developed an indigenous capability to manufacture
centrifuges". The fact is well documented by international agencies, yet
all the focus of investigations is on the Pakistani side.

The great Asian game
At a time when the US, China and India have well-defined economic
interests, strategic experts in Rawalpindi once again cling to their own
theory of "greater Central Asia" with regard to the strategic depth that
they feel will help them against US and Indian designs in the region.

In the past, Pakistan was obsessed with cultivating former Soviet Muslim
states through its Islamic ideology and establishing a "brotherhood",
including Afghanistan. After September 11, everything was turned upside
down, notably Pakistan having to abandon the Taliban, which it had
nurtured.

In hurriedly arranged visits, Musharraf has recently not only signed
agreements on anti-terror with former Soviet Muslim states, he has also
handed over several operators arrested in Pakistan. Several military
deals are secretly in the pipeline, including joint exercises and the
sale and purchase of military hardware. Pakistan has already handed over
a map to Central Asian Republic states for a trade route, of which
Gwadar's warm waters will be the centrifugal point. 

The pace of these developments between the Central Asian states and
Pakistan has been so rapid over the past three months that the US has
been stunned.

A sop of F-16s was dished out to Pakistan, while at the same time
pressure was renewed on exposing its proliferation mafia, and with a
revived possible al-Qaeda link.

Asia Times Online has learned that Islamabad will continue to defy US
pressure, while attempting to minimize its dependency on the US - even
though the US still needs Pakistan assistance to keep Iran on the hook,
and the Taliban resistance in Afghanistan under constant pressure.

Conventional wisdom has it that Pakistan has to rely on US aid, but its
economic managers are drawing up an aggressive strategy to lessen this
reliance. They have prepared a road map for privatization over the next
five years in which major national assets, including in the power
sector, telecom and even the national airline, will be sold off. They
also plan to lay the foundations for complete liberalization leading to
a full market economy, which will generate huge revenues for the state
without sharing any liabilities. In terms of this grand plan, mostly
Gulf-based companies will be encouraged to invest. Several have already
arrived, while many more will come.

"Leave it to me and I will not let Pakistan surrender to the US or
India." President General Pervez Musharraf pledged to Kashmiri leaders
in a briefing in Rawalpindi recently, after which they all came out with
smiles on their faces.

What Pakistan has developed as an alternative strategy to wean itself
from the US is a gamble, whether in the field of economics or in the
field of courting former Soviet states. But for the time being, it has
forced the US to hang around on Pakistan's terms.

Syed Saleem Shahzad, Bureau Chief, Pakistan, Asia Times Online. He can
be reached at [EMAIL PROTECTED]
enditem


------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> 
Take a look at donorschoose.org, an excellent charitable web site for
anyone who cares about public education!
http://us.click.yahoo.com/_OLuKD/8WnJAA/cUmLAA/TySplB/TM
--------------------------------------------------------------------~-> 

--------------------------
Want to discuss this topic?  Head on over to our discussion list, [EMAIL 
PROTECTED]
--------------------------
Brooks Isoldi, editor
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

http://www.intellnet.org

  Post message: osint@yahoogroups.com
  Subscribe:    [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Unsubscribe:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]


*** FAIR USE NOTICE. This message contains copyrighted material whose use has 
not been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. OSINT, as a part of 
The Intelligence Network, is making it available without profit to OSINT 
YahooGroups members who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the 
included information in their efforts to advance the understanding of 
intelligence and law enforcement organizations, their activities, methods, 
techniques, human rights, civil liberties, social justice and other 
intelligence related issues, for non-profit research and educational purposes 
only. We believe that this constitutes a 'fair use' of the copyrighted material 
as provided for in section 107 of the U.S. Copyright Law. If you wish to use 
this copyrighted material for purposes of your own that go beyond 'fair use,' 
you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.
For more information go to:
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml 
Yahoo! Groups Links

<*> To visit your group on the web, go to:
    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/osint/

<*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
    [EMAIL PROTECTED]

<*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to:
    http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
 



Reply via email to