http://www.isn.ethz.ch/news/sw/details.cfm?ID=11103

Japan's nationalism risks its power position

Japan's nationalism is a response to what it perceives as a changing
balance of power in East Asia.
By Erich Marquardt for PINR (13/04/05)

Anti-Japanese protests that spread through China over the weekend are
the latest manifestation of Japan's growing nationalism. The protests
erupted after formal approval by Japan's Education Ministry to print a
school textbook that glosses over Japanese war atrocities during its
early 20th century history. An estimated 10'000 to 20'000 Chinese
demonstrators marched to the Japanese Embassy in Beijing, throwing
stones at the facility; additionally, on 10 April, an estimated 20'000
demonstrators marched in two cities in southern Guangdong province,
with protestors attacking a Japanese department store in Shenzhen. 

The protests are considered the largest anti-Japanese demonstrations
in China since the two countries normalized diplomatic relations in
1972. They are also the largest protests in the country since the US
destroyed the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade in 1999 during the conflict
in Kosovo. Smaller protests in South Korea also sprang up over the
weekend due to the same issues; both countries were victimized by
Japan's expansion in the first half of the 20th century.

A series of nationalistic actions

The decision by Japan's Education Ministry follows a series of
nationalistic actions taken by Tokyo that have enflamed emotions in
the region. For instance, Tokyo is engaged in an island dispute with
China and Taiwan over the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands; it has claimed that
the South Korean-controlled Dokdo (or Tokdo) islets, known as
Takeshima in Japan, are part of its territory; Japanese leaders,
including Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi, continue to visit the
Yasukuni Shrine which, while honoring Japanese war dead, also honors
more than 1'000 World War II war criminals, among them 14 Class A war
criminals; the Japanese military has been increasing its power
potential, building up its military and projecting its forces to
locations as far as Iraq; and Tokyo has declared a more assertive
foreign policy, best seen through its declaration that it will join
the US in defending Taiwan against an invasion from mainland China.

A growing trend

Japan's growing nationalism derives from its desire to develop a more
independent foreign policy and to increase its military power; much of
the country's political elite want to see a return of a powerful
Japan. Fomenting nationalism among the Japanese population is a
necessary development to increase support for a stronger military.

 While in the past such levels of nationalism would be restrained due
to the country's recognition of its violent expansion throughout East
Asia in the first half of the 20th century, in recent years Japan's
society has changed; the memory of Japan's actions before and during
WWII are fading, China is dramatically increasing its power, and the
difficulties encountered by the US in Iraq have eroded the certainty
that Washington will intervene completely in defense of Japan upon a
conflict with China. This explains why a growing segment of the
Japanese political elite has been stoking Japanese nationalism in
order to create the societal conditions conducive to military growth.
Tokyo has laid claim to a series of island chains, such as the
Dokdo/Takeshima islands, which are presently held and occupied by
South Korea, and the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands, which are held by Japan
but are contested by China and Taiwan. Additionally, it has resisted
international pressure to include much of its militant WWII-era past
in its history books. 

For instance, in one of its latest approved school textbooks, Japan's
Education Ministry permitted the use of a history book that ignores
Japan's forced seizure of some 100'000 to 200'000 "comfort women" that
were used as prostitutes and sex slaves for Japanese troops, its use
of forced labor, and its failure to mention the details of the
Japanese military's actions in Nanjing, China, where tens of thousands
of Chinese civilians and prisoners of war were killed by Japanese
soldiers in 1937.

Educating the children

The organization that authored the controversial textbooks, the
Japanese Society for History Textbook Reform, consists of nationalist
academics who are "deeply concerned by the very serious state of
history education in Japan". Nobukatsu Fujioka, the vice chairman of
the organization, explains that Japan is currently "educating our
children using unsubstantiated, wartime, enemy propaganda. 

You can easily imagine how children come to believe that their
ancestors were murderous monsters. In actuality, there is no evidence
proving that Japanese war crimes were any worse than war crimes
committed by other nations". When discussing the "comfort women,"
Fujioka stated, "prostitution in itself is a tragedy, but there is no
evidence to indicate that the women were forced into it by the
Japanese military. If this had been the case, I am sure the proud
Koreans would have been so outraged that they would have stood up to
kill all Japanese, no matter what the consequences."

Tokyo's dangerous endorsement

In light of how sensitive Japan's neighbors are to the country's
history, Tokyo's endorsement of the preceding statements are bound to
spark anti-Japanese nationalism in those countries that were affected
by Japan's early 20th century expansion, a development we now see
today. The demand by neighboring countries - led by China and South
Korea - to have Tokyo include such information in its textbooks is
being played off by the Japanese political elite as being
anti-Japanese rhetoric, which then ignites Japanese nationalism,
moving the population more toward supporting rearmament and a
nationalist foreign policy. 

As argued by Fujioka: "More and more people share our opposition to
instilling self-hatred in our children." Indeed, Japan's political
elite has argued that anti-Japanese rhetoric is a tool of foreign
governments to conceal their failure to provide for and satisfy their
populations. Shinzo Abe, the acting secretary general of Japan's
ruling Liberal Democratic Party, commented on this, stating, "Japan is
an outlet to vent that anger". Abe further argued, "Because of the
anti-Japanese education [in China], it's easy to light the fire of
these demonstrations and, because of the Internet, it's easy to
assemble a lot of people." Statements such as these convince segments
of Japan's population to give more power to the country's nationalists.

Beijing holds firm

Indeed, following the protests, the Japanese government asked Beijing
to apologize for the demonstrations; Beijing, wary of its population's
own nationalism that is driving its regional power ambitions, refused,
with Chinese government spokesman Qin Gang declaring that "the
Japanese side must earnestly and properly treat major issues that
relate to Chinese people's feelings such as the history of invasion
against China". Qin continued, "It should do more to enhance mutual
trust and safeguard the overall interests of China-Japan relations,
instead of doing the contraries."

Tokyo endangering its interests

Japanese actions have hurt its relations with South Korea and China.
While there has always been nationalist tension between Japan and
China, its relations with South Korea have been stable as both rely on
Washington's military umbrella. Both countries were supported and
protected by the United States during the long Cold War with the
Soviet Union, a time when China was in the Communist orbit and when
the US fought on the side of South Korea against the invading North.
It is important for Tokyo to keep its relations with Seoul strong. By
alienating South Korea, Japan is driving Seoul closer to Beijing -
this development is welcomed by Beijing but it should not be welcomed
by Tokyo. South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun already warned on 23
March: "Now, the South Korean government has no choice but to sternly
deal with Japan's attempt to justify its history of aggression and
colonialism and revive regional hegemony." Roh cautioned that "there
could be a hard diplomatic war … that may reduce exchanges in various
sectors and cause economic difficulty. But we do not have to worry
much about it … we are determined to take the hardship on our
shoulders if we really have to".

The contentious security council bid

Indeed, Seoul has said that it would campaign against Japan's attempt
to become a permanent member of the UN Security Council. Japan's
campaign to join the Security Council is part of the country's desire
to increase its regional power; it is supported by the US and
Australia in its UN bid. In the words of South Korea's ambassador to
the UN, Kim Sam Hoon, "There are difficulties for a country that does
not have the trust of its neighboring countries because of a lack of
reflection on the past to play the role of a world leader." China has
joined South Korea in opposition to Japan becoming a permanent member
of the Security Council. 

On 12 April, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said this of Japan, "Only a
country that respects history, takes responsibility for history and
wins over the trust of peoples in Asia and the world at large can take
greater responsibilities in the international community." While Japan
enjoys the strategic support of the US and Australia, two countries
that currently utilize Japan to retain the present balance of power in
East Asia, these countries are distant, making it important for Japan
to build a coalition of strategic allies among its immediate
neighbors, with South Korea being the most obvious choice due to its
history of being on the West's side in the Cold War and also being a
strong economic power in East Asia. Therefore, the souring of
relations with South Korea will have a negative impact on Japanese
interests by further isolating Tokyo in the region.

Response to changing balance of power

Japan's nationalism is a response to what it perceives as a changing
balance of power in East Asia. The growth of China as a power has
caused Japan to rethink its foreign policy strategy. It recognizes
that despite its excellent trade relations with Beijing - trade
between the two countries grew by 17 per cent in 2004 - China is a
threat to Japan's power and influence in East Asia since its current
path will supplant Japan's role as the most powerful regional state.
In order to prepare for this future, Tokyo is increasing its military
power while indirectly declaring that it supports the containment of
China, evidenced by its statement that it would join the US in
defending Taiwan against a Chinese invasion. While its relationship
with the US is critical if it wishes to keep its regional power, it
needs to also work with other Asian powers so it does not find itself
isolated on the fringe of East Asia, facing a Chinese-dominated bloc
spanning its entire western coast.

This article originally appeared in Power and Interest News Report,
PINR, at (www.pinr.com). All comments should be directed to
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