Arabs and the EU
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Date: Fri, 10 Jun 2005 15:46:25 -0000
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http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2005/746/op4.htm

Arabs and the EU
By Salama A Salama
 
The French and Dutch rejection of the EU constitution does not mean
the collapse of European unity though it does set a ceiling on hopes
for a United States of Europe that could vie with and counterbalance
the US. 

Not that this should overly concern the Arab world. Recent history has
shown the more cohesive and influential the EU becomes the more it
will pressure the Arab world. These pressures tend to conform to
American policy in the Middle East in the expectation the US will
reciprocate in other areas. We saw this dynamic in action in the
handling of the Iranian nuclear issue, when Europe worked in tandem
with the US. It manifested itself more explicitly in the recent
Euromed conference in Luxemburg, during which the EU attempted to
remove the Arab-Israeli conflict from the agenda. It's an old subject
and it's being handled at another international level so why keep
bringing it up in meetings that should be concentrating on political,
economic and cultural reform in Arab countries? So ran the argument,
echoing Washington's insistence upon prioritising the spread of democracy.

The Arabs halted this bid. It's hardly in their interests to be at the
mercy of two large power blocs -- the US and the EU -- all the more so
when the pressures work in favour of Israel, aim to sap Arab resources
and subjugate the Arab world under such sobriquets as European
partnership, Euromed dialogue and cooperation with NATO.

The French and Dutch rejections of the constitution suggest the
Europeans are unwilling to place their fate unconditionally in the
hands of their leaders, even if those leaders are democratically
elected. The European people are determined to put the breaks on the
dreams of an elite of professional politicians who seek a European
entity steered by a single governing apparatus, ruled by a single
constitution and adopting uniform domestic and foreign policies
regardless of how these might clash with the interests of its 25 members. 

The French detected and expressed more quickly than other peoples of
"old" Europe the problems involved in admitting 15 new members to the
EU from Eastern ("new") Europe. To the French this development became
a vehicle for their mounting anger and frustration. It was not just
that social benefits were crumbling, unemployment rates climbing and
economic security was threatened by an influx of cheap labour from
Eastern Europe. Nor was it just right- wing xenophobia or more general
fears over European culture and values aggravated by Turkey's EU
candidacy. There was strong scepticism about the very feasibility of a
United States of Europe and a general reluctance to being swallowed up
in a unified European identity.

The constitutional referendum debacle may have powerful repercussions.
German Chancellor Schroder, Chirac's foremost ally in promoting the EU
constitution, is currently so unpopular that if elections were held
tomorrow he would certainly loose. EU partners face a long period of
discord over the next steps to take as well as over their relations
with the US which did not even bother to hide its pleasure at the EU
setback. 

It is difficult to predict the direction Europe will take next. Will
it overhaul the constitution and put it to referendum again or will it
place the whole thing on hold? Will it opt for some compromise
solution, such as a two-tiered approach that will permit some
countries to fully integrate and others to hold off for a while? 
Whatever route the Europeans go one thing is certain. The Arabs, as
they currently stand, are too weak to benefit from a strong united
Europe and too weak to benefit from a fragmented quarreling Europe.
They remain, as ever, easy prey for all.









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