"What still remains to be fully grasped, however, is the wider pattern
of propaganda that underlay the administration's war effort -- in
particular, the overlapping networks of relationships that tied
together so many key figures in the administration, the
neoconservatives and their allies on the outside, and parts of the
media in what became a seamless, boundary-less operation to persuade
the American people that Saddam Hussein represented an intolerable
threat to their national security."

http://www.tomdispatch.com/index.mhtml?pid=9301

Tomgram: Jim Lobe on Timing the Cheney Nuclear Drumbeat

In a recent piece, The Media's Roving Eye, trying to establish a
timeline that would offer context for the Plame case, I wrote the
following:

    "Vice President Cheney started the administration's atomic
drumbeat to war in Iraq with a series of speeches on Saddam's supposed
nuclear capabilities and desires beginning in August of 2002. (The
crucial role of Cheney, whose eye was first caught by a Defense
Intelligence Agency report on the Niger uranium documents back in
February 2002, in the events that would become the Plame case, has
been poorly covered...)" 
(http://www.tomdispatch.com/index.mhtml?pid=8592)

As I soon found out, I did not stand apart from most others in poor
coverage of Cheney's role. Jim Lobe, whose pieces for Inter Press
Service I've quoted from, linked to, and recommended endlessly over
the last years, sent a few lines my way to tell me that I, too, was
off in my Cheney timeline, that the Vice President had started in on
the subject of Saddam Hussein's supposed nuclear program significantly
earlier than I realized, and that this mattered greatly in
understanding the nature of the events to follow. I asked him for a
bit of clarification and the next thing I knew I had a piece in hand
-- Lobe's first appearance at Tomdispatch -- an exercise, as he put
it, in the sorts of connections that begin to appear when you pull a
single string in the tangled ball of yarn that is the history of the
Plame case. It's a reminder, as he points out below, of how a powerful
web of neocon insiders and outsiders (and their allies) set the U.S.
on the path to war in Iraq.

What follows then, from the man who has, in my opinion, done better
reportorial work (http://www.ipsnews.net/new_focus/neo-cons/index.asp)
on the neoconservatives and the Bush administration than any other
reporter around, is a disquisition on timing -- on Vice President
Cheney's behaviour immediately before and after former ambassador
Joseph Wilson's report on Saddam's supposed search for Niger
yellowcake. Tom


    Dating Cheney's Nuclear Drumbeat
    Framing the Plame Case
    By Jim Lobe

    In the wake of the release of the Downing Street Memo, there has
been much talk about how the Bush administration "fixed" its
intelligence to create a war fever in the U.S. in the many months
leading up to the invasion of Iraq. What still remains to be fully
grasped, however, is the wider pattern of propaganda that underlay the
administration's war effort -- in particular, the overlapping networks
of relationships that tied together so many key figures in the
administration, the neoconservatives and their allies on the outside,
and parts of the media in what became a seamless, boundary-less
operation to persuade the American people that Saddam Hussein
represented an intolerable threat to their national security.

    Vice President Cheney, for instance, is widely credited with
having launched the administration's nuclear drumbeat to war in Iraq
via a series of speeches he gave, beginning in August 2002, vividly
accusing Saddam of having an active nuclear weapons program. As it
happens though, he started beating the nuclear drum with vigor
significantly earlier than most remember; indeed at a time that was
particularly curious given its proximity to the famous mission former
Ambassador Joseph Wilson took on behalf of the CIA.

    Cheney's initial public attempts to raise the nuclear nightmare
did not in fact begin with his August 2002 barrage of nuclear
speeches, but rather five months before that, just after his return
from a tour of Arab capitals where he had tried in vain to gin up
local support for military action against Iraq. Indeed, the specific
date on which his campaign was launched was March 24, 2002, when, on
return from the Middle East, he appeared on three major Sunday
public-affairs television programs bearing similar messages on each.
On CNN's "Late Edition," he offered the following comment on Saddam:

        "This is a man of great evil, as the President said. And he is
actively pursuing nuclear weapons at this time." 
(http://www.whitehouse.gov/vicepresident/news-speeches/speeches/vp20020324-2.html)

    On NBC's "Meet the Press," he said:

        "[T]here's good reason to believe that he continues to
aggressively pursue the development of a nuclear weapon. Now will he
have one in a year, five years? I can't be that precise."
(http://www.whitehouse.gov/vicepresident/news-speeches/speeches/vp20020324.html)

    And on CBS's "Face the Nation":

        "The notion of a Saddam Hussein with his great oil wealth,
with his inventory that he already has of biological and chemical
weapons, that he might actually acquire a nuclear weapon is, I think,
a frightening proposition for anybody who thinks about it. And part of
my task out there was to go out and begin the dialogue with our
friends to make sure they were thinking about it." 
(http://www.whitehouse.gov/vicepresident/news-speeches/speeches/vp20020324-1.html)

    Why do I think that Cheney moment, that particular barrage of
statements about Saddam's supposed nuclear program, remains so
significant today, in light of the Plame affair?

    For one thing, that Sunday's drum roll of nuclear claims indicated
that the "intelligence and facts"
(http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2087-1593607,00.html) were
already being "fixed around the policy" four months before Sir Richard
Dearlove, head of Britain's MI6, reached that conclusion, as recorded
in the Downing Street Memo. It's worth asking, then: On what basis
could Cheney make such assertions with such evident certainty, nearly
six months before, on September 7, 2002, Judith Miller and Michael
Gordon of the New York Times first broke a story about how Iraq had
ordered "specially designed aluminum tubes,"
(http://www.realdemocracy.com/abomb.htm) supposedly intended as
components for centrifuges to enrich uranium for Saddam Hussein's
nuclear weapons program. Even five months later, after all, those
tubes would still be the only real piece of evidence for the existence
of an Iraqi nuclear program offered by Colin Powell in his
presentation to the UN Security Council.

    Indeed, on March 24 when Cheney made his initial allegations about
an Iraqi nuclear program, we know of only two pieces of "evidence"
available to him that might conceivably have supported his charges:

        1) Testimony from Adnan Ihsan Saeed al-Haideri, a "defector"
delivered up by Ahmad Chalabi's exile organization the Iraqi National
Congress (INC), and enthusiastically recounted by the Times' Miller on
December 20, 2001 (although rejected as a fabrication by both the CIA
and Defense Intelligence Agency). Al-Haideri claimed to have
personally worked on renovations of secret facilities for biological,
chemical, and nuclear weapons in underground wells, private villas,
and under the Saddam Hussein Hospital in Baghdad as recently as 2000.
(http://slate.msn.com/id/2086110/)

        2) The infamous forged Niger yellowcake documents that, at
some point in December, 2001 or January, 2002 somehow appeared on
Cheney's desk, supposedly through the Defense Intelligence Agency or
the CIA, though accounts differ on the precise route it took from
Italian military intelligence (SISMI) to the Vice President's office.
It was these and related documents that spurred Cheney to ask for
additional information, a request that would eventually result in
Wilson's trip to Niger in late February, which, of course, set the
Plame case in motion. Wilson's conclusion -- that there was nothing to
the story -- would echo the conclusions of both U.S. ambassador to
Niger Barbro Owens-Kirkpatrick and Marine Gen. Carlton W. Fulford Jr.,
then-deputy commander of the U.S. European Command who was also sent
to Niger in February. A couple of days after his return to Washington,
Wilson would be debriefed by the CIA.

    How far up their respective chains of command Wilson's and
Fulford's reports made it remains a significant mystery to this day.
Cheney's office, which reportedly had reminded the CIA of the Vice
President's interest in the agency's follow-up efforts even while
Wilson was in Niger, claims never to have heard about either report.
We do know that Fulford's report made it up to Joint Chiefs Chairman
Richard Myers whose spokesman, however, told the Washington Post in
July 2003, shortly after Wilson went public on the New York Times
op-ed page, that the general had "no recollection"
(http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn?pagename=article&node=&contentId=A56336-2003Jul14%ACFound=true)
of it and so no idea whether it continued on to the White House or
Cheney's office.

    Meanwhile, Cheney, whose initial curiosity set off this flurry of
travel and reporting, appeared to have lost interest in the results by
the time he left on a Middle Eastern trip in mid-March; at least, no
information has come to light so far indicating that he ever got back
to the CIA or anyone else with further questions or requests on the
matter of whether Saddam had actually been in the market for Niger
yellowcake uranium ore. Yet, within four days of his return to
Washington, there he was on the Sunday TV shows assuring the nation's
viewers that Iraq was indeed "actively pursuing nuclear weapons at
this time."
(http://www.iraqwatch.org/government/US/WH/wh-cheney-cnn-03-24-02.htm)

    Did he then acquire new information, perhaps from Iraq's
neighbors, during his trip to the Middle East, or had he simply
decided by then that the "facts" really had to be "fixed" -- or more
precisely in Wilson's case, ignored altogether -- if the American
people were to be persuaded that war was the only solution to the
problem of Saddam Hussein? In any event, one can only describe his
sudden lack of curiosity combined with his public certainty on the
subject as, well… curious.

    That Cheney did indeed make the initial request to follow up on
the Niger yellowcake report appears now to be beyond dispute, and it
also draws attention to another little-noted curiosity of the Plame
case -- the knowledge and role of Clifford May, ex-New York Timesman,
recent head of communications for the Republican National Committee
(1997-2001), and president of the ultra-neo-conservative Foundation
for the Defense of Democracies (FDD). In an article at National Review
Online (NRO) (http://www.nationalreview.com/may/may200309291022.asp)
on September 29, 2003 (as pressure was building on John Ashcroft to
appoint a special prosecutor in the case), he boasted that he had been
informed by an unnamed former government official of Wilson's wife's
identity long before her outing as a CIA operative by Robert Novak, on
July 14, 2003, and so had assumed that her identity (and relationship
to Wilson) had been an "open secret" among the Washington cognoscenti.
He has subsequently told the Nation magazine's David Corn
(http://www.davidcorn.com/2005/07/rove_scandal_qu.php) among others
that he was interviewed by the FBI but has never been asked to testify
on the subject before Special Prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald's grand jury.

    In that NRO article, he also noted that he "was the first to
publicly question the credibility of Mr. Wilson" following the
ambassador's Times op-ed. Indeed, only five days after that op-ed
appeared, on July 11, 2003, NRO published May's first attack on Wilson
-- many more would follow right up to the present -- depicting the
ambassador as a "pro-Saudi, leftist partisan with an axe to grind."
The article -- and this is the curious part -- included the following
passage: "Mr. Wilson was sent to Niger by the CIA to verify a U.S.
intelligence report about the sale of yellowcake -- because Vice
President Dick Cheney requested it, because Cheney had doubts about
the validity of the intelligence report." This phrasing is fascinating
because it purports to know Cheney's subjective motivation, and the
motivation ascribed to him -- that he had "doubts" about the Niger
story -- conflicts with everything we've otherwise come to understand
about why he asked for the Niger story to be investigated. It hints,
certainly, at how consciously Cheney would indeed fix the facts when
it came to Saddam's nuclear doings.

    Given this tidbit of curious information hidden in May's piece,
it's important to know what former government officials might not only
have told May about Plame's identity but possibly about Cheney's real
thoughts on the subject of Saddam's nuclear program -- presuming, that
is, that Cheney himself or Scooter Libby, his chief of staff, was not
the source. Among May's board of advisers at FDD were several former
government officials, a number of whom were known to be very close to
Cheney and Libby as well as to Pentagon hawks like Deputy Secretary of
Defense Paul Wolfowitz and Undersecretary of Defense Douglas Feith.
They included Richard Perle, head of the Center for Security Policy
Frank Gaffney, former CIA Director James Woolsey, and Weekly Standard
editor Bill Kristol. All of them played starring roles in efforts to
tie Saddam's Iraq to al-Qaeda (http://www.alternet.org/story/16420/)
and the 9/11 attacks as well as in raising the nuclear bogeyman well
before Cheney did so on March 24, 2002.

    In fact, a close examination of how the pre-war propaganda machine
worked shows that it was led by the neocons and their associates
outside the administration, particularly those on the Defense Policy
Board (DPB) like Perle, Woolsey, and Kenneth "Cakewalk" Adelman (and
Judith Miller of the Times) who had long championed the cause of Ahmad
Chalabi and his Iraqi exile organization, the INC, and were also close
to the Office of Special Plans that Douglas Feith had set up in the
Pentagon to cherry-pick intelligence. They would invariably be the
first to float new "evidence" against Hussein (such as the infamous
supposed Prague meeting of 9/11 conspirator Mohammed Atta with an
Iraqi intelligence officer). They would then tie this "evidence" into
ongoing arguments for "regime change" in Iraq that would often appear
in the Times or elsewhere as news and subsequently be picked up by
senior administration officials and fed into the drumbeat of war
commentary pouring out of official Washington.

    It is by now perfectly clear that the neo-conservatives on the
outside were aided by like-minded journalists, particularly the Times'
Miller -- then the only "straight" reporter on the client list of
neoconservative heavyweights and columnists represented by Benador
Associates (http://www.benadorassociates.com/) -- and media outlets,
especially the Wall Street Journal's editorial page and Fox News.
Working hand-in-glove with the war hawks on the inside, they created a
powerful and persuasive machine to convince the public that Saddam
Hussein's Iraq represented an imminent and potentially cataclysmic
threat to the United States that had to be eliminated once and for
all. The failure to investigate and demonstrate precisely how
seamlessly this web of intra- and extra-administration connections
worked in the run-up to the war -- including perhaps in the concoction
of the Niger yellowcake documents, as some former intelligence
officials have recently suggested -- has been perhaps the most
shocking example of the mainstream media's failure to connect the dots
(the reporters from Knight-Ridder excepted.)

    In that context, it is worth noting the first moment that the
specter of an advanced Iraqi nuclear-weapons program was propelled
into post-9/11 public consciousness. On December 20, 2001, the New
York Times published Judith Miller's version
(http://www.realdemocracy.com/iraqidef.htm) of the sensational charges
made by Chalabi-aided defector al-Haideri. Her report was immediately
seized on by former CIA Director and DPB member Woolsey, (who had just
spent many weeks trying desperately but unsuccessfully to confirm the
alleged Mohammed Atta meeting in Prague that would have linked Saddam
to the 9/11 attackers). Appearing that same evening on CNBC's "Hard
Ball," he breathlessly told Chris Matthews, "I think this is a very
important story. I give Judy Miller a lot of credit for getting it.
This defector sounds quite credible." Within a week, he was telling
the Washington Post that the case that Iraq was developing nuclear
weapons was a "slam dunk." (Now, there's a familiar expression!) He
continued confidently, "There is so much evidence with respect to his
development of weapons of mass destruction and ballistic missiles…
that I consider this point beyond dispute."

    One week later, Perle weighed in with an op-ed in the New York
Times (http://www.workablepeace.org/main-now-strike.html) in which he
also referred to Miller's work, albeit without naming her. "With each
passing day, [Saddam] comes closer to his dream of a nuclear arsenal,"
he wrote.

        "We know he has a clandestine program, spread over many hidden
sites, to enrich Iraqi natural uranium [Nigerian yellowcake perhaps?]
to weapons grade. We know he has the designs and the technical staff
to fabricate nuclear weapons once he obtains the material. And
intelligence sources know he is in the market, with plenty of money,
for both weapons material and components as well as finished nuclear
weapons. How close is he? We do not know. Two years, three years,
tomorrow even? We simply do not know, and any intelligence estimate
that would cause us to relax would be about as useful as the ones that
missed his nuclear program in the early 1990's or failed to predict
the Indian nuclear test in 1998 or to gain even a hint of the Sept. 11
attack."

    It was a new argument being taken out for a test run, one that
would become painfully familiar in the months that followed. At about
that time, or shortly thereafter, a report about the mysterious Niger
documents landed on Cheney's desk and the rest would be history.


    Jim Lobe is a reporter for the Rome-based international news
agency Inter Press Service and has followed the paths of the neocons
since the early 1970s. Most of his work on the neocons can be accessed
at his archive by clicking here. 
(http://www.ipsnews.net/new_focus/neo-cons/index.asp)





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