Posted Date: Friday, August 19, 2005
Gun-control folly here, up north, across the pond...
http://www.aei.org/publication23041


Canada Blames Us
By John R. Lott Jr.
Posted: Friday, August 19, 2005
ARTICLES
National Review Online  
Publication Date: August 19, 2005

If you have a problem, it's often easier to blame someone else rather than
deal with it. And with Canada's murder rate rising 12 percent last year and
a recent rash of murders by gangs in Toronto and other cities, it's
understandable that Canadian politicians want a scapegoat. That at least was
the strategy Canada's premiers took when they met last Thursday with the new
U.S. ambassador to Canada, David Wilkins, and spent much of their time
blaming their crime problems on guns smuggled in from the United States.

Of course, there is a minor problem with the attacks on the U.S. Canadians
really don't know what the facts are, and the reason is simple: Despite
billions of dollars spent on the Canada's gun-registration program and the
program's inability to solve crime, the government does not know how many
crime-guns were seized in Canada, let alone where those guns came from. The
Royal Canadian Mounted Police reported in late July that they "cannot know
if [the guns] were traceable or where they might have been traced." Thus,
even if smuggled guns were an important problem, the Canadian government
doesn't know if it is worse now than in the past.

Even in Toronto, which keeps loose track of these numbers, Paul Culver, a
senior Toronto Crown Attorney, claims that guns from the U.S. are a "small
part" of the problem.

There is another more serious difficulty: You don't have to live next to the
United States to see how hard it is to stop criminals from getting guns. The
easy part is getting law-abiding citizens to disarm; the hard part is
getting the guns from criminals. Drug gangs that are firing guns in places
like Toronto seem to have little trouble getting the drugs that they sell
and it should not be surprising that they can get the weapons they need as
well.

The experiences in the U.K. and Australia, two island nations whose borders
are much easier to monitor, should also give Canadian gun controllers some
pause. The British government banned handguns in 1997 but recently reported
that gun crime in England and Wales nearly doubled in the four years from
1998-99 to 2002-03.

Crime was not supposed to rise after handguns were banned. Yet, since 1996
the serious-violent-crime rate has soared by 69 percent; robbery is up 45
percent, and murders up 54 percent. Before the law, armed robberies had
fallen 50 percent from 1993 to 1997, but as soon as handguns were banned the
robbery rate shot back up, almost to its 1993 level.

The 2000 International Crime Victimization Survey, the last survey
completed, shows the violent-crime rate in England and Wales was twice the
rate of that in the U.S. When the new survey for 2004 comes out later this
year, that gap will undoubtedly have widened even further as crimes reported
to British police have since soared by 35 percent, while those in the U.S.
have declined 6 percent.

Australia has also seen its violent-crime rates soar immediately after its
1996 Port Arthur gun-control measures. Violent crime rates averaged
32-percent higher in the six years after the law was passed (from 1997 to
2002) than they did in 1995. The same comparisons for armed-robbery rates
showed increases of 74 percent.

During the 1990s, just as Britain and Australia were more severely
regulating guns, the U.S. was greatly liberalizing individuals' abilities to
carry firearms. Thirty seven of the fifty states now have so-called
right-to-carry laws that let law-abiding adults carry concealed handguns
after passing a criminal background check and paying a fee. Only half the
states require some training, usually around three to five hours. Yet crime
has fallen even faster in these states than the national average. Overall,
the states in the U.S. that have experienced the fastest growth rates in gun
ownership during the 1990s have experienced the biggest drops in murders and
other violent crimes.

Many things affect crime: The rise of drug-gang violence in Canada and
Britain is an important part of the story, just as it has long been
important in explaining the U.S.'s rates. (Few Canadians appreciate that 70
percent of American murders take place in just 3.5 percent of our counties,
and that a large percentage of those are drug-gang related.) Just as these
gangs can smuggle drugs into the country, they can smuggle in weapons to
defend their turf.

With Canada's reported violent-crime rate of 963 per 100,000 in 2003, a rate
about twice the U.S.'s (which is 475), Canada's politicians are
understandably nervous.

While it is always easier to blame another for your problems, the solution
to crime is often homegrown.

John R. Lott Jr. is a resident scholar at AEI.



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