"There is a great fear that unstable states and post-war societies
provide an ideal breeding ground for terrorist training and activity,"
said Albrecht Schnabel, a senior fellow with the Research Programme on
Human Security in Bern, Switzerland.
"Yet almost three years after the toppling of Saddam Hussein, Iraq is
characterised by chaos, violence and disintegration. The methods used
to rebuild Iraq's security sector are simply making matters worse,"
"Instead of stabilising places like Iraq, international efforts to
centralise power are creating a more fragile security environment than
ever before,"
"We weren't trying to pick on the U.S. here," said Schnabel. "But they
did overestimate the difficulty of the peace-building process and
optimistically hoped for the best."



http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=31987

 Bungled Peace-Building Opens Door to Terrorism

Stephen Leahy

BROOKLIN, Canada, Jan 31 (IPS) - Washington's attempts to bring
security to Iraq and Afghanistan are not only making life harder for
local people, they are breeding more terrorists, warn international
security experts.

Under its anti-terrorism agenda, the U.S. has centralised power and
security in post-conflict Iraq and Afghanistan, which ironically
creates perfect conditions for terrorists and criminals.

"There is a great fear that unstable states and post-war societies
provide an ideal breeding ground for terrorist training and activity,"
said Albrecht Schnabel, a senior fellow with the Research Programme on
Human Security in Bern, Switzerland.

"Yet almost three years after the toppling of Saddam Hussein, Iraq is
characterised by chaos, violence and disintegration. The methods used
to rebuild Iraq's security sector are simply making matters worse," he
told IPS.

Schnabel is co-editor of a new book, "Security Sector Reform and
Post-Conflict Peacebuilding", published by United Nations University
press and written by an international group of academics and military
commanders who examine the record and challenges of security sector
reform in post-conflict societies.

"Instead of stabilising places like Iraq, international efforts to
centralise power are creating a more fragile security environment than
ever before," Schnabel said.

The United States is avoiding widely recognised peace-building
processes that involve external military powers quickly creating a
basic security environment and then allowing domestic peace- and
nation-building efforts to succeed.

It takes several years to develop reliable internal security
institutions that have the support of the population, as was achieved
in Bosnia and East Timor, Schnabel acknowledged.

"It's a difficult transition and countries and their people are
vulnerable to terrorism and exploitation," he said, adding however,
that by putting its own domestic security interests first, the U.S.
has created a lose-lose situation.

"The overall objective of external military forces in post-conflict
societies is to eliminate violence in the society," said David
Carment, director of the Centre for Security and Defence Studies at
Canada's Carleton University.

"The U.S. focus in Afghanistan is to eliminate terrorists and their
bases," Carment, who did not contribute to the book, said in an
interview. That different focus can compromise efforts by
international participants to bring peace, he said.

The recent U.S. tactic of rearming some warlords in parts of
Afghanistan and using them to fight the Taliban has angered rival
warlords who had turned in their weapons under a U.N.-sponsored
disarmament programme in 2003 and 2004.

"You can't build a nation by supporting warlords," said Schnabel.

Carment calls recent U.S.-led efforts to target Afghanistan's opium
trade "simplistic" and predicted that violence in the region will
escalate and hurt local people. "It will take a minimum of five to 10
years before there will be any signs of stability across Afghanistan,"
he said.

Schnabel estimates that full democracy is at least 20 years in the future.

Meanwhile, the time frame for stability in Iraq is an open question.

What has happened in Iraq over the past three years violates many of
the recommendations in the book, which draw on experiences in the
post-conflict environments of Macedonia, Bosnia, Russia, Georgia,
Northern Ireland, El Salvador, Guatemala, Columbia, Chile, Haiti and
on the African continent.

"Internal forces must be put under democratic control, restructured
and retrained to become an asset, not a liability, in the long-term
peace-building process," the authors state.

"Security sector reform efforts are only successful when external
actors are able and willing to stay the course and support an
irrevocable process towards security consolidation and security sector
reform, and where national and local authorities are committed and
able to sustain such progress once external actors retreat."

"We weren't trying to pick on the U.S. here," said Schnabel. "But they
did overestimate the difficulty of the peace-building process and
optimistically hoped for the best."

A U.N.-led effort early on in Iraq might have made a big difference,
he said. Security and peace-building efforts would have had more
legitimacy and civil society would have played a much larger role.

"It would have been better and safer for the Iraqi people," Schnabel
said. "The U.S. effort may have been well-intended, but the U.N. can
do a lot more to bring real democracy to a region."

What is clear from Iraq is that armed interventions are extremely
costly, said Carment. It is much cheaper to prevent conflicts or
collapse of countries in the first place.

"I think Iraq will be the last big military intervention," he said.

Washington is already shifting its strategy toward peace-building
efforts elsewhere, such as having military doctors help cope with the
AIDS crisis in South Africa and creating small-scale special forces
support operations in the Philippines, he says.

The U.S. military is also working with USAID and NGOs in Africa and
central Asia to bring development assistance.

"Done well, this can improve security for the long term for a small
investment of money," Carment said. (END/2006) 





--------------------------
Want to discuss this topic?  Head on over to our discussion list, [EMAIL 
PROTECTED]
--------------------------
Brooks Isoldi, editor
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

http://www.intellnet.org

  Post message: osint@yahoogroups.com
  Subscribe:    [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Unsubscribe:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]


*** FAIR USE NOTICE. This message contains copyrighted material whose use has 
not been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. OSINT, as a part of 
The Intelligence Network, is making it available without profit to OSINT 
YahooGroups members who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the 
included information in their efforts to advance the understanding of 
intelligence and law enforcement organizations, their activities, methods, 
techniques, human rights, civil liberties, social justice and other 
intelligence related issues, for non-profit research and educational purposes 
only. We believe that this constitutes a 'fair use' of the copyrighted material 
as provided for in section 107 of the U.S. Copyright Law. If you wish to use 
this copyrighted material for purposes of your own that go beyond 'fair use,' 
you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.
For more information go to:
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml 
Yahoo! Groups Links

<*> To visit your group on the web, go to:
    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/osint/

<*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
    [EMAIL PROTECTED]

<*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to:
    http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
 


Reply via email to