Aoun and Nasrallah Message-ID: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> User-Agent: eGroups-EW/0.82 X-Mailer: Yahoo Groups Message Poster X-Originating-IP: 209.73.160.86 X-eGroups-Msg-Info: 1:12:0:0 X-Yahoo-Post-IP: 213.230.130.53 From: "gwen831" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> X-Yahoo-Profile: gwen831 Sender: osint@yahoogroups.com MIME-Version: 1.0 Mailing-List: list osint@yahoogroups.com; contact [EMAIL PROTECTED] Delivered-To: mailing list osint@yahoogroups.com List-Id: <osint.yahoogroups.com> Precedence: bulk List-Unsubscribe: <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Date: Wed, 15 Feb 2006 00:30:09 -0000 Subject: [osint] Reply-To: osint@yahoogroups.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
http://english.daralhayat.com/opinion/OPED/02-2006/Article-20060211-59965235-c0a8-10ed-004d-8d5058e6989a/story.html Aoun and Nasrallah Abdel Wahab Badrakhan Al-Hayat - 11/02/06// Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah and General Michel Aoun's meeting has been widely perceived as a tough political blow, well brewed and shocking, though expected by all the Lebanese political circles on the eve of Baabda - Aley by-elections. A masterstroke indeed! For this meeting couldn't have been held at a better time with the fears fomented by Sunday's Tabaris demonstration still fresh. Perhaps, we must thank both leaders for their commendable step that has foiled a latent, but easily sparkled sedition. "The Free Patriotic Movement" and "Hezbollah" are not said to have forged an alliance but an acceptable and satisfactory agreement. Nonetheless, it is hard to believe that their supporters have been finally convinced, have understood, and heartily blessed this breakthrough. Like all other Lebanese, they need to watch things closely to fully grasp this meeting symbolically held at St. Michael Church. Yet, symbols alone do not effect real change on the ground. In truth, General Aoun followers have never been zealous sympathizers of "Hezbollah" and its leader. With no doubt, some do respect Sayyed Nasrallah and the party, appreciating the Resistance great role in liberating South Lebanon. Yet, the majority has endured since 1990 and until 2005 a harsh political and psychological climate. Throughout this period, the two movements were neither enemies nor friends. Most importantly, they have never thought they could meet on strategic bases. On the other hand, "Hezbollah" supporters have never admired Aoun-led demonstrations against the Syrian presence before the withdrawal and prior to PM Rafik Hariri's assassination. Likewise, they remember quite well that Aoun supporters were the driving force behind the "Independence or March 14 Intifada" against "March 8 Intifada," which was never portrayed as struggling for independence and sovereignty, but as one staged by the parties rejecting Syria's then imminent withdrawal. For this reason, it would be interesting and important to see both parties demonstrate side by side on any future occasion, whether against the government or the international pressures on Iran and Syria. If this takes place, it will not only constitute a putsch, but one of the miracles of the well-known "Lebanese experience. " Why not? For everything is possible and authorized on a national basis. But nothing conclusively proves that this "common document" can pave the way for such project, especially that "Hezbollah" has joined a majority government representing the Shiite bloc too. As we all know, this government has also adopted a statement synonymous of a "common document" but more important, since it does not only bind the political parties, but also the State and its institutions. Still, this party has failed to embrace the government project, supposedly a national one too. While searching for allies to its other "project," the party has indeed found one - General Aoun. Congratulations for the two new "allies!" With no doubt, they realize their meeting will be put to the test before the Lebanese to determine to what extent it serves the country or personal interests. Generally speaking, when two parties fail to achieve the strategic goals they have espoused, their meeting will be then depicted as built on mere tactics. In other words, General Aoun cannot guarantee Hezbollah's weapons. Nor can the party alone elect Aoun president. In the same vein, Aoun cannot brush aside UN resolution 1559, alleging it has been internally implemented. In parallel, "Hezbollah" cannot build alone 'sound relations' with Syria. But if their meeting was, by contrast, intended to vex other confessions and parties, then their intention will be soon unraveled. Until recently, Walid Jumblatt, previously "Hezbollah" ally - rather arms companion - is now harshly in conflict with it. Anyway, the Majority in the Cabinet must now reconsider its activities and alliances. With a competent and skillful Prime Minister still needing a more effective political support, this majority seems with no leader. Its opponents are even capable of imposing their own agenda with all its falseness and opportunism. -------------------------- Want to discuss this topic? Head on over to our discussion list, [EMAIL PROTECTED] -------------------------- Brooks Isoldi, editor [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://www.intellnet.org Post message: osint@yahoogroups.com Subscribe: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Unsubscribe: [EMAIL PROTECTED] *** FAIR USE NOTICE. 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