India: Attacks Averted -- at Least Temporarily
May 10, 2006 19 58  GMT

http://www.stratfor.com/products/premium/read_article.php?id=265987


Summary

In the latest of a series of raids against the militant Islamist group
Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), Indian security forces detained another three LeT
affiliates in Mumbai on May 9. Indian security forces disrupted another LeT
cell May 8, killing Abu Hamza, the leader of an LeT breakaway group. India
has taken advantage of the militant group's poor operational security to
avert several potentially major jihadist strikes in large Indian cities --
but New Delhi is not out of the danger zone yet.

Analysis

Acting on a tip, New Delhi police arrested two jihadists linked to
Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) in New Delhi on May 8, uncovering plans to bomb
several major sites throughout India. These arrests led to a shoot-out with,
and further arrests of, other LeT elements. 

Though these raids mark a major victory for India in its battle with
Islamist militants, more attacks are likely in store. 

LeT's bomb plot began to unravel May 8, when New Delhi police arrested two
men on a tip, Feroze Abdul Latif Ghaswala and Mohammed Ali Chippa, both
Indians who had received jihadist training in Afghanistan and Bangladesh.
The men were captured with nine pounds of the explosive RDX and $1,000 in
cash on them as they arrived in New Delhi at the Nizamuddin train station.
They revealed that they were to meet an accomplice, Pakistani national
Mohammed Iqbal, aka Abu Hamza (not to be confused with the jailed founder of
the London-based militant Islamist group Ansar al-Shariah, Abu Hamza
al-Masri.) The makeup of this cell fits the typical pattern of Islamist
militants in India, where most cells are composed of Pakistani and
Bangladeshi handlers, financiers, trainers and bomb-makers who recruit from
disgruntled local youths and enjoy the support of a local network.

Two hours after capturing the two men, New Delhi police found Hamza and
engaged in a shoot-out with him outside of the city's Jawaharlal Nehru
Stadium, killing him. After going through his Hyundai, police discovered the
addresses of safe-houses and of another LeT cell south of Mumbai. This led
to a raid in Mumbai on May 9, which resulted in three more arrests of LeT
suspects.

The plot was potentially quite lethal. The second cell possessed 10 computer
server cabinets, each containing an AK-47, ammunition, and seven pounds of
RDX. These kits were likely meant to be shipped to jihadists throughout the
country. The New Delhi cell was also well-armed: Its safe-house near the
border between the Union Territory of Delhi and the state of Haryana
contained two AK-56 rifles, ammunition, 10 hand grenades, 11 pounds of the
explosive PETN and other bomb-making materials. The explosives could have
been divided into smaller units for use in suicide vests or combined for a
larger punch. 
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