http://observer.guardian.co.uk/business/story/0,,1933995,00.html

 


August terror threat to cost BA £100m




Rise blamed on drop in business passengers after alleged bomb plot led to
increased security checks 

Oliver Morgan, industrial editor
Sunday October 29, 2006
 <http://www.observer.co.uk/> The Observer 

British Airways is expected to reveal this week that the cost of the
disruption arising from the terrorist threat to air travel in August is
close to £100m, more than double the figure it has announced so far. 

A fall in the number of premium transatlantic passengers, particularly those
transferring to other flights at Heathrow, is the cause of the increase,
according to analysts. Business travellers have been put off travelling
through Heathrow because of restrictions on hand baggage, a ban on carrying
liquids on flights and increased security checks. The drop is forecast to
cut BA's half-yearly profits by 10 per cent from last year's £261m. 

Last month the airline announced that the financial impact of the threat, in
which terrorists are alleged to have planned to blow up airliners in
mid-air, was £40m during August. BA had to cancel 1,280 flights because of
disruption to London airports, and added that there had been an effect on
forward bookings. 

One leading analyst said: 'August is not the end of it. I think there will
be at least a £50m impact in September. Premium transfer traffic is
significantly weaker for British Airways. Lufthansa and Air France will have
seen an increase as a result. A 5-10 per cent reduction in transatlantic
Club World [business class] traffic has a significant impact on BA's bottom
line.' 

BA, along with other airlines, including Ryanair, have been highly critical
of the government and airport operator BAA over the introduction of
heightened security measures. Passengers have faced lengthy delays due to
increased screening and checks. Hand luggage was initially banned, although
small bags were later allowed, and restrictions on carrying toiletries on
flights were imposed. 

At the end of last month, EU transport security officials agreed to an
easing of the restrictions on liquids, to take effect from the beginning of
this month. 

BA has become used to announcing one-off costs due to operational
difficulties in the summer months. At last year's half-yearly results it
announced that unofficial strike action by about 1,000 ground staff, in
support of workers dismissed by catering company Gate Gourmet, had cost it
between £35m and £45m because of flight cancellations during the peak August
holiday period. 

It added that a similar amount had been lost in 2004 thanks to disruption,
while in 2003, £40m was lost over more unofficial industrial action. 

BA watchers are also hoping for an update from chief executive, Willie
Walsh, on negotiations with unions over its £2bn pension-fund deficit. 

Unions representing pilots and ground staff are holding meetings with the
company in the lead-up to Friday's results presentation. Balpa, representing
pilots, and the T&G, GMB and Amicus unions, representing ground staff,
rejected company proposals for a £500m cash injection which would have
involved an increase in the retirement age and reduction in benefits.
However, BA signalled it was prepared to negotiate, and Walsh is keen to get
a resolution by the middle of next month. Analysts are also likely to
question Walsh on plans for a tie-up with Spanish airline Iberia.



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