Democrats Seek Revenge for Clinton Years

By Georg Mascolo in Washington

DER SPIEGEL 44/2006 - November 2, 2006 
URL: http://www.spiegel.
<http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,446035,00.html>
de/international/spiegel/0,1518,446035,00.html 


BUSH'S LAST STAND


The Democrats are pushing their way back into power, and in next week's US
congressional elections they could even end the Republicans' long-standing
stranglehold on power. But not even the stars in America's opposition party
have a plan for the country's future course.

Campaigner George W. Bush: Reports of corruption, racism and sex scandals

AFP

Campaigner George W. Bush: Reports of corruption, racism and sex scandals

WASHINGTON -- Things are not looking good -- for the president, for his
party and for an entire caste of Washington officials who, in the last six
years, have gotten used to the idea that their control over the country is
unshakable, almost a law of nature. The situation is so desperate that
President George W. Bush sees himself forced to campaign on behalf of
someone like Congressman Don Sherwood. 

Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district was once Republic territory, with
Sherwood capturing 92 percent of the vote in the last election. It was
considered a lost cause for Democrats.

But this year even the president himself has come to the district to
campaign for the congressman. According to the latest opinion polls,
Sherwood is expected to lose the race. Bush, in a last-ditch attempt to save
his fellow Republican's seat, is torturing himself through his standard
speech, speaking to a half-empty room at Keystone College in La Plume. If
the Democrats win a majority in Congress in the Nov. 7 midterm elections,
says Bush, they will only raise taxes and leave America vulnerable to
terrorists. "Don Sherwood is the right man," the president calls out -- to
hardly any applause.

Bush's appearance in Pennsylvania is embarrassing for the president. The
dignity Bush had claimed he would bring back to political life in Washington
after the supposedly licentious Clinton years has also suffered under his
fellow Republicans, and Congressman Sherwood is only a small, wretched
example. In September 2004, a young woman locked herself into the bathroom
in Sherwood's Washington home and called the police to report that the
congressman had tried to strangle her. Though Sherwood has repeatedly denied
the claim, he eventually settled with his would-be victim for an unknown sum
of money -- which is probably the only reason Bush agreed to appear on his
behalf. 

A Republican disaster

In only five days, US voters will be electing 33 senators and 435 members of
the House of Representatives, and such presidential rescue missions in once
safely Republican strongholds are now a fixture on Bush's schedule. From
Pennsylvania, Air Force One will be headed for Virginia, where Senator
George Allen is in a tight race for his reelection. Weeks ago, the dapper
Republican was still considered a presidential hopeful, but then his
prospects took a sharp turn for the worse when Allen, speaking at a campaign
event, repeatedly referred to an American of Indian descent as a "macaca."

Things aren't looking much better for the GOP in the rest of the country.
Bush's last campaign threatens to turn into a disaster for the Republicans
and, if it does, could lead to a fundamental shift in the balance of power
in the United States. To capture the congressional majority the Republicans
have held for years, the Democrats will have to capture 15 seats in the
House of Representatives and at least six seats in the Senate. The Democrats
are certain to gain the majority in the House and the Senate is at least a
possibility, says well known demographer Charlie Cook. 

The never-ending trail of corruption, racism and sex scandals has turned off
many Americans to Republican dominance. Voters were especially appalled by
the affair surrounding Congressman Mark Foley. Using the screen name Maf54,
Foley, the former Chairman of the House Caucus on Missing and Exploited
Children, sent lascivious instant messages to congressional pages. In one
exchange, Foley wrote: "Do I make you a little horny?" The teenager
responded: "A little." Although Foley has since resigned, the fact that
leading members of his own party knew about the accusations but still kept
them a secret has weighed heavily on the Republicans.

Bush and his Republicans also face voters' frustration over declining real
wages for the suburban middle class and their anger over the government's
ongoing tax breaks for the ultra-rich. But the biggest issue that is making
a landslide victory for the Democrats seem increasingly likely is Iraq --
and the fact that America's military effort there is sinking deeper into
chaos every day.

Fifty-eight percent of US citizens consider the invasion a mistake, and only
19 percent still believe in the victory Bush has promised. Nothing makes the
president more unpopular than the realization that he has squandered the
nation's military and moral strength, and that he has done so for reasons
that either never existed or that no one understands anymore.

A new direction

This is why the Democrats are now promising a "new direction" for the
country, a term that sounds as vague as it in fact is. The Democrats have no
clearly defined program of their own. When it comes to the country's biggest
foreign policy issue -- its future course in Iraq -- the party cannot even
agree over whether it should support withdrawal or sending in more troops.
This explains why the Democrats are less interested in helping shape policy
during Bush's two remaining years in office than they are in settling
scores. The lies over Saddam's weapons of mass destruction, Vice President
Dick Cheney's uninvestigated dealings with the energy industry, the
wiretapping of US citizens in the name of Bush's War on Terror and ties
between Jack Abramoff, a once-powerful Washington lobbyist who has now been
sentenced to almost six years in prison, and the White House -- the
Democrats now hope to carefully investigate all of these misdeeds in
Congress. Soon, they hope, the Republican majority that would otherwise
obstruct their investigations will be gone.

The Democrats have apparently turned revenge for Bill Clinton into a
campaign platform. During Clinton's presidency, the Republican majority in
Congress spent 140 hours hearing testimony over whether Clinton had misused
the White House Christmas card list to seek out potential Democratic donors.
By contrast, there have been only twelve hours of testimony so far on the
Abu Ghraib torture scandal. That will certainly change after a Democratic
victory at the polls. Last week the senior George Bush said that he hated to
think about all the things that could happen to his son in the wake of a
Republican defeat.

Fellow party members on a downward trajectory can become just as dangerous
to politicians as their political adversaries. A president no longer capable
of winning loses all authority, so much so that those who hope to take his
place must make a wide berth around him -- including 2008 presidential
hopefuls such as powerful Senator John McCain and former New York Mayor
Rudolph Giuliani. For the first time since 1952, neither an incumbent
president nor his vice president will be a candidate for the presidency.

Karl Rove's smear tactics

Chief Bush strategist Karl Rove is attempting to put a last-minute stop to
the party's downward slide with a new spate of below-the-belt campaign ads.
In  <http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7h3GPc_yMCE> one clip currently making
the rounds on the Internet, Bill Clinton's former Secretary of State
Madeleine Albright is ridiculed when an actress portraying Albright is shown
fixing up terrorist leader Bin Laden's cave. "I am sick of Karl Rove's
bullshit," a fuming Clinton responded, "Nixon was a Communist compared to
this crowd."

But Rove's vicious tactics have not produced the hoped-for bump in the polls
for Republicans. "They've played this game one too many times," says a
jubilant Harry Reid, the Democratic Minority Leader in the Senate, "but it
isn't working anymore."

Part of the reason is that many Democratic candidates have paved the way by
taking a page from New York Senator Hillary Clinton's book and shifting
noticeably to the right -- where they are more likely to find the majority
of Americans. 

"I love Jesus, I can't help it," says Harold Ford in Tennessee, where a
Democrat hasn't won the Senate race in 16 years. To capture the seat in this
southern state and prove his independence, the 36-year-old African-American
candidate takes pains to be seen in popular redneck hangouts, such the
Little Rebel Bar, which still flies a Confederate flag.

The angry left wing of the Democratic Party, which was unable to gain
support for Iraq war opponent Ned Lamont against the hawkish Joe Lieberman
in the Connecticut primary, no longer has much of a say in party politics.
Instead, the party is pinning its hopes of winning in key election districts
on the so-called Macho Democrats: dozens of war veterans who are immune
against being called soft on national security -- a political death sentence
in the United States.

One of them is Jim Webb, who served in Vietnam and still carries shrapnel in
one of his kidneys and at the base of his skull. Webb, who is challenging
George Allen's Senate seat in Virginia and whose son is serving in Iraq,
wears combat boots to every campaign appearance. Farther north, in Chicago,
Tammy Duckworth struggles from one campaign appearance to the next on two
steel prostheses. The petite major in the National Guard lost both legs when
her helicopter was shot down over Baghdad. "I have risked my life to serve
my country and you cannot question my patriotism," she tells her cheering
supporters. In Pennsylvania, Joe Sestak, a highly decorated former vice
admiral and battle group commander in the fight against terrorism, is
running for Congress.

The nastiest campaign in modern history

The Republicans have been firing such heavy artillery at war heroes like
Sestak and Duckworth that the respected Congressional Quarterly writes that
the 2006 "campaign is shaping up to be the nastiest of the modern era."
Sestak's opponent, conservative Curt Weldon, accused the former military man
of insufficient loyalty to his home turf. When his five-year-old daughter
had a brain tumor, Sestak took her to a special hospital in Washington for
treatment instead of seeking treatment in Pennsylvania.

But like corruption scandals and sexual affairs, such malicious maneuvers
have backfired on their instigators. Former presidential aide David Kuo
dealt one of the most devastating blows to an increasingly panicky
Republican establishment when he revealed that Bush's most loyal voters, the
fundamentalist Christian right, are referred to as "the nuts" in the White
House. If the outraged Christian contingent truly stayed at home next
Tuesday, Republican defeat would be certain.

The Republicans are now pinning their hopes on their ability to successfully
mobilize voters. Seventy-two hours before election day, the party's campaign
volunteers will attempt to convince conservatives to head to the polls in a
barrage of phone calls and door-to-door campaigning. Strategist Rove spends
hours every day asking religious leaders for their help.

Last Tuesday Bush invited conservative radio hosts from all over America to
a meeting at the White House, where they were met by half of Bush's obedient
cabinet in a white tent in front of the Oval Office. Press Secretary Tony
Snow conducted 34 interviews in a spurt to the finish line meant to keep his
president's party in power. "I know deep in my heart that we won't lose,"
says Bush, sneering at Democrats who seem overly confident in victory.

The Democrats, who have botched their own share of elections considered safe
in the past, are indeed cocky. "I'll have my pick of offices here pretty
soon," says House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi, who will likely become the
first female House majority leader after a victory for her party. The mood
among Democrats is so rosy that upcoming congressional elections have
already faded from the public debate, which is already focusing on the
potential candidates' prospects in the 2008 presidential election.

There has been speculation that Senator Hillary Clinton will announce her
candidacy by as early as election night next week. Her victory in New York
is considered a sure thing, and a strong victory in the senatorial race
would only boost her chances of capturing the White House.

But the prospect of Hillary as a presidential candidate triggers mixed
feelings within the party. Critics accuse Clinton of having made so many
compromises that no one knows exactly what she represents anymore.

For conservatives like Evangelical preacher Jerry Falwell, she is a dream
opponent. "Nothing will energize my constituency like Hillary Clinton," says
Falwell. "If Lucifer ran, he wouldn't."

The Democrats are so worried about whether the former First Lady could in
fact win that even political newcomers are already eying a candidacy. Barack
Obama, a sharp and well-dressed African-American attorney from Illinois, is
considered one of the party's most promising talents -- although his
prospects for gaining even higher office were once touted as being part of a
more distant future. The 45-year-old Obama has been a Senator for all of two
years, and he lacks political experience. So far he has brushed aside all
questions about a possible run for president by saying: "I will serve out my
full six-year term."

But Obama suddenly changed his tune last week when he said that he would
"sit down and consider" a bid for the presidency by as early as 2008.

Translated from the German by Christopher Sultan




  _____  

C DER SPIEGEL 44/2006
All Rights Reserved
Reproduction only allowed with the permission of SPIEGELnet GmbH

 



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