http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/12/20/terror/main2285320.shtml?source=RSSattr=Politics_2285320

The War On Terror's Most Critical Moment
Martin: No New Ideas In Iraq, Only Variations On The Same Theme

By CBS News national security correspondent David Martin

Everybody from the President on down now agrees that the United States 
is not winning in Iraq.

The corollary to that statement is that if we are not winning, we will 
soon be losing. No less an authority figure than former Secretary of 
State and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Colin Powell thinks we're already 
losing. If the situation is that bad in Iraq, which the administration 
repeatedly calls the central front in the war on terror, what does that 
say about the rest of the war on terror?

In his first speech as Secretary of Defense, Robert Gates called 
Afghanistan, where the war began, a "pressing concern" and said the 
progress made over the past five years is "at risk." The Taliban is 
making a comeback, and the tribal areas of Pakistan have become an al 
Qaeda safe haven.

Iran appears to be on a roll --- aiding the Shiite militias in Iraq, 
watching its ally, Hezbollah, give Israel much more of a fight than it 
bargained for, and plowing ahead with what U.S. intelligence believes is 
a nuclear weapons program. Gen. John Abizaid, the overall commander of 
the Middle East, is so concerned that he has asked the Pentagon to put a 
second aircraft carrier into the Persian Gulf.

This is the most critical moment in the war on terror since the invasion 
of Iraq more than three years ago.

We have a new Secretary of Defense, and we'll soon have a new strategy 
and new commanders --- since the tours of both Gen. Abizaid and Gen. 
George Casey, the commander in Iraq, are coming to an end.

Can that reverse the tide of war?

As Gates himself has said, there are no new ideas on Iraq, simply 
variations on the theme of "clear, hold and build." Whatever variation 
is chosen, the new strategy will have the same Achilles heel: Its 
success will depend on the Iraqis.

The United States entered the war on terror with overwhelming confidence 
in its military power, but the past five years have been a painful 
lesson in the limits of military power.

By David Martin ©MMVI, CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved.

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