http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2006\12\28\story_28-12-2006_pg4_14

Turkmenistan opts for continuity of autocratic rule

* Deputy Prime Minister Berdymukhammedov approved as main election candidate

ASHGABAT: Turkmen authorities have opted for continuity after the death 
of longtime leader Saparmurat Niyazov, choosing as heir apparent a 
presidential loyalist likely to preserve the autocratic regime in this 
strategic Central Asian state, observers said on Wednesday.

Deputy PM Gurbanguly Berdymukhammedov was appointed caretaker president 
by the State Security Council in the hours after the death last Thursday 
of Niyazov, who ruled the country as uncontested leader for 21 years.

On Tuesday, a meeting of the People's Council, the highest legal body in 
the country, unanimously approved Berdymukhammedov as the main candidate 
in elections set for February 11 and selected five other candidates. "It 
looks like Berdymukhammedov will become president. Another question is 
if he's going to be a puppet or if he is a more independent player," 
said Dosym Satpayev, an analyst at the Risk Assessment Group think-tank, 
based in neighbouring Kazakhstan.

Analysts have said Turkmenistan's security apparatus, made up of the 
interior ministry, the MNB security service and the presidential guard, 
wields real power in the country and have played down calls by the 
exiled opposition for democratic reforms as unrealistic.

"Those who stayed in their posts alive and unharmed in Ashgabat will 
divide up the cake of power between themselves and will not allow anyone 
else to have any of it," Arkady Dubnov, a Central Asia expert, wrote in 
Russia's Vremya Novostei newspaper. On Tuesday, Khudaiberdy Orazov, a 
former deputy prime minister of Turkmenistan and ex-governor of the 
Central Bank, who now leads the Watan (Homeland) opposition party and 
lives in Sweden, declared himself as a candidate in the presidential 
election.

"So far, we can see they are not going to follow the path of democracy. 
To be honest, we did not expect an immediate change," said Nurmukhammed 
Khanamov, Turkmenistan's former ambassador to Turkey and now head of the 
Republican opposition party, living in Austria.

Berdymukhammedov bears a close physical resemblance to Niyazov and was 
often shown by his side at official meetings. He also helped steer some 
of Niyazov's most repressive policies, such as the closure of all 
medical facilities in the countryside and the sacking of 15,000 medical 
workers because of budget cuts.

Ordinary Turkmens in this tightly controlled state appeared unmoved by 
the prospect of pre-determined elections.

Berdymukhammedov has repeatedly promised stability in Turkmenistan, 
located next to Iran and Afghanistan, and has vowed to follow the 
"democratic" course set by Niyazov. afp

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