http://counterterrorismblog.org/2007/05/terror_and_internet_mapping_on_1.php

Terror and Internet: Mapping Online Jihad


By Animesh Roul



Of late, there is a spurt of literatures regarding the threat of 'online
Jihad' (threat about the use of internet web space in fueling, fostering
Jihadi terrorism). Terrorist organizations and their sympathizers do
maintain Web sites taking advantage of the unregulated, anonymous, and
easily accessible nature of the Internet. Thanks to Web logs, discussion
groups and social networking groups and free upload servers where one
doesn't need to hire a webmaster or to book a server space to run the
agenda. It is in common knowledge now that they target a variety of
audiences to exploit for raising funds, recruitment, and to spread
propaganda, even plan and launch attacks and to publicize their mind-blowing
results. Even they have web journals like "Technical Mujahid" (first ever
released late November 2006 al-Fajr Information Center) with a detailed
know-how of computer and Internet knowledge and security designed for
terrorists only. 

It is a major concern now in Western Counter terror circle. Large chunks of
funding have been channelized to track, translate and thwart jihadi plans
before they unleash any mayhem. However, it was non existent in US, UK and
Europe before 9/11 and it is now under debate in South Asia and SE Asia. Of
course fellow CTBlogger and expert Evan F. Kholman has observed earlier in
his work(s) [e.g in "
<http://www.foreignaffairs.org/20060901faessay85510/evan-f-kohlmann/the-real
-online-terrorist-threat.html> The Real Online Terrorist Threat" Foreign
Affairs, Sept/Oct 2006] that even CIA and FBI leaderships gave internet a
second thought in their activities in the past. But however, they have
mended their misgivings soon after. Also works and observations of
<http://bookstore.usip.org/books/AuthorDetail.aspx?id=11209> Gabriel Weimann
(Haifa University Professor, Israel) on
<http://www.usip.org/pubs/specialreports/sr116.html> Online Jihad are
noteworthy and kind of path breaking in this regard. 


Early last month I had a chance to be part of a discussion on Online Jihad
movement, in New Delhi [at a
<http://www.idsa.in/events/weekly-seminars.htm> Government funded think tank
(April 04: Jihadi Propaganda in Cyberspace]. The deliberation largely
focused on the global scenario and how India is vulnerable, who are the
players and potential outfits that pose a threat to India and is there an
online threat lurking or not in the subcontinent. Though the threat has been
acknowledged in the forum, the larger threat is either overlooked or
underestimated as the region is yet to witness this kind of development in
cyberspace and largely on the premise that Arabic language Jihadi portals
won't have much impact in the Hindi, Urdu and Bengali speaking Jihadi
elements (from India, Pakistan and Bangladesh). The discussions though
touched upon many issue regarding the online threat, possible actors, target
groups and last but the least regarding how to monitor and map these
phenomenon. Most part of it agreed on the DOS format IP address tracking, to
use Alexa.com and Ranking.com to find out Unique users, visting sessions and
page views and most importantly geographic locations (physical distribution
of memberships/visitors) where most of the hits are coming. 

Coincidentaly, when these discussion and brain stormings were underway in
Delhi, there has been one important work going on in Singapore which later
published as a three page commentary. I would like to highlight Rebecca
Givner-Forbes and Clay Shwery's paper on
<http://www.isn.ethz.ch/news/sw/details.cfm?ID=17535> Mapping the Electronic
Jihad (Originally published on April 25, 2007 in RSIS, Singapore). The
authors did analysis using Alexa.com's tools and reached the conclusion that
bulk of visits to jihadi websites come from the Middle East and North Africa
(MENA) region (with 78 per cent) than previously speculated European
countries (4.8 percent), where there are large Muslim Diaspora communities
with high internet penetration. The generated data also indicated around
forty countries around the globe have some percentage (even if negligible)
of representation. However, they didnt provide information on the 10 most
influential and important jihadi web forums used in the research. 




In an analysis of 10 of the most influential and important jihadi web
forums, we observed that 78.1 percent of visits came from Middle Eastern and
North African countries. Visits from nations in the Americas were at a
distant second, at around 5.9 percent. Visits originating in European
countries made up 4.8 percent of the total. Only 1.4 percent of visits to
jihadi websites came from East Asia. Roughly 1.5 percent came from Pakistan,
and another 1 percent from Australia (the remaining came from countries
whose visit numbers on each site were too small to produce data in the
alexa.com program). 

Although the authors gave a description of 'intensity of users' and accepted
the limitation of this tool admitting the data derived from the Alexa
analysis cannot be precise. Nevertheless, as rightly mentioned elsewhere in
the paper, it truly provides some sort of image of these growing virtual
jihadi communities. 

By mentioning this study along with some of my thoughts here, I would like
to spur a discussion and research on this issue here.. It is always ideal to
read the transcript of (purported) Osama or Zawahiri videos and audios and
tracking web related jihadi activities. Also, it is equally imperative to go
underneath, probing who are reading it, who are following the developments,
where they are based and how much impact these jihadi websites have on the
people. 


 



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