http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/chi-0705080694may09,1,5479897
,print.story?coll=chi-newsnationworld-hed

Al Qaeda's new enemy


May 9, 2007

Al Qaeda's terrorists in Iraq now face a new enemy: Sunni tribesmen in Anbar
Province. These tribal leaders in the heart of the insurgency are now
backing coalition and Iraqi forces against the terrorists.

You want good news from Iraq? There it is, in flashing neon.

These Anbar leaders aren't just jawing. Thousands of Sunnis have rushed to
join local police forces, with tribal leaders' encouragement. "The progress
has inspired an optimism in the American command that, among some officials,
borders on giddiness," The New York Times reported. "There are some people
who would say we've won the war out here," one Marine officer said.

That's a phrase you don't hear often in Iraq.

While the Sunni tribal leaders probably haven't developed a sudden fondness
for U.S. forces, they have apparently developed a deep disgust for the Al
Qaeda agenda. The Sunnis don't want what Al Qaeda is peddling: a
soul-crushing fundamentalist Islamic dictatorship.

About a year ago, Army Col. Sean MacFarland began exploiting that split. He
defied conventional wisdom by negotiating with a group of Sunni sheiks to
fight Al Qaeda, according to USA Today. He built small, more vulnerable
combat outposts in Ramadi's most dangerous neighborhood to expel insurgents
and provide security. "I was going the wrong way down a one-way street,"
MacFarland told the newspaper.

Turns out it was the right way. Violence is down in Ramadi and the
surrounding province. MacFarland's alliance has ultimately expanded to
include more than 200 sheiks, the paper reported. The tribes started
attacking Al Qaeda leaders on U.S. target lists.

A rare success story? Yes. Like everything else in Iraq, caution is advised.
The tribal elders might change sides again. The notion of a Sunni-U.S.
alliance may not translate to other parts of Iraq, especially Baghdad. And
Al Qaeda is still fighting. On Monday, for example, two suicide car bombers
attacked a market and a police checkpoint on the outskirts of Ramadi,
killing 13 people. "They committed this crime because we have identified
their hideouts and we are chasing them," a Sunni police officer told The
Associated Press.

Many in Congress and across America will say any progress in Iraq is too
little too late. They believe, as Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.)
has said, that the war is lost.

But it is not.

In a recent op-ed in The Times, Owen West, a major in the Marine Reserve who
has served two tours in Iraq, said that after years of failed strategies,
the military "is finally making meaningful adjustments to the complex
fight." Iraq can be solved, he suggests, but only by military and political
strategies that complement one another. His suggestion: Double the size of
the Iraqi army. Starting this fall, Iraqi units with American advisers would
take the lead in fighting what he calls "a law enforcement war." American
troops could be embedded with bulked-up Iraqi units -- even as the U.S.
force level declines.

It's an intriguing idea. And the success in Ramadi is encouraging. But no
strategy can work if Iraq's leaders don't meet the political and economic
benchmarks that confront the government. Some of those benchmarks may be
enshrined in a new U.S. military spending bill that the president and
Congress are negotiating. That's an excellent idea: It dials up the pressure
on Iraqi leaders to act.

One thing we know: No compromise bill will include a timetable for
withdrawing troops; that's a deal-breaker for President Bush.

But there is a deadline of sorts for widespread, tangible progress. Gen.
David Petraeus, the top U.S. commander in Iraq, says we'll know by fall if
the troop surge is working. That's when Petraeus has promised Congress a
progress report. Rep. John Boehner, a key Republican House leader from Ohio,
said Sunday that if the surge strategy has not yielded results by autumn,
Congress will demand a "Plan B."

But many Democrats are impatient. They may push a stopgap spending bill that
would fund combat operations only through midsummer. The rest of the money
would be withheld pending a progress report.

In a Web video posted last weekend, Al Qaeda's second-in-command, Ayman
al-Zawahri, declared victory in Iraq. He pointed to the withdrawal
timetables in the bill that Congress passed and President Bush vetoed.

He's wrong. That's not proof of defeat; it's proof of growing American
impatience.

Mustering more patience is a herculean effort for many Americans. But the
surge strategy deserves a fair chance through the summer to work. Anbar
suggests that a change in strategy can bring a welcome change in results.

Remember: Al Qaeda doesn't have a Plan B. 

 



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