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Volume 4, Issue 15 (May 22, 2007) |
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Jihadis Post Scenario for the Defeat of the United States
By <http://jamestown.org/terrorism/analysts.php?authorid=345> Abdul Hameed
Bakier, <http://jamestown.org/terrorism/analysts.php?authorid=245> Erich
Marquardt
On May 14, jihadi forum users Abu Kandahar and Roslan al-Shami posted a
five-point scenario for the collapse of the United States and the rise of
the Islamic ummah, entitled, "The Next Strikes in the Heart of America, When
and How." It appeared on the al-ommh.net forum, although at least one other
jihadi forum, alhanein.com, reposted the scenario. The posting outlines a
scenario for attacking the United States, although the sheer size of the
operation suggests that it is jihadi propaganda and not an actual plan that
could be operationalized. The alleged operation is dedicated to Abu Omar
al-Baghdadi, the head of the Islamic State of Iraq.
The first stage in the scenario involves multiple terrorist attacks on three
major U.S. cities, preferably with nuclear weapons, using an unspecified
number of trucks. The scenario places priority on attacking New York City
because it is the central artery of the U.S. economy and it would prove that
the mujahideen are capable of recurrent attacks on the same target. The
second city to attack is Los Angeles, an important West Coast "atheist"
city. The third "city" to be attacked is Florida because, they argue, it is
an East Coast congregation city and has the Kennedy Space Center
(considering the description, the statement's authors probably meant
Orlando). While those are the three primary cities for attack, the writers
of the document suggest that if the mujahideen wish to expedite the collapse
of the United States, they should also conduct attacks in Seattle since it
is a strategic border city; Washington, DC, the political center of the
United States; and cities in Texas, since the "biggest oil companies" are
located there.
According to the writers, the purpose of attacking these specific cities is
to cause a sharp decline in the U.S. economy; mass amounts of casualties;
the support for the mujahideen by anti-U.S. countries such as Cuba and
Venezuela; a decrease in American support for their own government; the
withdrawal of the "blasphemous" U.S. military from Islamic territories; mass
military desertions; and the inability to fuel U.S. military fighter jets.
The document also outlines how the fallout from such large-scale attacks
would cause the U.S. military to return to the United States in order to
conduct massive relief operations. They refer to the example of how
Hurricane Katrina overburdened the U.S. National Guard, calling the
hurricane a "Soldier of God."
After such attacks, they argue that the Islamic State of Iraq will seize the
opportunity to launch mass strikes on the apostates in the Iraqi military
and police, paving the way for the third stage of the scenario: the
commencement of the golden era of the triumphant Islamic conquests that
includes the implementation of Sharia, the liberation of the Arabian
Peninsula, the removal from power of "the U.S. ruling family" in Jordan and,
finally, the big march toward Palestine. In the end, even Washington DC will
fall to the mujahideen and that will conclude the final stage of Islamic
control of the globe.
The scenario appears less of a planned operation than a hope for the
fulfillment of a prophecy. The supposed factuality of the scenario is based
on various verses in the Quran and the Prophet Muhammad's teachings.
Nevertheless, some of the users on the forums who discussed the scenario
asserted that all of the details to execute the operation had already been
prepared. One such user, by the alias of Abu Nedal, said, "For your
knowledge, the operations are ready and awaiting the orders from our leader
Osama bin Laden, God protect him, to decide what he deems appropriate either
to strike now or to wait."
Islamist extremists have always fabricated factitious scenarios for victory
over the West based on their own interpretations of Quranic prophecies in
times of crisis and defeat. Nevertheless, al-Qaeda has shown prior interest
in acquiring nuclear materials for use in an attack, and it is necessary to
take such forum postings seriously as they display the mindset and the
intent, although perhaps not the capability, of al-Qaeda-affiliated
militants.
Find this article at:
http://jamestown.org/terrorism/news/article.php?articleid=2373415
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