al-Qaeda or inside job is not mutually exclusive.
 
B 

http://weekly. <http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2007/864/re53.htm>
ahram.org.eg/2007/864/re53.htm
Al-Qaeda or inside job?
Rumours of power struggles surround the recent suicide bombings
targeting Bouteflika, says Faysal Saouli

The suicide bombings that took place in Algeria on 6 and 9
September, one of which targeted the motorcade of President Abdul-Aziz
Bouteflika, renewed talk of a hidden struggle within the Algerian
regime, known for having multiple centres of decision-making. There is
the possibility that the bombings are connected with President
Bouteflika's policies and ambitions to secure a third presidential
term, which would require amending the Algerian constitution, which
currently allows only two terms. The Algerian people approved this
constitutional formulation in 1996, three years before Bouteflika
assumed office.

Interpretations have gone as far as considering the terrorist
bombings a clear message from the Algerian authorities and the army
leadership. This message is read as a rejection of the president's
policies of widening the scope of national reconciliation that he
commenced. A civil harmony law was issued in 1999, which offered
amnesty to members of the Islamic Salvation Army. The militia is
affiliated with the Islamic Salvation Front (FIS), which won the 1991
parliamentary elections before the election process was halted and the
country entered a spiral of violence. This was followed by the
national reconciliation and harmony law of 2005, which allowed many
members of different militias located in the Algerian mountains to
descend from their highland posts. The law granted them presidential
amnesty for the crimes they had committed, except for those proved to
have been involved in the massacres that took place in Algeria in 1995-97.

The suicide bombings took place at the beginning of September,
directly following a campaign of rumours about the health of President
Bouteflika. No one doubts that he is suffering from health problems,
and everyone knows that he was rushed to Val-de-Grace Hospital in
Paris last year, where he underwent surgery. The office of the
Algerian presidency said at the time that the operation was related to
a stomach ulcer, while unofficial sources indicated that it was
related to the removal of a cancerous tumor.

Rumours concerning the health status and even death of Bouteflika
were repeated throughout August. The president was forced to send his
prime minister, Abdul-Aziz Belkhadem, to confront the media in a press
conference that was almost entirely devoted to the topic of the
president's health, during which Belkhadem denied claims that the
health of the republic's president was deteriorating. This was
followed by an official television appearance by Bouteflika during his
visit to the family of Major General Ismail Al-Amari, head of the
counter-intelligence agency.

As a response to these rumours, Bouteflika scheduled field visits
to five governorates in eastern Algeria. In his last stop, a suicide
bombing took place only 10 minutes prior to the scheduled arrival of
his motorcade. While crowds were awaiting his arrival, 22 were killed
and 100 injured. This bombing was followed by another with a mined
vehicle that targeted a coast guard barracks which killed 35 coast
guards and injured 60.

If indeed this is an internal struggle, the only centres that are
obvious are the republic's presidential office, which has taken on a
more personal character since Bouteflika assumed the post of
president, and the centre of the hard core of the army leadership,
which opposes Bouteflika's ideas and regrets that it brought him to
power in 1999.

Although the Al-Qaeda organisation in Islamic North Africa has
claimed responsibility for the two suicide bombings, the
interpretation of a struggle taking place between wings within the
ruling power remains strong. There is no support for the statements
made by the top official in the Algerian security agencies, Colonel
Ali Tunisi, in a private interview with three Algerian newspapers last
Sunday. He denied the presence of Al-Qaeda in Algeria and said that
there is no basis of truth for the claim of the Algerian terrorist
Salafi Organisation for Preaching and Fighting (SOPF) that it falls
under the banner of Al-Qaeda. On the contrary, he introduced a new
factor to the analysis by mentioning that the security agencies were
not sure who was behind the suicide bombings. This casts doubt on the
SOPF's claim that it perpetrated the bombings on behalf of Bin Laden's
organisation.

In light of this observation and the conflicting analyses, the
most important news regarding the consequences of the bombings earlier
this month was not in Algerian newspapers but on an Internet website
that appears to be related to a newspaper that the Algerian
authorities suspended three months ago, and whose owner has been
imprisoned for two years. The site provided news on the convening of a
Supreme Security Council meeting for the first time since 1991, when
it met following the first round of parliamentary elections that
resulted in a major advance for the Islamic Salvation Front. At that
time, the Supreme Security Council decided to halt the election
process and dismiss the president, Chadli Bendjedid.

The sources of this website said the meeting included President
Bouteflika and leader of the armed forces, Lieutenant General Qayid
Saleh, chief of staff of the Algerian army, Lieutenant General Mohamed
Madin, head of the Algerian intelligence agency, Prime Minister
Belkhadem, and Minister of the Interior Yezid Zerhouni.

The convening of a Supreme Security Council meeting, a body
provided for by the Algerian constitution but which is held only under
exceptional circumstances, is considered an indication of a crisis at
the highest levels of authority. The sources of this website state
that the meeting was devoted to study the deteriorating security
situation and ways of dealing with it, and yet analysis and guesswork
soon led to the belief that the matter was in fact related to
clarifying relations between the president of the republic and other
decision-making centres in the Algerian regime. The meeting was also
believed to have been held to seek an agreement on points of
difference in order to prevent the repetition of the scenarios played
out in the country in the past due to struggles within the regime.
Such scenarios began with the cancellation of the 1991 elections and
the consequences of that move, including violence that lasted more
than 15 years, the assassination of president Mohamed Boudiaf in 1992,
and president Liamine Zeroual having to resign in 1998.

It remains unclear what the outcome of this private meeting was,
and whether President Bouteflika wants to increase his powers and
secure the right to a third term -- the sore point between the
president and the military. During an extended term, Bouteflika said
he wants to prepare his successor to follow his approach, and this
does not please some of the army leadership that have grown accustomed
to direct interference in the selection of Algeria's presidents. These
army leaders were prepared to work with Bouteflika until the end of
his current term or the next one, or even until he was unable to
continue his mission due to his health status, but they will not
accept him choosing the person who will succeed him if that person
does not agree with their views concerning the running of the
country's affairs.

C Copyright Al-Ahram Weekly. All rights reserved



 


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