al-Qaeda has no base. It is everywhere there are Muslims.
 
B
 

http://aawsat.com:80/english/news.asp?section=2 
<http://aawsat.com:80/english/news.asp?section=2&id=11150> &id=11150
 
Has Al Qaeda Changed its Base?

13/12/2007 

An official who is a close observer of the Al Qaeda network believes that the 
organization has begun to shift its activities to Yemen, in addition to its 
strong presence in Iraq. The movement’s migration from Afghanistan is 
practically aiming to surround the Gulf region, which Al Qaeda considers its 
first and last goal. 

The recent thwarted operations in Saudi Arabia and the arrests of terrorist 
cells is primary evidence that Al Qaeda has expanded, and perhaps shifted, its 
activities, which indicates that we are about to enter a third stage of the war 
on terror. The battle began early in Saudi Arabia but Al Qaeda suffered 
successive defeats and was thus forced to spread its wings abroad. It seems 
that after having been restricted, it has decided upon a change in strategy. 


The aforementioned official believes that Yemen may replace Afghanistan as the 
incubator to breed, rally and train [terrorists]. In practice, Yemen could 
become the new Al Qaeda base  a label once reserved for Afghanistan. The 
official’s assumptions were confirmed by new activity carried out in the rugged 
mountains of Yemen that proved to be testing even for the skilled Yemeni forces 
that best knew their land. 


This was evident through the battles with the al Houthi groups that fortified 
their strength in the mountains over several months and inflicted damage on 
government forces. Although the Yemeni authority was able to weaken these 
groups, prevent their expansion and foil any influence of al Houthi members on 
the center of the capital and other major cities in Yemen, defeating them 
proved to be a very difficult matter. 


If Al Qaeda has really decided to shift its center and perhaps its headquarters 
to the mountain peaks of northern Yemen, then we are facing a new challenge and 
a new phase in combat. Since it was first established, Al Qaeda has been 
targeting the most important country, namely, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf region 
in general as it is aware of the fact that Saudi is to the region what the 
heart is to the body. 


Also, despite its success of spreading chaos and destruction in Iraq, Algeria, 
Britain and other places, it has still failed to achieve the symbolic 
significance, popularity and influence that it has been aspiring to since the 
mid-1990s. Al Qaeda believes that Yemen is an easy country; drawing evidence 
from the organization’s frequent ability to hide in its mountains and exploit 
the existing tribal dissidents, in addition to the poverty of its economy and 
population density. As such, Yemen is fertile ground for the breeding of new 
generations of Al Qaeda cells  or an alternative haven to the desolate, remote 
and blockaded areas of Afghanistan. 


The results of this grave analysis are that the Yemeni authorities should act 
as a targeted regime just as Al Qaeda had targeted the Afghan regime and 
instigated conflict among its tribes, setting it ablaze and causing extensive 
foreign intervention. 


Saudi Arabia, the country that is most targeted by terrorists, also has no 
choice other than to prepare for a new bout of terrorism that requires 
increased efforts in curbing potential financers who raise funds under the 
pretext of charitable work, and local instigators who are recruiting young men 
under various Islamic banners such as Iraq and Kashmir. 


Perhaps the proposal of electronic [identity] cards for the entire population 
should be a priority and should be applied quickly. The truth is that the Saudi 
Ministry of Interior is one of the most advanced governmental institutions with 
respect to modern technology, not only in achieving security objectives but 
also in providing its various civil services. This is a compelling subject that 
deserves further examination in another article.

 



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